Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Rodolfo Bellato

edge

Christian Edwards

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange (thin sample)

Effective offense

A+

95th

3.2

+49

C

46th

1.2

Defense

F

22nd

46%

+48

A

71st

55%

KO power

B

8 KO

0.3 KD

+8

C

5 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Bellato

Bellato has the bigger wrestling edge on Edwards (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

B

63rd

1.4

+51

F

12th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

33%

0%

Takedown defense86%—

Control time

C

46th

2.1 min

+29

A

74th

4.4 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Bellato

Bellato is the bigger submission threat on Edwards (thin sample)

Submission attempts

D

26th

0.0

Even

D

26th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

69th

31%

4 subs

+13

C

57th

13%

1 sub

Submission defense

C

48th

0%

+9

D

40th

8%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both are heavy finishers — Bellato by KO (12 of 13 wins), Edwards by KO (6 of 8).

Finish rate (of wins)

92% (12/13)

75% (6/8)

By KO/TKO

8

5

By submission

4

1

Avg finish round

R1.3 avg finish

R1.4 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Bellato

Bellato pushes the higher work rate over the fight (thin sample)

Work rate / min — full fight

7.5

3.6

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.9

3.6

Pace trend+28%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Bellato

Bellato is in better recent form than Edwards (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

67%

0%

After a win0%—

Last 5

67%

60%

Win streakW1L1

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Bellato

Bellato has faced the tougher schedule vs Edwards (thin sample)

Schedule strength

42%

Even

40%

Win quality

43%

10%

Ranked opponents

2

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

6mo

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

1

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Edwards ▸

Edwards 5 cm · Open-stance matchup

Rodolfo BellatovsChristian Edwards

30

Age

3y

younger

27

6'3"

191cm

Height

2"

taller

6'5"

196cm

78"

197cm

Reach

1"

reach

78"

198cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Rodolfo BellatoChristian Edwards

Percentile

Striking/min5.372.40

Accuracy%60%50%

Defense%46%55%

Takedowns/151.40.0

TD defense%94%0%

Submissions/150.20.0

Career rate as a percentile within the light heavyweight (227 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Comparable level of opposition — both faced slates around .606 opponent win rate.

Rodolfo Bellato

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

70-43

.619 win rate

Winning-record opponents

6 of 11

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

11

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Christian Edwards

Strong

Opponents' combined record

126-87-1

.592 win rate

Winning-record opponents

10 of 12

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

12

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

BellatoRodolfo Bellato

EdwardsChristian Edwards

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

BellatoRodolfo Bellato

Stat

EdwardsChristian Edwards

2

0

KO / TKO

—

0

Submission

—

0

1

Decision

—

1

9:00

Avg fight time

15:00

Rodolfo Bellato’s splits

vs Edwards

vs Orthodox

1-150%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

2-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Christian Edwards’s splits

vs Bellato

vs Orthodox

0-0no data

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-10%

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Rodolfo BellatovsChristian Edwards

30

Age

3y

younger

27

6'3"

191cm

Height

2"

taller

6'5"

196cm

78"

197cm

Reach

1"

reach

78"

198cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

60th

Even

C

57th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Bellato’s offensevsEdwards’s defense

Head

A

77th

42.6

+30

C

47th

32.9

Body

A

77th

13.6

+29

C

48th

10.4

Leg

A

73rd

11.6

+21

C

52nd

7.9

Edwards’s offensevsBellato’s defense

Head

C

45th

27.2

+29

F

16th

54.7

Body

A

71st

11.7

+54

F

17th

14.9

Leg

C

52nd

7.8

Even

C

57th

7.0

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Rodolfo Bellato	top 23% of division42.6	52%	well below average54.7	151
Head	Christian Edwards	around division average27.2	32%	around division average32.9	13
Body	Rodolfo Bellato	top 23% of division13.6	75%	well below average14.9	49
Body	Christian Edwards	top 29% of division11.7	85%	around division average10.4	17
Leg	Rodolfo Bellato	top 27% of division11.6	82%	above division average7.0	42
Leg	Christian Edwards	around division average7.8	60%	around division average7.9	6

