Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Azamat Murzakanov

edge

Dominick Reyes

Striking

◂ Murzakanov

Murzakanov out-strikes Reyes

Effective offense

A+

87th

2.5

Even

A+

89th

2.6

Defense

B

64th

56%

+17

C

46th

49%

KO power

A

12 KO

0.9 KD

+10

B

10 KO

0.5 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Wrestling stays neutral

Takedowns landed

C

46th

0.7

+20

D

25th

0.3

Takedown accuracy

21%

29%

Takedown defense

A

70th

89%

Even

A

75th

83%

Control time

D

34th

1.5 min

+9

F

25th

1.1 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Both real submission threats

Submission attempts

B

58th

0.2

Even

B

59th

0.3

Sub win rate

C

53rd

6%

1 sub

Even

C

57th

13%

2 subs

Submission defense

C

49th

0%

Even

C

49th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Murzakanov

Murzakanov is more likely to finish Reyes

Finish rate

C

56th

83%

+8

C

48th

70%

KO durability

C

57th

14%

+14

C

44th

27%

Submission defense

C

46th

0%

Even

C

49th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Murzakanov

Murzakanov pushes the higher work rate over the fight — Murzakanov's pace builds while Reyes's fades

Work rate / min — full fight

6.2

5.4

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

5.4

6.1

Pace trend

+30%/rd

-15%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Even

Comparable recent form

Win rate (career)

86%

67%

After a win

83%

78%

Last 5

80%

Even

80%

Win streakL1W1

See full Form →

Schedule

Reyes ▸

Reyes has faced the tougher schedule vs Murzakanov

Schedule strength

50%

75%

Win quality

76%

56%

Ranked opponents

3

12

Title-holder bouts

0

1

Common opp (1)1-01-0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

4mo

Even

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

Even

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

4

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Reyes ▸

Reyes 5" reach · Reyes 15 cm · Closed-stance matchup

Azamat MurzakanovvsDominick Reyes

37

Age

1y

younger

36

5'10"

178cm

Height

6"

taller

6'4"

193cm

72"

182cm

Reach

5"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Azamat MurzakanovDominick Reyes

Percentile

Striking/min4.404.99

Accuracy%56%53%

Defense%56%49%

Takedowns/150.70.3

TD defense%88%82%

Submissions/150.20.2

Career rate as a percentile within the light heavyweight (227 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

MurzakanovAzamat Murzakanov

ReyesDominick Reyes

—

As pick'em

0-10%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

MurzakanovAzamat Murzakanov

Stat

ReyesDominick Reyes

5

1

KO / TKO

6

4

0

Submission

1

0

1

0

Decision

3

1

9:03

Avg fight time

7:51

Azamat Murzakanov’s splits

vs Reyes

vs Orthodox

6-186%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Dominick Reyes’s splits

vs Murzakanov

vs Orthodox

7-558%

vs Switch

2-0100%

vs Longer reach

3-443%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Azamat MurzakanovvsDominick Reyes

37

Age

1y

younger

36

5'10"

178cm

Height

6"

taller

6'4"

193cm

72"

182cm

Reach

5"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

A

73rd

+8

B

65th

Murzakanov has the striking edge (+8).

Attacking

Murzakanov’s offensevsReyes’s defense

Where Murzakanov attacks (green = high volume) vs where Reyes gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Murzakanov’s green zones meeting Reyes’s red zones are the openings.

Azamat MurzakanovOffense

Head71%75th201
Body25%77th71
Leg4%36th11

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Dominick ReyesDefense

Head53%62nd212
Body20%47th82
Leg27%21st107

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Murzakanov — by position

69%Standing

Standing69%196
Clinch6%18
Ground24%69

Reyes — absorbed by position

93%Standing

Standing93%371
Clinch4%16
Ground3%14

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Murzakanov’s offensevsReyes’s defense

Head

A

75th

41.1

+13

B

62nd

29.6

Body

A

77th

14.0

+30

C

47th

10.5

Leg

D

36th

5.0

+14

F

21st

12.3

Reyes’s offensevsMurzakanov’s defense

Head

B

70th

39.3

Even

B

62nd

28.7

Body

A

83rd

15.7

+43

D

41st

11.3

Leg

A

77th

13.0

+54

F

23rd

12.0

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Azamat Murzakanov	top 25% of division41.1	50%	above division average28.7	201
Head	Dominick Reyes	top 30% of division39.3	43%	above division average29.6	331
Body	Azamat Murzakanov	top 23% of division14.0	81%	below division average11.3	71
Body	Dominick Reyes	top 17% of division15.7	74%	around division average10.5	141
Leg	Azamat Murzakanov	below division average5.0	92%	well below average12.0	11
Leg	Dominick Reyes	top 23% of division13.0	86%	well below average12.3	116

