Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an advantage in this matchup — offense weighed against the opponent's defense. Tap any row to see the numbers behind it. Descriptive — not a prediction.

Tommy McMillen

edge

Alberto Montes

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange (thin sample)

Effective offense

A+

99th

5.2

Even

A+

94th

3.2

Defense

C

43rd

58%

+11

C

54th

60%

KO power

C

4 KO

1.0 KD

+23

D

1 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed

F

8th

0.0

Even

F

8th

0.0

Takedown accuracy——

Takedown defense—100%

Control time

F

4th

0.4 min

+12

F

17th

0.9 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Montes ▸

Montes is the bigger submission threat on McMillen (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

19th

0.0

+78

A+

97th

2.6

Sub win rate

A

80th

50%

5 subs

Even

A

81st

58%

7 subs

Submission defense

D

42nd

0%

Even

C

42nd

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finishing threats (thin sample)

Finish rate

B

62nd

100%

Even

B

62nd

100%

KO durability

C

45th

0%

Even

C

45th

0%

Submission defense

D

39th

0%

Even

D

39th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ McMillen

McMillen pushes the higher work rate over the fight (thin sample)

Work rate / min — full fight

18.8

7.8

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

18.8

7.8

See full Pace →

Form

Even

Comparable recent form (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

100%

Even

100%

After a win——

Last 5

100%

80%

Win streakW5W3

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

8%

12%

Win quality

58%

62%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ McMillen

McMillen has fought more often lately than Montes

Last bout

3mo

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

Even

2

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ McMillen

McMillen 5" reach · McMillen 13 cm · McMillen 4y younger · Closed-stance matchup

Tommy McMillenvsAlberto Montes

28

Age

4y

younger

32

6'0"

183cm

Height

5"

taller

5'7"

170cm

74"

188cm

Reach

5"

reach

69"

175cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Each edge weighs one fighter’s offense against the other’s defense in this matchup, not each fighter vs the division in isolation — so a strong defense reduces (not erases) the opposing threat. Tap a row for the percentiles behind it. Thin samples are dimmed; too little data reads “not enough data.”

Core metrics

The shape of the matchup at a glance — each fighter's career rates as a percentile within the division. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Tommy McMillenAlberto Montes

Percentile

Striking/min9.875.26

Accuracy%53%60%

Defense%58%60%

Takedowns/150.00.0

TD defense%83%77%

Submissions/150.06.8

Career rate as a percentile within the featherweight (297 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

McMillenTommy McMillen

MontesAlberto Montes

1-0100%

As favorite

1-0100%

—

As underdog

—

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts.

Career splits

McMillenTommy McMillen

Stat

MontesAlberto Montes

1

—

KO / TKO

0

—

0

—

Submission

1

—

0

—

Decision

0

—

3:57

Avg fight time

5:40

Tommy McMillen’s splits

vs Montes

vs Orthodox

1-0100%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

1-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile.

Alberto Montes’s splits

vs McMillen

vs Orthodox

1-0100%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

1-0100%

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Tommy McMillenvsAlberto Montes

28

Age

4y

younger

32

6'0"

183cm

Height

5"

taller

5'7"

170cm

74"

188cm

Reach

5"

reach

69"

175cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense mapped against the other's defense — where one attacks meets where the other gets hit, across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

65th

Even

B

60th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

McMillen’s offensevsMontes’s defense

Head

A

84th

46.1

+43

D

41st

35.9

Body

A

85th

17.1

+38

C

47th

11.4

Leg

C

51st

8.0

+12

D

39th

9.3

Montes’s offensevsMcMillen’s defense

Head

B

61st

35.1

+23

D

39th

37.2

Body

B

66th

12.7

+31

D

35th

12.7

Leg

C

56th

8.6

+9

C

47th

8.1

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Tommy McMillen	top 16% of division46.1	52%	below division average37.2	51
Head	Alberto Montes	above division average35.1	45%	below division average35.9	19
Body	Tommy McMillen	top 15% of division17.1	64%	below division average12.7	23
Body	Alberto Montes	above division average12.7	77%	around division average11.4	10
Leg	Tommy McMillen	around division average8.0	—	around division average8.1	0
Leg	Alberto Montes	above division average8.6	100%	below division average9.3	3

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.

