Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Gable Steveson

edge

Sean Sharaf

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange (thin sample)

Effective offense—3.2

Defense—42%

KO power

B

3 KO

1.0 KD

Even

B

4 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Steveson

Steveson has the wrestling pedigree on Sharaf — Olympic-level wrestling (pedigree; no measured UFC tape yet).

Takedowns landed

F

15th

0.0

+37

C

52nd

0.9

Takedown accuracy

0%

11%

Takedown defense——

Control time

F

24th

1.0 min

Even

F

19th

0.7 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Little submission threat either way (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

24th

0.0

Even

F

24th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

66th

0%

0 subs

Even

B

66th

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

D

34th

0%

Even

D

36th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both are heavy finishers — Steveson by KO (4 of 4 wins), Sharaf by KO (4 of 4).

Finish rate (of wins)

100% (4/4)

Even

100% (4/4)

By KO/TKO

4

Even

4

By submission

0

Even

0

Avg finish round

R1.0 avg finish

R1.3 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Steveson

Steveson pushes the higher work rate over the fight (thin sample)

Work rate / min — full fight

17.7

8.8

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

17.7

8.8

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Steveson

Steveson is in better recent form than Sharaf (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

100%

0%

After a win——

Last 5

100%

60%

Win streakW4L2

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

8%

12%

Win quality

58%

39%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Steveson

Steveson is fresher and more active than Sharaf

Last bout

1mo

8mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

Even

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

1

2

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Sharaf ▸

Sharaf 3" reach · Sharaf 8 cm · Steveson 7y younger

Gable StevesonvsSean Sharaf

26

Age

7y

younger

33

5'11"

180cm

Height

3"

taller

6'2"

188cm

74"

188cm

Reach

3"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

On the bubbleSean Sharaf 41% cut risk · 2-fight skid

Pre-UFC Pedigree

Documented competition background for a fighter without UFC tape — the context our UFC-only striking and grappling reads can’t yet measure.

Gable Steveson

Pre-UFC Pedigree

Source

Olympic Gold Medalist — Freestyle 125 kg (Tokyo 2020)Wrestling
2× NCAA Division I Champion (Minnesota, 2021–2022)Wrestling
4× Big Ten Heavyweight ChampionWrestling
5× NCAA All-AmericanWrestling

Documented competition credentials — context for a UFC newcomer, not a measured UFC metric.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Steveson faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .577 career win rate vs .333 for Sharaf.

Gable Steveson

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

15-11

.577 win rate

Winning-record opponents

1 of 3

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

3

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Sean Sharaf

Developmental

Opponents' combined record

8-16-1

.333 win rate

Winning-record opponents

0 of 4

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

4

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Gable Steveson

Sean Sharaf

89%

-1200

MMA Index model

Unlock

11%

+750

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

StevesonGable Steveson

SharafSean Sharaf

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

StevesonGable Steveson

Stat

SharafSean Sharaf

1

—

KO / TKO

—

2

0

—

Submission

—

0

—

Decision

—

0

2:31

Avg fight time

8:02

Gable Steveson’s splits

vs Sharaf

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Sean Sharaf’s splits

vs Steveson

vs Orthodox

0-20%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-10%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Gable StevesonvsSean Sharaf

26

Age

7y

younger

33

5'11"

180cm

Height

3"

taller

6'2"

188cm

74"

188cm

Reach

3"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

66th

Even

B

59th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Steveson’s offensevsSharaf’s defense

Head

B

70th

38.7

+65

F

5th

79.1

Body

A

75th

12.3

+43

D

32nd

11.0

Leg

B

61st

7.7

+21

D

40th

8.3

Sharaf’s offensevsSteveson’s defense

Head

A

84th

45.8

+48

D

36th

36.9

Body

A

74th

12.0

+34

D

39th

10.0

Leg

B

58th

7.0

+11

C

48th

7.5

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Gable Steveson	top 30% of division38.7	64%	below division average36.9	25
Head	Sean Sharaf	top 16% of division45.8	38%	bottom of the division79.1	89
Body	Gable Steveson	top 25% of division12.3	86%	below division average10.0	12
Body	Sean Sharaf	top 26% of division12.0	79%	below division average11.0	22
Leg	Gable Steveson	above division average7.7	100%	around division average7.5	4
Leg	Sean Sharaf	above division average7.0	100%	below division average8.3	8

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Gable Steveson

Sean Sharaf

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

63rd

+12

C

51st

Steveson has the grappling edge (+12).

Takedowns

B

63rd

0.0

Even

B

61st

0.9

Takedown accuracy

0%

0/1

D

27th

11%

1/9

Takedown defense

—

Submission threat

A

70th

0.0

Even

B

66th

0.0

Control time

C

57th

1.0 min

Even

C

51st

0.7 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Gable Steveson	Sean Sharaf
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	0.91
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	0%0 / 1	11%1 / 9
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	—0 / 0	—0 / 0
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.0 min0:10	0.7 min0:46
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	0.1 min0:05

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Gable Steveson

28

Schedule Score

Sean Sharaf

28

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

3 min

1 bout

Octagon time

13 min

more

16 min

2 bouts

Schedule strength

8%

12%

Win quality

58%

39%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Gable Steveson	Sean Sharaf
Building	—	0-1
Unproven	1-0	0-1

Gable Steveson — bouts

W vs Elisha Ellison8
Jul 11, 2026 · Unproven

Sean Sharaf — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Gable Steveson

Sean Sharaf

Steveson — last 4

recent → old

WMFL 3

KO R1

Lezama

Feb ’26

WANTHONY

KO R1

Hein

Nov ’25

WLFA

KO R1

Peterson

Sep ’25

Sharaf — last 5

recent → old

WLXF 19

KO R1

Torres

Sep ’24

WFCOC

KO R1

Kindle

Apr ’24

WUNF 9

KO R1

Mullett

Jul ’23

Last 5 record

4-0

3-2

Current streak

W4

L2

Ranked opps

0 of 4

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

44 d

9 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Gable Steveson

Sean Sharaf

Post-result bounce

SituationSteveson Sharaf

After a loss

—

0-10%

Camp length

SituationSteveson Sharaf

Long layoff> 180 days

—

0-10%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Gable Steveson

Sean Sharaf

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Steveson4W–0L by finish · every finish in R1

R1

R2

R3

Sharaf4W–2L by finish · every finish in R1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

C

51st

100%

Even

C

53rd

100%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

0%

Even

0%

KO durability

↑33%·Steveson

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑33%·Steveson

B

66th

0%

+30

D

36th

33%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

C

51st

0%

Even

C

57th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Gable Steveson	Sean Sharaf
Wins
by KO / TKO	3(100%)	4(100%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	0(0%)	0(0%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0	2(100%)
by submission	0	0(0%)
by decision	0	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Gable Steveson

vs

Sean Sharaf

100%

1 KO/TKO in 1 bout

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 2 bouts

1

4.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Gable StevesonFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Sean SharafFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Steven Asplund8 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · Dec 13, 2025 · R2 · 3:49
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Gable Steveson

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Sean Sharaf

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Neither fighter has reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Gable Steveson	17.7	16.3	5.2	0.40	7%	1
R1	Sean Sharaf	10.7	8.9	10.7	0.50	8%	2
R2	Gable Steveson	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Sean Sharaf	6.9	4.9	22.1	0.66	0%	2

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.