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Azamat Murzakanov

Dominick Reyes

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

53rd

Even

C

54th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

55th

0.7

+15

D

41st

0.3

Takedown accuracy

D

32nd

21%

3/14

29%

2/7

Takedown defense

A

70th

89%

8/9

Even

A

75th

83%

34/41

Submission threat

B

64th

0.2

Even

B

62nd

0.3

Control time

C

45th

1.5 min

Even

D

37th

1.1 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Azamat Murzakanov	Dominick Reyes
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.73	0.32
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	21%3 / 14	29%2 / 7
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	89%8 / 9	83%34 / 41
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.21	0.32
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.5 min6:08	1.1 min8:15
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.6 min6:33	1.1 min8:54

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.

Azamat Murzakanov

Dominick Reyes

Record vs common opponents

Even

1-0

1-0

1-0

1-0

Both won

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Azamat Murzakanov

59

Schedule Score

Dominick Reyes

73

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

63 min

7 bouts

Octagon time

55 min

more

118 min

15 bouts

Schedule strength

50%

75%

Win quality

76%

56%

Ranked opponents

3

12

Title-holder bouts

0

1

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Azamat Murzakanov	Dominick Reyes
Champion	—	0-4
Top-5	1-0	4-0
Ranked 6–15	2-1	3-1
Cross-div champ	—	1-0
Building	1-0	—
Unproven	2-0	2-0

Azamat Murzakanov — bouts

Dominick Reyes — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Azamat Murzakanov

Dominick Reyes

Murzakanov — last 5

recent → old

Reyes — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

4-1

Even

4-1

Current streak

L1

W1

Ranked opps

3 of 5

5 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

Even

5 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Azamat Murzakanov

Dominick Reyes

Camp length

SituationMurzakanov Reyes

Typical camp100–180 days

2-167%

5-271%

Long layoff> 180 days

3-0100%

4-357%

Post-result bounce

SituationMurzakanov Reyes

After a loss

—

2-340%

After a win

5-183%

7-278%

Title fights

SituationMurzakanov Reyes

All title fightschallenger or champ

—

0-20%

As challengerfor the belt

—

0-20%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Azamat Murzakanov

Dominick Reyes

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Murzakanov13W–1L by finish · 77% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Reyes12W–4L by finish · 92% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑6%·Murzakanov

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑6%·Murzakanov

D

41st

81%

Even

D

34th

75%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

18%

24%

KO durability

↑13%·Murzakanov

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑13%·Murzakanov

A

74th

6%

+26

C

48th

19%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

B

69th

0%

Even

B

69th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Azamat Murzakanov	Dominick Reyes
Wins
by KO / TKO	12(75%)	10(63%)
by submission	1(6%)	2(13%)
by decision	3(19%)	4(25%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(100%)	4(80%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	0(0%)	1(20%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Azamat Murzakanov

vs

Dominick Reyes

75%

6 KO/TKO in 8 bouts

Knockout rate

40%

6 KO/TKO in 15 bouts

6

3.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

7

2.1 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

4

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

1

1.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

4

1.9 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Azamat MurzakanovFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Paulo Costa4 months ago
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Apr 11, 2026 · R3 · 1:23
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Dominick ReyesFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Carlos Ulberg10 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 27, 2025 · R1 · 4:27
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Azamat Murzakanov

223%

R3 vs R1 · 4 bouts reaching R3

Dominick Reyes

85%

R3 vs R1 · 4 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Murzakanov: Murzakanov builds (+30% per round through round 3) while Reyes fades (-15% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Murzakanov lifts to 223% of round-1 output by round 3, Reyes 85%.

Murzakanov ▲ BUILDS

Reyes ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Murzakanov

Reyeslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Murzakanov

Reyesattempts / min

Control time

Murzakanov

Reyes% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Azamat Murzakanov	4.0	3.3	2.8	0.13	7%	7
R1	Dominick Reyes	5.7	5.3	3.3	0.06	6%	15
R2	Azamat Murzakanov	6.8	5.4	3.3	0.30	14%	5
R2	Dominick Reyes	6.4	5.5	3.5	0.12	13%	7
R3	Azamat Murzakanov	7.7	6.4	5.1	0.36	5%	4
R3	Dominick Reyes	4.1	4.1	3.0	0.00	1%	4
R4	Azamat Murzakanov	—	—	—	—	—	—
R4	Dominick Reyes	2.6	2.6	4.0	0.00	0%	1
R5	Azamat Murzakanov	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Dominick Reyes	4.2	4.2	5.2	0.00	0%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.