Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi — Flyweight at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
- Weight class
- Flyweight
- Rounds
- 5 × 5 min
- Venue
- Meta Apex · Las Vegas, Nevada
Markets
Record when favored vs. an underdog, across the 10priced bouts in each fighter’s history.
Career splits
10 bouts · vs Horiguchi
- KO/TKO5
- Submission0
- Decision2
- KO/TKO0
- Submission0
- Decision3
- Average11:08
- vs Orthodox4-3
- vs Southpaw2-0
- vs Switch1-0
- vs Longer reach2-1
- vs Shorter reach3-1
10 bouts · vs Kape
- KO/TKO2
- Submission1
- Decision6
- KO/TKO0
- Submission1
- Decision0
- Average14:00
- vs Orthodox7-1
- vs Southpaw2-0
- vs Switchno data
- vs Longer reach7-1
- vs Shorter reachno data
Tale of the Tape
The biometric and experience deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.
When their fights end
every UFC finish on the fight clockFull method breakdown
| Outcome | Manel Kape | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 571% | 222% |
| by submission | 00% | 111% |
| by decision | 229% | 667% |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 00% | 00% |
| by submission | 00% | 1100% |
| by decision | 3100% | 00% |
| Pace | ||
| Avg finish time (own wins) | R2 2:15 | R2 3:19 |
| Finishes used in avg | 5 | 3 |
Counts come from the same denormalised win/loss-by-method columns the rest of the site uses. The percentile context on each row is computed against fighters currently assigned to this weight class with at least two resolved UFC bouts.
KO history
Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head — then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Brandon Royval5 months agoUFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · Dec 13, 2025 · R1 · 3:18
- Last time KO'dNever finished by strikes in the UFC
- Last submission scoredNo submission wins in the UFC yet
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Jon Delos Reyes11y 8mo agoUFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Nelson · Sep 20, 2014 · R1 · 3:48
- Last time KO'dNever finished by strikes in the UFC
- Last submission scoredvs Tagir Ulanbekov6 months agoUFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025 · R3 · 2:18
- Last time submittedvs Demetrious Johnson11y 1mo agoUFC 186: Johnson vs. Horiguchi · Apr 25, 2015 · R5 · 4:59
Common opponents
UFC opponents both fighters have faced — a direct read on relative quality controlling for matchmaking.
These two fighters haven’t crossed paths in the UFC cage with any of the same opponents.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Manel Kape | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Champion | — | 0-1 |
| Top-5 | 1-1 | — |
| Top-15 | 2-2 | 6-0 |
| Building | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Unproven | 3-0 | 2-0 |
- W vs Brandon Royval#384Dec 13, 2025 · Top-5
- W vs Asu Almabayev#872Mar 1, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Bruno Silva18Dec 14, 2024 · Building
- L vs Muhammad Mokaev#675Jul 27, 2024 · Top-15
- W vs Felipe dos Santos8Sep 9, 2023 · Unproven
- W vs David Dvorak#970Dec 17, 2022 · Top-15
- W vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov8Dec 4, 2021 · Unproven
- W vs Ode Osbourne8Aug 7, 2021 · Unproven
- L vs Matheus Nicolau#1265Mar 13, 2021 · Top-15
- L vs Alexandre Pantoja#578Feb 6, 2021 · Top-5
- W vs Amir Albazi#675Feb 7, 2026 · Top-15
- W vs Tagir Ulanbekov#1265Nov 22, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Ali Bagautinov#872Nov 19, 2016 · Top-15
- W vs Neil Seery18May 8, 2016 · Building
- W vs Chico Camus#1363Sep 26, 2015 · Top-15
- L vs Demetrious JohnsonCHAMP100Apr 25, 2015 · Champion
- W vs Louis Gaudinot#1560Jan 3, 2015 · Top-15
- W vs Jon Delos Reyes8Sep 20, 2014 · Unproven
- W vs Darrell Montague#1560May 10, 2014 · Top-15
- W vs Dustin Pague8Oct 19, 2013 · Unproven
Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with quality wins (35%) and is Bayesian-shrunken toward the UFC median for small samples. Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, and falls back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Recent form
Last five UFC bouts, current trajectory, and the level of opposition faced going into this matchup.
Striking matchup
Where each fighter lands their strikes — and where each one gets hit — across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.
Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Manel Kape | 50.7top 7% of division | 49% | 28.8above division average | 376 |
| Head | Kyoji Horiguchi | 42.4top 17% of division | 43% | 17.7top 14% of division | 396 |
| Body | Manel Kape | 14.3top 24% of division | 76% | 19.7bottom of the division | 106 |
| Body | Kyoji Horiguchi | 9.22around division average | 66% | 8.36top 30% of division | 86 |
| Leg | Manel Kape | 10.6top 30% of division | 88% | 12.7well below average | 79 |
| Leg | Kyoji Horiguchi | 4.93below division average | 81% | 5.90above division average | 46 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Wrestling output, ground threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.
Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Manel Kape | Kyoji Horiguchi | Career totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 3 / 15 |
| Takedown accuracy | 30% | 41% | 3/10 · 15/37 |
| Takedown defense | 81% | 61% | stopped 30/37 · 30/49 |
| Submission attempts / 15 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2 / 1 |
| Control time / 15 (min) | 0.5 min | 3.1 min | 3:28 · 29:10 |
| Time controlled BY opponent / 15 (min) | 1.1 min | 2.9 min | 7:56 · 27:02 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time.
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Cardio edge to Kape: Kape actually builds to 208% of round-1 work rate through round 3, while Horiguchi actually builds to 130% — a 78-point gap in late-round pace.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Manel Kape | 4.4 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 0.02 | 2% | 10 |
| R1 | Kyoji Horiguchi | 4.7 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.25 | 18% | 10 |
| R2 | Manel Kape | 5.6 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 0.11 | 3% | 7 |
| R2 | Kyoji Horiguchi | 6.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.36 | 31% | 9 |
| R3 | Manel Kape | 6.9 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 0.17 | 5% | 7 |
| R3 | Kyoji Horiguchi | 5.6 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 0.16 | 17% | 8 |
| R4 | Manel Kape | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R4 | Kyoji Horiguchi | 3.5 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 0.60 | 9% | 1 |
| R5 | Manel Kape | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R5 | Kyoji Horiguchi | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 0.00 | 0% | 1 |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace. See Methods for the full formula.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Manel is speeding up while opponent slows