MMA Index Pro

Find the edges on every UFC card.

Model probabilities set against the real market, a customizable model, correlation-priced parlays, pick’em prop analysis, and DraftKings projections — every tool, one subscription.

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Composite Analysis — model probability vs de-vigged market, edge, price, and EV on every priced market
Composite Analysis — model vs de-vigged market, priced and ranked by EV
Fight pricing

From the model’s probability to your own

Composite Analysis — model vs market with EV on every priced market
The model’s read

Composite Analysis

The model’s probability on every eligible fight — winner and method — set against the de-vigged market line, with the gap quantified and every priced market on the card ranked by expected value.

Custom Model — 40 fighter factors reweighted live against the market
Build your own

Custom Model

Reweight forty fighter factors across five categories and watch your win probabilities move against the market in real time — with a factor-level breakdown of exactly what changed each number.

Pick EV — your win probability and method shape priced against every market
Price your probability

Pick EV

Set your own win probability and method shape for any fight and see the expected value of every market at the current price — live as you adjust, starting from the model’s numbers.

Correlation-aware

Parlays aren’t independent. Price them accordingly.

Standard parlay math multiplies every leg as though the outcomes were unrelated. Outcomes from the same fight aren’t — a winner, a method, and a fight-length line move together. The builder computes a correlation-adjusted joint probability for the exact combination you select, flags legs that reinforce or conflict, and prices the ticket against the sportsbook’s quote.

Parlay Builder — a three-leg ticket priced jointly, with correlation flags and EV

Ready to price the next card?

No charge today · Cancel online anytime during the trial and pay nothing.

Pick’em & DFS

One simulation engine, two ways to use it

Props vs projection
PrizePicksUnderdog

Pick’em Props

Every posted PrizePicks and Underdog line measured against our simulated distribution — strikes, takedowns, rounds, fight time, finish props — with the lean and payout-adjusted edge on each.

Pick’em Props — the posted ladder priced against simulated distributions, with over probability and edge
DFS fantasy points
DraftKings

DraftKings Projections

Full-stat-line DraftKings projections from the same simulation engine — floor, median, and ceiling per fighter with the complete range of outcomes, ready for a lineup optimizer.

DraftKings Projections — floor, median, ceiling, and win-case scoring per fighter
Everywhere you research

Your Pro access follows you through MMA Index

Pro isn’t confined to a dashboard. Where a model is available, subscribers see its probability directly on upcoming bout pages, event research hubs, and fighter profiles — inside the same free research workflow everyone else is reading, with the number filled in.

Every visitor sees
A bout page market card as every visitor sees it — the model value locked
Subscribers see
The same card for subscribers — the model probability beside the market consensus
The foundation

Built on the deepest free UFC database

877 UFC events dating to 1994. More than 9,000 fights — 8,600+ of them with per-round statistics — across 3,000+ fighter records, with rank-at-time-of-fight context, full matchup histories, and proprietary metrics. All of it free to browse, and all of it feeding the model: the tools read the same data you can.

One number, everywhere

Consistent by design

Every Pro surface prices off the same probability and the same price source, so the number on a bout page is the number in Composite Analysis, Pick EV, and the Parlay Builder. Every market is de-vigged to a no-vig price, custom-model changes are explained at the factor level, and sources are never blended — no disconnected calculators, no unexplained ratings.

How the numbers work →

Every Pro tool. Every UFC card.

One subscription. Manage or cancel anytime from your account.

Monthly$19/ mo
billed monthly
AnnualSave 26%$14.08/ mo
$169 billed yearly

Free for 7 days, then renews automatically until cancelled — cancel during the trial and pay nothing.

Billing policyTerms

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Questions, answered

Is there a free trial?+
Yes — every new subscription starts with a 7-day free trial, monthly or annual. Cancel during the trial and you pay nothing; otherwise billing starts when the trial ends.
Does MMA Index Pro provide picks?+
No. Pro shows probabilities, de-vigged market comparisons, and expected value at the current price, plus an optional Kelly-fraction column as standard sizing context on priced edges. What to do with the numbers — and whether to do anything at all — is your decision.
What is included with MMA Index Pro?+
All six Pro tools — Composite Analysis, Custom Model, Pick EV, Parlay Builder, Pick’em Props, and DraftKings Projections — for every UFC card, on one subscription.
Which events are covered?+
Every UFC card. Model probabilities publish once a fight has a posted line and both fighters have UFC data to model; unmodeled bouts (e.g. a debutant with no tape) are shown market-only and clearly labeled.
How often do prices and probabilities update?+
Sportsbook and exchange prices refresh every 15 minutes around fight week, and every tool prices off the same refresh — the number you see on one page is the number every page uses.
Which price sources are used?+
A multi-book sportsbook consensus and the Kalshi exchange. You choose one source per view — sportsbook or exchange — and every number on the surface prices against it. Sources are never blended.
Can I cancel anytime?+
Yes — online, from your account page, no email required. Cancel during the free trial and you’re never charged; after that, cancelling stops the next renewal and your access runs through the period you paid for. Details in the billing policy.
Can I use my own probability instead of the model’s?+
Yes — that’s Pick EV. Set your own win probability and method shape for any fight and every market re-prices to your read, live. The Custom Model goes further: reweight 40 fighter factors and build your own probabilities from the ground up.
Can I export the data?+
Subscribers can export any card’s full priced board as CSV, and DraftKings projections are formatted to drop into a lineup optimizer.
Is the free database staying free?+
Yes. Fighters, events, rankings, stats, and every research page stay free. Pro adds the model, pricing, and analysis layer on top.

Seven days free. Every tool unlocked.

No charge today · Cancel online anytime during the trial and pay nothing.