UFC only

Tommy McMillen

Alberto Montes

Each metric graded on the division — the bar leans toward whoever wins that part of the grappling exchange (longer + greener = a bigger edge).

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

58th

Even

B

59th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

56th

0.0

Even

C

52nd

0.0

Takedown accuracy

—

Takedown defense

—

100%

3/3

Submission threat

B

63rd

0.0

+9

A

72nd

2.6

Control time

C

54th

0.4 min

Even

C

53rd

0.9 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Tommy McMillen	Alberto Montes
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	—0 / 0	—0 / 0
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	—0 / 0	100%3 / 3
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	2.61
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.4 min0:06	0.9 min0:21
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.9 min0:15	5.0 min1:54

All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time. Accuracy under 8 career attempts is shown raw and ungraded — too small a sample to rate against the division.

Schedule Score

Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.

UFC only

Tommy McMillen

28

Schedule Score

Alberto Montes

28

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

4 min

1 bout

Octagon time

2 min

more

6 min

1 bout

Schedule strength

8%

12%

Win quality

58%

62%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Opponent quality distribution

every UFC bout, bucketed by who the opponent was at the time

Tommy McMillen

1 bout

1

Alberto Montes

1 bout

1

Unproven

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Comparable level of opposition — both faced slates around .491 opponent win rate.

Tommy McMillen

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

39-42

.481 win rate

Winning-record opponents

3 of 5

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

8

5 opponents with records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Alberto Montes

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

33-33

.500 win rate

Winning-record opponents

3 of 8

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

10

8 opponents with records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Tommy McMillen	Alberto Montes
Unproven	1-0	1-0

Tommy McMillen — bouts

W vs Manolo Zecchini8
Apr 4, 2026 · Unproven

Alberto Montes — bouts

W vs Ricky Turcios12
Mar 7, 2026 · Unproven

All figures are 0–100 ratings (shown as %), not percentages of anything literal. Schedule strength = the average quality of every UFC opponent faced (win or lose). Win quality = the average quality of the opponents actually beaten. The composite Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with win quality (35%). Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, falling back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. For fighters with limited UFC experience the headline is held toward a rookie baseline, so debut / low-sample fighters read lower than established names. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts (non-UFC fights dashed + tagged), current trajectory, and the level of opposition going into this matchup.

Tommy McMillen

Alberto Montes

McMillen — last 5

recent → old

WRUF

SUB R1

Roa

Apr ’25

WFUSION

SUB R1

Penagos

Dec ’24

WFUSION

SUB R1

Wright

Apr ’24

WFUSION

SUB R1

Winter

Dec ’23

Montes — last 5

recent → old

WCOMBATE

SUB R2

Garcia

Jun ’24

WCOMBATE

SUB R1

Ortiz

Sep ’23

LTITAN

KO R2

Lukowsky

Dec ’21

WTITAN

SUB R1

Santiago

Feb ’21

Last 5 record

5-0

4-1

Current streak

W5

W3

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

3 mo

4 mo

Finishing & durability

How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.

Tommy McMillen

Alberto Montes

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

McMillen9W–0L by finish · every finish in R1

R1

R2

R3

Montes6W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑23%·McMillen

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑23%·McMillen

A

82nd

90%

+37

C

45th

67%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

10%

31%

KO durability

↑8%·McMillen

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑8%·McMillen

A

77th

0%

+32

C

45th

8%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

B

64th

0%

Even

B

64th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Tommy McMillen	Alberto Montes
Wins
by KO / TKO	4(40%)	1(8%)
by submission	5(50%)	7(58%)
by decision	1(10%)	4(33%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0	1(100%)
by submission	0	0(0%)
by decision	0	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

UFC fights only — knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head, then when the last finish landed, and on whom.

Tommy McMillen

vs

Alberto Montes

50%

1 KO/TKO in 2 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 2 bouts

1

2.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Tommy McMillenFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Alberto MontesFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.

UFC only

Tommy McMillen

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Alberto Montes

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Neither fighter has reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Tommy McMillen	18.8	18.7	5.1	0.00	3%	1
R1	Alberto Montes	5.3	5.2	3.8	0.00	3%	1
R2	Tommy McMillen	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Alberto Montes	10.2	9.0	4.5	0.00	30%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.