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Rodolfo Bellato

Christian Edwards

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

56th

Even

B

62nd

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

B

63rd

1.4

Even

C

57th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

C

52nd

33%

4/12

0%

0/4

Takedown defense

86%

6/7

—

Submission threat

B

59th

0.0

Even

B

65th

0.0

Control time

C

51st

2.1 min

+13

B

64th

4.4 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Rodolfo Bellato	Christian Edwards
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.44	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	33%4 / 12	0%0 / 4
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	86%6 / 7	—0 / 0
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.1 min5:52	4.4 min4:22
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.5 min9:48	2.3 min2:15

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Rodolfo Bellato

40

Schedule Score

Christian Edwards

28

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

42 min

4 bouts

Octagon time

27 min

more

15 min

1 bout

Schedule strength

42%

40%

Win quality

43%

10%

Ranked opponents

2

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Rodolfo Bellato	Christian Edwards
Top-5	0-1	—
Ranked 6–15	0-0-1, 1 NC	—
Contender-level	—	0-1
Unproven	2-0	—

Rodolfo Bellato — bouts

Christian Edwards — bouts

L vs Modestas Bukauskas40
May 16, 2026 · Contender-level

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Rodolfo Bellato

Christian Edwards

Bellato — last 5

recent → old

Edwards — last 5

recent → old

WSHAMROCK

KO R2

Whitney

Feb ’26

LCFFC

DEC

Fernandez

May ’25

WSHAMROCK

KO R1

Collier

Jan ’25

WFIERCE

KO R0

Hatch

Nov ’24

Last 5 record

2-1-1

3-2

Current streak

W1

L1

Ranked opps

2 of 5

0 of 5

Layoff

6 mo

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Rodolfo Bellato

Christian Edwards

Post-result bounce

SituationBellato Edwards

After a loss

1-0100%

—

Camp length

SituationBellato Edwards

Typical camp100–180 days

1-0100%

—

Long layoff> 180 days

0-10%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Rodolfo Bellato

Christian Edwards

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Bellato12W–2L by finish · 75% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Edwards6W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑17%·Bellato

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑17%·Bellato

C

53rd

92%

+19

D

34th

75%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

13%

38%

KO durability

↑5%·Edwards

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑5%·Edwards

B

59th

13%

+9

B

68th

8%

Submission defense

↑8%·Bellato

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑8%·Bellato

B

69th

0%

+15

C

54th

8%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Rodolfo Bellato	Christian Edwards
Wins
by KO / TKO	8(62%)	5(63%)
by submission	4(31%)	1(13%)
by decision	1(8%)	2(25%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	2(67%)	1(20%)
by submission	0(0%)	1(20%)
by decision	1(33%)	3(60%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Rodolfo Bellato

vs

Christian Edwards

50%

3 KO/TKO in 6 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 1 bout

1

0.7 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

2

1.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Rodolfo BellatoFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Vitor Petrino3y 11mo ago
Dana White's Contender Series 53 · Sep 6, 2022 · R2 · 3:36
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Christian EdwardsFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Rodolfo Bellato

404%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

Christian Edwards

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Bellato lifts to 404% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Edwards hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Bellato ▲ BUILDS

EdwardsOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Bellato

Edwardslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Bellato

Edwardsattempts / min

Control time

Bellato

Edwards% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Rodolfo Bellato	4.6	3.6	6.6	0.17	11%	4
R1	Christian Edwards	4.8	2.2	2.0	0.40	36%	1
R2	Rodolfo Bellato	9.3	8.1	6.9	0.21	14%	3
R2	Christian Edwards	2.3	2.2	3.2	0.00	3%	1
R3	Rodolfo Bellato	8.8	6.2	6.1	0.60	19%	2
R3	Christian Edwards	6.0	2.8	2.0	0.40	49%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.