Compare Alexandre Pantoja vs Tim Elliott — UFC matchup breakdown
Tale of the Tape
The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Alexandre has 4 months more layoff
Division percentiles below rank both fighters against the Flyweight roster (206 fighters).
Recent form
Last five pro bouts (non-UFC fights dashed + tagged), current trajectory, and the level of opposition going into this matchup.
Common opponents
Every UFC opponent both fighters have faced — a direct comparison controlling for matchmaking.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Alexandre Pantoja | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Champion | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Top-5 | 6-1 | 0-6 |
| Top-15 | 4-1 | 6-4 |
| Cross-div ranked | — | 2-0 |
| Building | 2-0 | — |
| Unproven | — | 2-0 |
- L vs Joshua Van#197Dec 6, 2025 · Champion
- W vs Kai Kara-France#485Jun 28, 2025 · Top-5
- W vs Kai Asakura58Dec 7, 2024 · Top-15
- W vs Steve Erceg#1071May 4, 2024 · Top-15
- W vs Brandon Royval#487Dec 16, 2023 · Top-5
- W vs Brandon MorenoCHAMP100Jul 8, 2023 · Champion
- W vs Alex Perez#679Jul 30, 2022 · Top-5
- W vs Brandon Royval#685Aug 21, 2021 · Top-5
- W vs Manel Kape59Feb 6, 2021 · Top-5
- L vs Askar Askarov#782Jul 18, 2020 · Top-5
- W vs Matt Schnell#972Dec 21, 2019 · Top-15
- L vs Deiveson Figueiredo#493Jul 27, 2019 · Champion
- W vs Wilson Reis#582Apr 13, 2019 · Top-5
- W vs Yuta Sasaki18Nov 17, 2018 · Building
- W vs Brandon Moreno#791May 19, 2018 · Champion
- L vs Dustin Ortiz#1073Jan 20, 2018 · Top-15
- W vs Neil Seery18Jul 16, 2017 · Building
- W vs Eric Shelton46Jan 28, 2017 · Top-15
- L vs Steve Erceg#1269May 2, 2026 · Top-15
- W vs Kai Asakura#1561Aug 16, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Sumudaerji45Dec 9, 2023 · Cross-div ranked
- L vs Muhammad Mokaev#1172Oct 21, 2023 · Top-15
- W vs Victor Altamirano12Jun 3, 2023 · Unproven
- W vs Tagir Ulanbekov#1565Mar 5, 2022 · Top-15
- L vs Matheus Nicolau#1174Oct 9, 2021 · Top-5
- W vs Jordan Espinosa#1468Mar 6, 2021 · Top-15
- W vs Ryan Benoit#1569Jul 15, 2020 · Top-15
- L vs Brandon Royval61May 30, 2020 · Top-5
- L vs Askar Askarov#1279Jan 18, 2020 · Top-5
- L vs Deiveson Figueiredo#394Oct 12, 2019 · Champion
- W vs Mark De La Rosa32Dec 30, 2017 · Cross-div ranked
- L vs Ben Nguyen#1269Jun 10, 2017 · Top-15
- W vs Louis Smolka#1268Apr 15, 2017 · Top-15
- L vs Demetrious JohnsonCHAMP100Dec 3, 2016 · Champion
- L vs Zach Makovsky#1073Feb 14, 2015 · Top-15
- L vs Joseph Benavidez#289Apr 26, 2014 · Top-5
- L vs Ali Bagautinov56Nov 16, 2013 · Top-5
- W vs Louis Gaudinot#973Aug 31, 2013 · Top-15
- W vs Jared Papazian8Dec 15, 2012 · Unproven
- L vs John Dodson61May 5, 2012 · Top-5
All figures are 0–100 ratings (shown as %), not percentages of anything literal. Schedule strength = the average quality of every UFC opponent faced (win or lose). Win quality = the average quality of the opponents actually beaten. The composite Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with win quality (35%). Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, falling back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. For fighters with limited UFC experience the headline is held toward a rookie baseline, so debut / low-sample fighters read lower than established names. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Career splits
Striking matchup
Each fighter's offense mapped against the other's defense — where one attacks meets where the other gets hit, across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.
Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.
Where Pantoja attacks (green = high volume) vs where Elliott gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Pantoja’s green zones meeting Elliott’s red zones are the openings.
- Head63%79th597
- Body21%74th202
- Leg15%62nd142
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes
- Head72%49th581
- Body19%64th152
- Leg10%75th77
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent
- Standing81%764
- Clinch10%94
- Ground9%83
- Standing83%673
- Clinch10%84
- Ground7%53
Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.
Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Alexandre Pantoja | top 21% of division39.7 | 42% | well below average45.1 | 597 |
| Head | Tim Elliott | above division average30.4 | 35% | around division average32.6 | 548 |
| Body | Alexandre Pantoja | top 26% of division13.5 | 74% | top 25% of division7.6 | 202 |
| Body | Tim Elliott | above division average10.3 | 54% | above division average8.9 | 185 |
| Leg | Alexandre Pantoja | above division average9.6 | 81% | top 25% of division4.9 | 142 |
| Leg | Tim Elliott | top 27% of division11.4 | 77% | top 25% of division4.9 | 215 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Takedowns, submission threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.
Each metric graded on the division — the bar leans toward whoever wins that part of the grappling exchange (longer + greener = a bigger edge).
Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.
Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns | 2.840 | 3.665 |
| Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted | 48%40 / 84 | 45%65 / 143 |
| Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced | 69%54 / 78 | 59%38 / 64 |
| Submission attempts / 15career attempts | 1.014 | 1.119 |
| Control time / 15 (min)career total | 4.8 min69:18 | 4.5 min80:45 |
| Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total | 1.7 min23:43 | 3.3 min58:32 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time. Accuracy under 8 career attempts is shown raw and ungraded — too small a sample to rate against the division.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.
When their fights end
every pro finish on the fight clockFinish & durability rates
Full professional career
Full method breakdown
| Outcome | Alexandre Pantoja | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 8(27%) | 3(14%) |
| by submission | 12(40%) | 8(38%) |
| by decision | 10(33%) | 10(48%) |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 1(17%) | 1(7%) |
| by submission | 0(0%) | 6(43%) |
| by decision | 5(83%) | 7(50%) |
Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.
KO history
UFC fights only — knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head, then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last time KO'dvs Joshua Van6 months agoUFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025 · R1 · 0:26* injury · not a clean KO
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
- Last time KO'dNever finished by strikes in the UFC
- Last time submittedvs Muhammad Mokaev2y 8mo agoUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023 · R3 · 3:03
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Cardio edge to Pantoja: Pantoja builds (+4% per round through round 5) while Elliott fades (-3% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Pantoja keeps 90% of round-1 output by round 3, Elliott 96%.
Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.
Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Alexandre Pantoja | 7.1 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.38 | 34% | 18 |
| R1 | Tim Elliott | 6.9 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.61 | 34% | 22 |
| R2 | Alexandre Pantoja | 6.8 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 0.36 | 24% | 13 |
| R2 | Tim Elliott | 6.0 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 0.57 | 27% | 18 |
| R3 | Alexandre Pantoja | 6.0 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.40 | 27% | 11 |
| R3 | Tim Elliott | 6.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.44 | 30% | 15 |
| R4 | Alexandre Pantoja | 6.3 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 0.47 | 51% | 3 |
| R4 | Tim Elliott | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 0% | 1 |
| R5 | Alexandre Pantoja | 8.9 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 0.47 | 52% | 3 |
| R5 | Tim Elliott | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.20 | 10% | 1 |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.