Justin Buchholz Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Mac Danzig Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 109: Relentless	Feb 6, 2010
L	Jeremy Stephens Lightweight	KO/TKO	Facial Cuts	R1	3:23	UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs. Guillard	Sep 16, 2009
L	Terry Etim Lightweight	Submission	D'Arce Choke From Front Headlock	R2	2:38	UFC 99: The Comeback	Jun 13, 2009
W	Corey Hill Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	3:57	UFC 86: Jackson vs. Griffin	Jul 5, 2008
L	Matt Wiman Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	2:56	UFC Fight Night: Swick vs. Burkman	Jan 23, 2008

Outside the UFC

15-7across 22 bouts · 20 promotions · wins by 8 KO · 5 sub · 1 decSCC · Icon Sport · AFC 140 · AFC 133 · TWC 23 +15

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	Carlton Minus15-6	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	AFC 140	May 16, 2018
W	Marques Facine14-16	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:25	AFC 133	Sep 20, 2017
L	Ernest Chavez10-2	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	3:22	TWC 23	Oct 30, 2015
L	Lewis Gonzalez12-4	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	WSOF 16	Dec 13, 2014
L	Clay Collard25-15	Decision	Split	R5	5:00	Showdown Fights 12	Sep 28, 2013
W	Gordon Bell8-2	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	2:06	Showdown Fights 11	May 10, 2013
W	David Castillo20-9	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	3:29	Showdown Fights 9	Nov 16, 2012
W	Clay Collard25-15	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R3	1:35	Showdown Fights 8	Aug 25, 2012
L	John Gunderson35-16-2	Submission	Kimura	R3	2:34	SCC 4	Feb 16, 2012
W	Thiago Meller21-9	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	SCC	Aug 20, 2011
W	Steve Lopez13-6-1	KO/TKO	Front Kick	R3	4:30	SCC	May 21, 2011
W	Steve Sharp28-17	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:38	Showdown Fights 4	Apr 16, 2011
L	Jason Meaders12-12	KO/TKO	Doctor Stoppage	R1	3:00	MEZ Sports	Feb 25, 2011
W	Ikaika Choy-Fu2-4	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:35	EliteXC	Sep 15, 2007
W	Marshall Harvest3-3	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	0:31	Icon Sport	Mar 31, 2007
W	Brandon Pieper11-14	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:07	Icon Sport	Feb 9, 2007
W	Arto Woods8-6	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	2:34	ROTR	Oct 21, 2006
W	Matt Peter4-4	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	2:50	DesertBrawl	Jun 17, 2006
L	Rodney Rhoden7-12	KO/TKO	Referee Stoppage	R1	2:33	AFC 22	Apr 12, 2006
W	Bo Underwood2-2	DQ	Illegal Kick	R1	0:00	AFC 12	Jun 8, 2005
W	Jimmy Gainey9-5	Submission	Triangle Choke	R2	0:00	AFC 9	Mar 9, 2005
W	Andy Garnand3-2	Submission	—	R1	0:00	AFC 8	Feb 16, 2005

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

8 wins, 4 losses

W8

L4

Submission

6 wins, 3 losses

W6

L3

Decision

1 win, 4 losses

W1

L4

Other

1 win, 0 losses

Disqualifications and other results

W1

L0

Finishes

UFC KOs

0

Below avg · 13%Welterweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.20

Below avg · 0.24Welterweight

UFC submissions

1

Above avg · 7%Welterweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.40

Above avg · 0.39Welterweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Justin Buchholz

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

1.59 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

2

1.79 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Career striking

OverallD36th

26%89 / 335

Striking accuracy

51%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-1.79 differential

Landed2.35

Absorbed4.14

42%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-23%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head71%51st63
Body16%43rd14
Leg13%51st12

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

63%Standing

Standing63%56
Clinch26%23
Ground11%10

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Justin Buchholz

Landed per 15

Head

C

42nd

24.9

42nd

Body

D

28th

5.5

28th

Leg

D

37th

4.7

37th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

21st

44.3

21st

Body

B

63rd

7.9

63rd

Leg

D

28th

9.9

28th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	24.9	63	285	22%
Body	5.5	14	24	58%
Leg	4.7	12	26	46%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	44.3	112	266	42%
Body	7.9	20	30	67%
Leg	9.9	25	27	93%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Justin Buchholz

0%

Takedown accuracy

33%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-3.0 min net

On top1.8

On bottom4.8

Offense

Takedowns

D

40th

0.0

40th

TD accuracy

0%

Sub attempts

B

70th

0.8

70th

Control

C

50th

1.8 min

50th

Defense

TD defense

D

25th

33%

25th

Controlled

4.8 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	0 / 1
Submission attempts	2
Control time	4:31

Defense

TDs defended	3 / 9
Control absorbed	12:08

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (38min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Justin Buchholz

5 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 38 min

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Buchholz hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

BuchholzOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Buchholzlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Buchholzattempts / min

Control time

Buchholz% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	3.2	2.8	4.5	0.00	10%	5
R2	2.6	2.0	3.4	0.09	10%	3
R3	2.4	1.4	4.6	0.00	26%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Justin Buchholz

5 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

30/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

F

25th

23%

25th

Win quality

F

22nd

30%

22nd

Limited UFC sample (5 bouts). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

2

Cross-div rankedRanked #1–#15 in another division at the time
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Cross-div ranked	1	0-1	0%
Contender-level	1	0-1	0%
Established	1	0-1	0%
Unproven	2	1-1	50%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

Pre-UFC opposition

Strong

Opponents' combined record

287-181-3

.613 win rate

Winning-record opponents

14 of 22

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

22

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Mac Danzig	Unproven	12	Feb 6, 2010
L	Jeremy Stephens	Cross-div ranked	36	Sep 16, 2009
L	Terry Etim	Established	26	Jun 13, 2009
W	Corey Hill	Unproven	8	Jul 5, 2008
L	Matt Wiman	Contender-level	36	Jan 23, 2008

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

5 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

0-1

1 bout

Typical camp

100–180 days

1-1

2 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

0-1

1 bout

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-2

3 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

0-1

1 bout

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

8y 1mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Justin Buchholz

Extended layoff

8y 1mosince last bout

vs Carlton Minus · May 16, 2018

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs underdog 1-3

28.5

DK avg

22.5

Median

26.7

Ceiling

4.0

Floor

20%

Boom

40%

Bust

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