Billy Goff vs Ty Miller Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Billy Goff

edge

Ty Miller

Striking

Miller ▸

Miller out-strikes Goff (thin sample)

Effective offense—2.7

Defense—64%

KO power

C

7 KO

0.3 KD

+10

C

3 KO

1.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Wrestling stays neutral (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

D

32nd

0.7

+24

F

8th

0.0

Takedown accuracy7%—

Takedown defense

50%

100%

Control time

B

63rd

3.5 min

+60

F

3rd

0.2 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Little submission threat either way (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

19th

0.0

Even

F

19th

0.0

Sub win rate

C

53rd

0%

0 subs

Even

C

54th

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

D

36th

8%

Even

D

41st

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finishing threats (thin sample)

Finish rate

B

58th

100%

Even

B

58th

100%

KO durability

C

54th

0%

Even

C

47th

0%

Submission defense

F

24th

33%

+9

D

33rd

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Even

Similar work rate over the fight (thin sample)

Work rate / min — full fight

11.3

11.9

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

11.3

11.9

See full Pace →

Form

Miller ▸

Miller is in better recent form than Goff (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

33%

100%

After a win0%—

Last 5

60%

100%

Win streakL2W2

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

17%

12%

Win quality

39%

62%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Miller ▸

Miller is fresher and more active than Goff

Last bout

14mo

6mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

0

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

1

2

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Miller ▸

Miller 5" reach · Miller 10 cm

Billy GoffvsTy Miller

28

Age

2y

younger

26

5'10"

178cm

Height

4"

taller

6'2"

188cm

73"

184cm

Reach

5"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

On the bubbleBilly Goff 29% cut risk · 2-fight skid

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Goff faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .622 career win rate vs .547 for Miller.

Billy Goff

Strong

Opponents' combined record

61-37

.622 win rate

Winning-record opponents

6 of 9

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

9

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Ty Miller

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

29-24

.547 win rate

Winning-record opponents

4 of 6

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

6

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 2m ago

Billy Goff

Consensus

12%▼ 20

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Goff

Kalshi1¢bestSportsbook+33022%

Ty Miller

Consensus

88%▲ 20

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Miller

Kalshi100¢Sportsbook-42578%best

Goff 12%88% Miller

$1.2M vol · $955k OI$1.2M vol · $781k OI

More Kalshi markets · yes-price

Fight goes the distance1¢

Ends under1.5 1¢2.5 1¢

Goff wins by

KO 1¢Sub 1¢Dec 1¢

Miller wins by

KO 100¢Sub 1¢Dec 1¢

Draw / No contest 1¢

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Billy Goff

10%+900

5%+1800

8%+1150

Ty Miller

44%+120

3%+3385

31%+212

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Billy Goff

10%+900

5%+1800

8%+1150

Ty Miller

44%+120

3%+3385

31%+212

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over47%+110
Under53%-120

Goes the distance

Yes39%+156
No61%-150

UFC betting history

Career

GoffBilly Goff

MillerTy Miller

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi79%99%20 pts

Sportsbook77%78%1 pt

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

GoffBilly Goff

Stat

MillerTy Miller

1

0

KO / TKO

1

—

0

1

Submission

0

—

0

1

Decision

0

—

7:22

Avg fight time

4:59

Billy Goff’s splits

vs Miller

vs Southpaw

1-0100%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

1-150%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Ty Miller’s splits

vs Goff

vs Orthodox

0-0no data

vs Southpaw

1-0100%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Billy GoffvsTy Miller

28

Age

2y

younger

26

5'10"

178cm

Height

4"

taller

6'2"

188cm

73"

184cm

Reach

5"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

55th

+10

B

65th

Miller has the striking edge (+10).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Goff’s offensevsMiller’s defense

Head

A

76th

36.8

+35

D

41st

33.8

Body

A

79th

13.6

+62

F

17th

15.8

Leg

A+

88th

16.3

+52

D

36th

8.7

Miller’s offensevsGoff’s defense

Head

A

84th

42.8

+64

F

20th

46.0

Body

B

60th

9.8

+8

C

51st

9.3

Leg

C

57th

7.5

Even

B

62nd

5.6

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Billy Goff	top 24% of division36.8	34%	well below average46.0	77
Head	Ty Miller	top 16% of division42.8	48%	below division average33.8	55
Body	Billy Goff	top 21% of division13.6	58%	around division average9.3	32
Body	Ty Miller	above division average9.8	67%	well below average15.8	4
Leg	Billy Goff	top 12% of division16.3	83%	above division average5.6	48
Leg	Ty Miller	above division average7.5	—	below division average8.7	0

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Billy Goff

Ty Miller

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

46th

+12

B

59th

Miller has the grappling edge (+12).

Takedowns

C

53rd

0.7

Even

C

58th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

F

15th

7%

1/14

—

Takedown defense

50%

2/4

100%

2/2

Submission threat

C

58th

0.0

Even

B

65th

0.0

Control time

B

59th

3.5 min

Even

C

54th

0.2 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Billy Goff	Ty Miller
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.71	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	7%1 / 14	—0 / 0
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	50%2 / 4	100%2 / 2
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	3.5 min5:10	0.2 min0:03
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.2 min1:42	0.0 min0:00

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Billy Goff

30

Schedule Score

Ty Miller

28

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

22 min

3 bouts

Octagon time

17 min

more

5 min

1 bout

Schedule strength

17%

12%

Win quality

39%

62%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Billy Goff	Ty Miller
Established	0-1	—
Building	0-1	—
Unproven	1-0	1-0

Billy Goff — bouts

Ty Miller — bouts

W vs Adam Fugitt12
Jan 24, 2026 · Unproven

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Billy Goff

Ty Miller

Goff — last 5

recent → old

WCES

KO R2

Sumter

Apr ’22

Miller — last 5

recent → old

NCLFA

OTHER R1

Rocha

Dec ’24

WLFA

KO R1

Charlebois

Jun ’24

WFW

DEC

Tovar

Mar ’24

Last 5 record

3-2

4-0

Current streak

L2

W2

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

15 mo

7 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Billy Goff

Ty Miller

Post-result bounce

SituationGoff Miller

After a loss

0-10%

—

After a win

0-10%

—

Camp length

SituationGoff Miller

Long layoff> 180 days

0-20%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Billy Goff

Ty Miller

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Goff6W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Miller3W–0L by finish · every finish in R1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑35%·Goff

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑35%·Goff

C

45th

78%

+27

F

18th

43%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

31%

57%

KO durability

↑8%·Miller

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑8%·Miller

B

61st

8%

+11

A

72nd

0%

Submission defense

↑8%·Miller

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑8%·Miller

C

54th

8%

+10

B

65th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Billy Goff	Ty Miller
Wins
by KO / TKO	7(78%)	3(43%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	2(22%)	4(57%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(25%)	0
by submission	1(25%)	0
by decision	2(50%)	0

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Billy Goff

vs

Ty Miller

50%

2 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

Knockout rate

50%

1 KO/TKO in 2 bouts

1

1.3 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

1.8 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Billy GoffFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
vs Ramiz Brahimaj1y 2mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025 · R1 · 3:16

Ty MillerFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Billy Goff

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Ty Miller

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Neither fighter has reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Billy Goff	9.2	6.5	4.6	0.58	23%	3
R1	Ty Miller	11.9	11.8	7.2	0.00	1%	1
R2	Billy Goff	13.5	10.2	6.2	1.00	8%	1
R2	Ty Miller	—	—	—	—	—	—
R3	Billy Goff	8.2	5.4	5.4	0.40	41%	1
R3	Ty Miller	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.