Alden Coria vs Stewart Nicoll Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Alden Coria

edge

Stewart Nicoll

Striking

◂ Coria

Coria out-strikes Nicoll (thin sample)

Effective offense

A

79th

2.1

+30

C

49th

1.4

Defense

A+

92nd

69%

+78

F

14th

49%

KO power

D

5 KO

0.0 KD

Even

C

4 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed

C

57th

1.7

Even

C

55th

1.6

Takedown accuracy

50%

12%

Takedown defense

71%

29%

Control time

B

61st

2.9 min

+15

C

46th

2.0 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Little submission threat either way (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

14th

0.0

Even

F

14th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

66th

33%

4 subs

Even

B

66th

38%

3 subs

Submission defense

C

42nd

7%

Even

D

39th

9%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both are heavy finishers — Coria by KO (9 of 12 wins), Nicoll by KO (7 of 8).

Finish rate (of wins)

75% (9/12)

88% (7/8)

By KO/TKO

5

4

By submission

4

3

Avg finish round

R1.9 avg finish

R1.4 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

Nicoll ▸

Nicoll pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

6.5

7.5

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

5.4

7.5

Pace trend+31%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Coria

Coria is in better recent form than Nicoll (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

100%

0%

After a win100%—

Last 5

100%

40%

Win streakW3L3

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

13%

15%

Win quality

62%

35%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Common opp (1)1-00-1

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

5mo

3mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

Even

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Coria

Coria 2" reach · Coria 8 cm · Closed-stance matchup

Alden CoriavsStewart Nicoll

28

Age

3y

younger

31

5'8"

173cm

Height

3"

taller

5'5"

165cm

67"

170cm

Reach

2"

reach

66"

166cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Alden CoriaStewart Nicoll

Percentile

Striking/min4.693.63

Accuracy%44%39%

Defense%69%49%

Takedowns/151.81.6

TD defense%71%28%

Submissions/150.00.0

Career rate as a percentile within the flyweight (172 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Alden Coria

Stewart Nicoll

88%

-1000

MMA Index model

Unlock

12%

+675

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

CoriaAlden Coria

NicollStewart Nicoll

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

CoriaAlden Coria

Stat

NicollStewart Nicoll

1

—

KO / TKO

—

1

0

—

Submission

—

1

—

Decision

—

1

12:54

Avg fight time

9:12

Alden Coria’s splits

vs Nicoll

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Stewart Nicoll’s splits

vs Coria

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-20%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Alden CoriavsStewart Nicoll

28

Age

3y

younger

31

5'8"

173cm

Height

3"

taller

5'5"

165cm

67"

170cm

Reach

2"

reach

66"

166cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

A

70th

+35

D

35th

Coria holds a decisive striking edge (+35).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Coria’s offensevsNicoll’s defense

Head

A

74th

37.5

+51

F

22nd

44.1

Body

C

57th

10.1

+38

F

19th

15.7

Leg

B

59th

9.1

Even

C

54th

7.3

Nicoll’s offensevsCoria’s defense

Head

B

62nd

33.5

+9

C

52nd

30.2

Body

C

55th

9.9

Even

B

62nd

9.3

Leg

C

58th

7.6

+16

C

42nd

8.4

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Alden Coria	top 26% of division37.5	39%	around division average30.2	86
Head	Stewart Nicoll	above division average33.5	33%	well below average44.1	71
Body	Alden Coria	above division average10.1	55%	above division average9.3	16
Body	Stewart Nicoll	above division average9.9	76%	well below average15.7	16
Leg	Alden Coria	above division average9.1	100%	below division average8.4	19
Leg	Stewart Nicoll	above division average7.6	87%	around division average7.3	13

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Alden Coria

Stewart Nicoll

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

56th

+13

C

43rd

Coria has the grappling edge (+13).

