Farid Basharat vs John Garza Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Farid Basharat

edge

John Garza

Striking

Not enough data

Effective offense2.2—

Defense62%—

KO power1 KO—

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed3.4—

Takedown accuracy42%—

Takedown defense55%—

Control time4.9 min—

See full Grappling →

Submission

Not enough data

Submission attempts0.4—

Sub win rate

A

79th

40%

6 subs

+15

B

64th

17%

1 sub

Submission defense

C

42nd

0%

Even

C

42nd

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Garza ▸

Garza finishes a higher share of wins — 67% (4/6) vs 47% (7/15).

Finish rate (of wins)

47% (7/15)

67% (4/6)

By KO/TKO

1

3

By submission

6

1

Avg finish round

R1.9 avg finish

R1.6 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

Garza ▸

Garza ends fights earlier — only 29% of bouts go the distance.

Goes the distance

53%

29%

Avg finish round

R1.9 avg finish

R1.6 avg finish

See full Pace →

Form

Even

Similar recent form — Basharat 5-0 in the last 5 (15-fight win streak), Garza 5-0 (5-fight win streak).

Last 5

5-0

Even

5-0

Current streak

15-fight win streak

5-fight win streak

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Basharat

Basharat has faced stiffer competition — opponents average 56% win rate vs 45%.

Opponents avg win rate

56%

45%

Opponents with a record on file

15 of 15

7 of 7

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Basharat

Basharat has fought more often lately than Garza

Last bout

5mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

0

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

0

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Garza ▸

Garza 5y younger

Farid BasharatvsJohn Garza

28

Age

5y

younger

23

5'8"

173cm

Height

Even

5'8"

173cm

71"

180cm

Reach

—

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 14m ago

Farid Basharat

Consensus

83%▲ 6

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Basharat

Kalshi83¢bestSportsbook-61583%

John Garza

Consensus

18%▲ 4

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Garza

Kalshi19¢Sportsbook+46517%best

Basharat 83%18% Garza

$11k vol · $10k OI$39k vol · $37k OI

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Farid Basharat

9%+925

35%+148

37%+134

John Garza

10%+775

2%+3500

7%+1200

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Farid Basharat

9%+925

35%+148

37%+134

John Garza

10%+775

2%+3500

7%+1200

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over51%-120
Under49%-111

Goes the distance

Yes46%+106
No54%-137

UFC betting history

Career

BasharatFarid Basharat

GarzaJohn Garza

Line movement

Win probability over time

tap to toggle

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

BasharatFarid Basharat

Stat

GarzaJohn Garza

0

—

KO / TKO

—

1

—

Submission

—

5

—

Decision

—

13:13

Avg fight time

—

Farid Basharat’s splits

vs Garza

vs Orthodox

4-0100%

vs Southpaw

1-0100%

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Longer reach

3-0100%

vs Shorter reach

3-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

John Garza’s splits

vs Basharat

vs Orthodox

0-0no data

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Farid BasharatvsJohn Garza

28

Age

5y

younger

23

5'8"

173cm

Height

Even

5'8"

173cm

71"

180cm

Reach

—

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

61st

+18

C

43rd

Basharat has the striking edge (+18).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Basharat’s offensevsGarza’s defense

Head

B

58th

32.3

36.6

Body

C

51st

10.0

11.6

Leg

A

73rd

10.5

9.0

Garza’s offensevsBasharat’s defense

Head

31.5

B

59th

29.1

Body

10.9

C

42nd

11.3

Leg

8.2

D

39th

9.9

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Farid Basharat	above division average32.3	40%	above division average29.1	173
Head	John Garza	31.5	—	36.6	0
Body	Farid Basharat	around division average10.0	64%	below division average11.3	50
Body	John Garza	10.9	—	11.6	0
Leg	Farid Basharat	top 27% of division10.5	77%	below division average9.9	62
Leg	John Garza	8.2	—	9.0	0

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Farid Basharat

John Garza

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

64th

—

Takedowns

A

83rd

3.4

—

Takedown accuracy

B

60th

42%

18/43

—

Takedown defense

D

39th

55%

12/22

—

Submission threat

B

59th

0.4

—

Control time

A

77th

4.9 min

—

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Farid Basharat	John Garza
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	3.418	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	42%18 / 43	—0 / 0
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	55%12 / 22	—0 / 0
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.42	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	4.9 min26:08	0.0 min0:00
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.7 min8:50	0.0 min0:00

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Farid Basharat

43

Schedule Score

John Garza

—

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

79 min

6 bouts

Octagon time

—

UFC debut

Schedule strength

26%

—%

Win quality

70%

—%

Ranked opponents

1

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for John Garza, from opponents’ full pro records

John Garza

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

22-27

.449 win rate

Winning-record opponents

3 of 7

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

7

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Farid Basharat	John Garza
Top-15	1-0	—
Established	2-0	—
Building	1-0	—
Unproven	2-0	—

Farid Basharat — bouts

John Garza — bouts

No resolved UFC bouts.

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Farid Basharat

John Garza

Basharat — last 5

recent → old

Garza — pre-UFC · last 5

recent → old

WFURY

KO R2

Walker

Jan ’26

WFURY

KO R1

Reyes

Nov ’25

WFURY

DEC

Rosas

May ’25

WFURY

KO R2

Zuniga

Feb ’25

WMELEE

DEC

Gjelaj

Aug ’24

Last 5 record

5-0

Even

5-0

Current streak

W5

Even

W5

Ranked opps

1 of 5

0 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

Even

5 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Farid Basharat

John Garza

Post-result bounce

SituationBasharat Garza

After a win

5-0100%

—

Camp length

SituationBasharat Garza

Typical camp100–180 days

2-0100%

—

Long layoff> 180 days

3-0100%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Farid Basharat

John Garza

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Basharat7W–0L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Garza4W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑20%·Garza

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑20%·Garza

F

23rd

47%

+23

C

46th

67%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

53%

29%

KO durability

↑14%·Basharat

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑14%·Basharat

B

65th

0%

+42

F

23rd

14%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

B

58th

0%

Even

B

58th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Farid Basharat	John Garza
Wins
by KO / TKO	1(7%)	3(50%)
by submission	6(40%)	1(17%)
by decision	8(53%)	2(33%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0	1(100%)
by submission	0	0(0%)
by decision	0	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Farid Basharat

vs

John Garza

0%

0 KO/TKO in 7 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 0 bouts

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

—

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

—

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Farid BasharatFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

John GarzaFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Farid Basharat

110%

R3 vs R1 · 5 bouts reaching R3

John Garza

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Basharat lifts to 110% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Garza hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Farid Basharat	6.5	2.9	2.1	0.68	38%	6
R1	John Garza	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Farid Basharat	6.2	4.7	3.5	0.24	19%	5
R2	John Garza	—	—	—	—	—	—
R3	Farid Basharat	7.0	3.3	3.8	0.68	41%	5
R3	John Garza	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.

Activity & layoff

Activity and recency vs division peers.

Time since last UFC bout

Farid5 months

John5 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Farid Basharat

Active

5 monthssince last bout

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 7, 2026

John Garza

Active

5 monthssince last bout

vs Josh Walker · Jan 30, 2026

Farid Basharat vs John Garza — Bantamweight at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2