MMA Index
Pro
MMA Index Pro

The model’s number on every UFC fight.

Win and method probabilities set against the real market price — on the same bout pages, event hubs, and fighter profiles you already research. Plus the tools behind the number: test any angle against 18 years of closing lines, build your own model, and see what your picks are worth at today’s prices.

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Composite Analysis — model probability vs de-vigged market, edge, price, and EV on every priced market
Composite Analysis — model vs de-vigged market, priced and ranked by EV
Your picks, priced

Your picks are free. Pricing them is Pro.

Every free account picks every fight — winner, method, round, and how confident you are — and gets graded against the closing line. Pro puts the model’s number beside every pick on your sheet, and Pick EV shows what your read is worth at every live market price, updating as lines move.

Make your picks free →
Pick EV — your saved picks priced against every live market: your number beside the model and the market, with the EV on each
Trends Explorer

Test any trend against 18 years of fights

Are big favorites on short notice a trap? Do fighters really win more on home soil? Trends Explorer answers with the record, not a take. Set the spot — closing line, age, layoff, streak, style, home country — and get every UFC fight since 2008 that matched: the record, how the fights ended, what a flat bet at the closing price returned, with sample size and era split. Then it hands you the upcoming fights that fit. Save the search; rerun it every card.

Open Trends Explorer →

Home-soil fighters, non-US cardslive Trends Explorer query →
+6.9%
Flat-bet ROI at close
863–606
Record in the spot
1420
Priced spots
23 matches on upcoming cards · Won 58.7% · market priced 54.4%
Where to start

The research is free for everyone. An account adds your picks and your record. Pro adds the model and the tools built on it.

Free with an account

  • Pick every fight: winner, method, round, and how confident you are
  • Every card graded automatically against the closing line
  • Your running record — wins, losses, and units at the close
  • A Sunday email with how your picks did
  • A shareable pick sheet before the card, record card after
Create a free account →

Pro

Everything in Free, plus

  • Composite Analysis — every priced market on the card ranked by expected value
  • Trends Explorer — test any angle against 18 years of fights and the closing line
  • Custom Model — reweight the factors and build your own number
  • Pick EV — your saved picks priced against every live market
  • Pick’em Props — every PrizePicks and Underdog line against our simulation
  • DFS Projections — floor, median, and ceiling per fighter for every DraftKings slate
  • Tape Index — verified regional footage, one click from the fight history
  • The model everywhere — its probability on bout pages, your pick sheet, and your report card
  • CSV export — any card’s full priced board, optimizer-ready projections
See pricing ↓

Ready to price the next card?

No charge today · Cancel online anytime during the trial and pay nothing.

The toolkit

Price the card, build your own model, price the props, project the slate

The model’s read

Composite Analysis

The model’s probability on every eligible fight — winner and method — set against the de-vigged market line, with the gap quantified and every priced market on the card ranked by expected value.

Open the live board →

Composite Analysis — a single fight’s full market ladder beside the card rail, every bet priced with EV
Build your own

Custom Model

Reweight forty fighter factors across five categories and watch your win probabilities move against the market in real time — with a factor-level breakdown of exactly what changed each number.

Custom Model — 40 fighter factors reweighted live against the market
Props vs projection
PrizePicksUnderdog

Pick’em Props

Every posted PrizePicks and Underdog line measured against our simulated distribution — strikes, takedowns, rounds, fight time, finish props — with the lean and payout-adjusted edge on each.

Pick’em Props — the posted ladder priced against simulated distributions, with over probability and edge
DraftKings fantasy
DraftKings

DFS Projections

Full-stat-line DraftKings projections from the same simulation engine — floor, median, and ceiling per fighter with the complete range of outcomes, ready for a lineup optimizer.

DraftKings Projections — floor, median, ceiling, and win-case scoring per fighter
Pro · Watch the tape

The regional tape, indexed to the fight history

A debutant’s record tells you what happened; the tape tells you how. Fights on a fighter’s record with verified footage on the promotion’s own channel get a tape icon right in their fight history — click and watch, no hunting through search results for the right bout. Built from official sources only, verified continuously, and growing every week as promotions and archives are added.