Takedowns

C

57th

1.7

Even

C

56th

1.6

Takedown accuracy

50%

3/6

F

12th

12%

3/26

Takedown defense

71%

5/7

29%

2/7

Submission threat

C

49th

0.0

Even

C

48th

0.0

Control time

B

61st

2.9 min

Even

C

54th

2.0 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Alden Coria	Stewart Nicoll
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.73	1.63
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	50%3 / 6	12%3 / 26
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	71%5 / 7	29%2 / 7
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.9 min5:00	2.0 min3:40
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.6 min2:45	1.6 min2:59

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.

Alden Coria

Stewart Nicoll

Record vs common opponents

Edge · Coria

1-0

1-0

0-1

0-1

Edge · Coria

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Alden Coria

30

Schedule Score

Stewart Nicoll

29

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

26 min

2 bouts

Octagon time

2 min

more

28 min

3 bouts

Schedule strength

13%

15%

Win quality

62%

35%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Coria faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .551 career win rate vs .514 for Nicoll.

Alden Coria

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

81-66-1

.551 win rate

Winning-record opponents

8 of 14

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

14

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Stewart Nicoll

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

37-35

.514 win rate

Winning-record opponents

2 of 8

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

8

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Alden Coria	Stewart Nicoll
Building	1-0	0-2
Unproven	1-0	0-1

Alden Coria — bouts

Stewart Nicoll — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Alden Coria

Stewart Nicoll

Coria — last 5

recent → old

WFURY

KO R2

Ponce

May ’25

NCFURY

OTHER R1

Moran

Jan ’25

WFURY

KO R2

Ocon

Nov ’24

Nicoll — last 5

recent → old

WBEATDOWN

KO R1

Kitano

Mar ’24

WBEATDOWN

KO R1

Moodley

Sep ’23

Last 5 record

4-0

2-3

Current streak

W3

L3

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

3 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Alden Coria

Stewart Nicoll

Post-result bounce

SituationCoria Nicoll

After a loss

—

0-20%

After a win

1-0100%

—

Camp length

SituationCoria Nicoll

Typical camp100–180 days

1-0100%

0-10%

Long layoff> 180 days

—

0-10%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Alden Coria

Stewart Nicoll

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Coria9W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Nicoll7W–2L by finish · 71% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑13%·Nicoll

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑13%·Nicoll

B

64th

75%

+15

A

78th

88%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

33%

18%

KO durability

↑9%·Coria

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑9%·Coria

B

63rd

0%

+35

D

28th

9%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

C

43rd

7%

Even

D

36th

9%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Alden Coria	Stewart Nicoll
Wins
by KO / TKO	5(42%)	4(50%)
by submission	4(33%)	3(38%)
by decision	3(25%)	1(13%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0(0%)	1(33%)
by submission	1(33%)	1(33%)
by decision	2(67%)	1(33%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Alden Coria

vs

Stewart Nicoll

50%

1 KO/TKO in 2 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 3 bouts

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

1

0.9 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Alden CoriaFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Stewart NicollFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Alessandro Costa3 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 4, 2026 · R2 · 4:56
Last time submitted
vs Jesus Aguilar1y 10mo ago
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 17, 2024 · R1 · 2:39

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Alden Coria

186%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

Stewart Nicoll

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Coria lifts to 186% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Nicoll hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Coria ▲ BUILDS

NicollOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Coria

Nicolllanded / min

Takedown attempts

Coria

Nicollattempts / min

Control time

Coria

Nicoll% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Alden Coria	4.8	4.4	2.1	0.10	2%	2
R1	Stewart Nicoll	8.3	3.9	3.0	1.11	28%	3
R2	Alden Coria	6.0	3.4	1.3	0.30	43%	2
R2	Stewart Nicoll	6.6	4.1	6.3	0.81	1%	2
R3	Alden Coria	8.9	7.4	4.8	0.35	10%	2
R3	Stewart Nicoll	4.4	2.0	12.0	0.80	0%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.