Compare Bo Nickal vs Jared Cannonier — UFC matchup breakdown
Tale of the Tape
The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Jared has 9 months more layoff
Division percentiles below rank both fighters against the Middleweight roster (410 fighters).
Recent form
Last five pro bouts (non-UFC fights dashed + tagged), current trajectory, and the level of opposition going into this matchup.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Bo Nickal | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Champion | — | 2-4 |
| Top-5 | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Top-15 | 1-0 | 3-1 |
| Established | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Building | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Unproven | 2-0 | 1-0 |
- W vs Kyle Daukaus18Jun 14, 2026 · Building
- W vs Rodolfo Vieira30Nov 15, 2025 · Established
- L vs Reinier de Ridder#1375May 3, 2025 · Top-5
- W vs Paul Craig#1364Nov 16, 2024 · Top-15
- W vs Cody Brundage18Apr 13, 2024 · Building
- W vs Val Woodburn8Jul 8, 2023 · Unproven
- W vs Jamie Pickett8Mar 4, 2023 · Unproven
- L vs Michael Page60Aug 16, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Gregory Rodrigues53Feb 15, 2025 · Top-15
- L vs Caio Borralho#1275Aug 24, 2024 · Top-5
- L vs Nassourdine Imavov#884Jun 8, 2024 · Top-5
- W vs Marvin Vettori#386Jun 17, 2023 · Top-5
- W vs Sean Strickland#791Dec 17, 2022 · Champion
- L vs Israel AdesanyaCHAMP100Jul 2, 2022 · Champion
- W vs Derek Brunson#481Feb 12, 2022 · Top-5
- W vs Kelvin Gastelum#979Aug 21, 2021 · Top-5
- L vs Robert Whittaker#197Oct 24, 2020 · Champion
- W vs Jack Hermansson#580Sep 28, 2019 · Top-5
- W vs Anderson Silva#1586May 11, 2019 · Champion
- W vs David Branch#773Nov 3, 2018 · Top-15
- L vs Dominick Reyes61May 19, 2018 · Top-5
- L vs Jan Blachowicz#1586Dec 16, 2017 · Champion
- W vs Nick Roehrick8Jul 7, 2017 · Unproven
- L vs Glover Teixeira#394Feb 11, 2017 · Champion
- W vs Ion Cutelaba42Dec 3, 2016 · Top-15
- W vs Cyril Asker15Apr 10, 2016 · Building
- L vs Shawn Jordan26Jan 3, 2015 · Established
All figures are 0–100 ratings (shown as %), not percentages of anything literal. Schedule strength = the average quality of every UFC opponent faced (win or lose). Win quality = the average quality of the opponents actually beaten. The composite Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with win quality (35%). Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, falling back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. For fighters with limited UFC experience the headline is held toward a rookie baseline, so debut / low-sample fighters read lower than established names. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Career splits
Striking matchup
Each fighter's offense mapped against the other's defense — where one attacks meets where the other gets hit, across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.
Nickal has the striking edge (+11).
Where Nickal attacks (green = high volume) vs where Cannonier gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Nickal’s green zones meeting Cannonier’s red zones are the openings.
- Head64%61st110
- Body19%61st33
- Leg16%64th28
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes
- Head69%19th833
- Body18%29th216
- Leg13%38th160
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent
- Standing80%137
- Clinch8%13
- Ground12%21
- Standing90%1,094
- Clinch5%58
- Ground5%57
Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.
Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Bo Nickal | above division average30.8 | 54% | top 24% of division21.5 | 110 |
| Head | Jared Cannonier | top 20% of division39.9 | 41% | well below average43.2 | 772 |
| Body | Bo Nickal | above division average9.7 | 75% | below division average10.3 | 33 |
| Body | Jared Cannonier | top 23% of division12.8 | 74% | well below average11.4 | 246 |
| Leg | Bo Nickal | above division average7.9 | 88% | around division average7.2 | 28 |
| Leg | Jared Cannonier | top 21% of division10.9 | 81% | below division average8.5 | 212 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Takedowns, submission threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.
Each metric graded on the division — the bar leans toward whoever wins that part of the grappling exchange (longer + greener = a bigger edge).
Nickal holds a decisive grappling edge (+33).
Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns | 2.48 | 0.510 |
| Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted | 50%8 / 16 | 40%10 / 25 |
| Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced | 100%9 / 9 | 65%44 / 68 |
| Submission attempts / 15career attempts | 1.55 | 0.00 |
| Control time / 15 (min)career total | 5.0 min17:03 | 1.6 min30:13 |
| Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total | 0.9 min3:12 | 1.8 min33:53 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time. Accuracy under 8 career attempts is shown raw and ungraded — too small a sample to rate against the division.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.
When their fights end
every pro finish on the fight clockFinish & durability rates
Full professional career
Full method breakdown
| Outcome | Bo Nickal | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 3(38%) | 11(61%) |
| by submission | 4(50%) | 2(11%) |
| by decision | 1(13%) | 5(28%) |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 1(100%) | 3(33%) |
| by submission | 0(0%) | 0(0%) |
| by decision | 0(0%) | 6(67%) |
Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.
KO history
UFC fights only — knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head, then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last time KO'dvs Reinier de Ridder1y 1mo agoUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 3, 2025 · R2 · 1:53
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
- Last time KO'dvs Nassourdine Imavov2 years agoUFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 8, 2024 · R4 · 1:34
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Cardio edge to Cannonier: Cannonier builds (+13% per round through round 3) while Nickal fades (-17% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Nickal drops to 75% of round-1 output by round 3, Cannonier 131%.
Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bo Nickal | 5.9 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.46 | 47% | 7 |
| R1 | Jared Cannonier | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 0.05 | 8% | 20 |
| R2 | Bo Nickal | 5.8 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 0.13 | 24% | 4 |
| R2 | Jared Cannonier | 6.5 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 0.11 | 11% | 16 |
| R3 | Bo Nickal | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.14 | 0% | 2 |
| R3 | Jared Cannonier | 5.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0.10 | 16% | 13 |
| R4 | Bo Nickal | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R4 | Jared Cannonier | 5.3 | 4.7 | 5.9 | 0.11 | 7% | 7 |
| R5 | Bo Nickal | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R5 | Jared Cannonier | 6.1 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 0.12 | 10% | 5 |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.