Official RIZIN full-fight video — Matsushima vs Cafaro, linked straight from the fight historyMatsushima vs CafaroRIZIN.53 · the promotion’s official channel
4,479 career fights with tape · 100% official sourcesBRAVE CF · Cage Warriors · RIZIN · Fury FC · more
Everywhere you research

Your Pro access follows you through MMA Index

Pro isn’t confined to a dashboard. Where a model is available, subscribers see its probability directly on upcoming bout pages, event research hubs, and fighter profiles — inside the same free research workflow everyone else is reading, with the number filled in.

Every visitor sees
A bout page market card as every visitor sees it — the model value locked
Subscribers see
The same card for subscribers — the model probability beside the market consensus

Every Pro tool. Every UFC card.

One subscription. Manage or cancel anytime from your account.

Monthly
$19/ mo
billed monthly
AnnualSave 26%
$14.08/ mo
$169 billed yearly

Free for 7 days, then renews automatically until cancelled — cancel during the trial and pay nothing.

Billing policyTerms

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Questions, answered

Is there a free trial?+
Yes — every new subscription starts with a 7-day free trial, monthly or annual. Checkout collects a card and charges $0 today; cancel during the trial and it is never billed.
Does MMA Index Pro provide picks?+
No. Pro shows probabilities, de-vigged market comparisons, and expected value at the current price. What to do with the numbers — and whether to do anything at all — is your decision.
What is included with MMA Index Pro?+
Every Pro tool — Composite Analysis, Trends Explorer, Custom Model, Pick EV, Pick’em Props, DFS Projections, and the Tape Index — for every UFC card, plus the model’s probability inline on bout pages and your pick sheet, your Pro report card, and CSV export of any priced board.
Do I need to understand betting models to use Pro?+
No. Every tool starts from the same comparison: a probability, the market price, and the gap between them. The detail — factor breakdowns, method distributions, correlation flags — is there when you want it, not required to read a board.
Which events are covered?+
Every UFC card. Model probabilities publish once a fight has a posted line and both fighters have enough UFC data to model; unmodeled bouts — most commonly debuts — are shown market-only and clearly labeled.
How do I know the model is any good?+
The methodology is published — how the numbers are built, what they price, and what they refuse to price. Every probability is labeled, unmodeled fights are shown market-only rather than guessed at, and every surface prices against a real, named market. Read how the numbers work and judge the mechanism, not a pitch.
How often do prices and probabilities update?+
Sportsbook and exchange prices refresh every 15 minutes around fight week, and every tool prices off the same refresh — the number you see on one page is the number every page uses.
Which price sources are used?+
A multi-book sportsbook consensus and the Kalshi exchange. You choose one source per view — sportsbook or exchange — and every number on the surface prices against it. Sources are never blended.
Can I cancel anytime?+
Yes — online, from your account page, no email required. Cancel during the free trial and you’re never charged; after that, cancelling stops the next renewal and your access runs through the period you paid for. Nothing is deleted — your picks and record are free features and keep running; Pro surfaces re-lock until you resubscribe. Details in the billing policy.
Can I use my own probability instead of the model’s?+
Yes — that’s Pick EV. Your saved picks and confidence levels are priced against every live market, next to the model’s numbers, updating as lines move. The Custom Model goes further: reweight 40 fighter factors and build your own probabilities from the ground up.
What does Pro add to My Picks?+
The model’s win probability beside every pick on your sheet, Pick EV pricing your read against every live market, and your report card — your graded record, analyzed by spot. Making picks, grading against the closing line, and your running record stay free.
Can I export the data?+
Subscribers can export any card’s full priced board as CSV, and DraftKings projections are formatted to drop into a lineup optimizer.
Is the free database staying free?+
Yes. Fighters, events, rankings, stats, and every research page stay free. Pro adds the model, pricing, and analysis layer on top.

Seven days free. Every tool unlocked.

No charge today · Cancel online anytime during the trial and pay nothing.