Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Ryan Gandra

edge

Zach Reese

Striking

◂ Gandra

Gandra out-strikes Reese (thin sample)

Effective offense

A+

100th

6.5

+9

A+

90th

2.4

Defense

A+

92nd

81%

+66

D

26th

43%

KO power

B

6 KO

1.0 KD

Even

C

5 KO

0.1 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed

F

9th

0.0

+78

A+

86th

2.9

Takedown accuracy—61%

Takedown defense—55%

Control time

F

1st

0.0 min

+47

C

47th

2.8 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Reese ▸

Reese is the bigger submission threat on Gandra (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

18th

0.0

+62

A

80th

1.1

Sub win rate

B

59th

11%

1 sub

Even

B

66th

30%

3 subs

Submission defense

C

46th

0%

Even

C

46th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Gandra

Gandra is more likely to finish Reese (thin sample)

Finish rate

C

54th

100%

+10

C

44th

50%

KO durability

C

50th

0%

+15

D

36th

29%

Submission defense

D

36th

0%

+9

C

45th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Gandra

Gandra pushes the higher work rate over the fight (thin sample)

Work rate / min — full fight

20.5

6.2

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

20.5

5.6

Pace trend—+12%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Gandra

Gandra is in better recent form than Reese (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

100%

57%

After a win—50%

Last 5

100%

50%

Win streakW5L1

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

8%

20%

Win quality

58%

43%

Ranked opponents

0

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Common opp (1)1-01-0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

4mo

5mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

Even

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

5

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Reese ▸

Reese 3" reach · Reese 8 cm · Switch-stance wrinkle

Ryan GandravsZach Reese

31

Age

1y

younger

32

6'1"

185cm

Height

3"

taller

6'4"

193cm

74"

188cm

Reach

3"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Ryan GandraZach Reese

Percentile

Striking/min13.024.48

Accuracy%50%54%

Defense%81%43%

Takedowns/150.02.8

TD defense%100%52%

Submissions/150.01.3

Career rate as a percentile within the middleweight (353 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 14m ago

Ryan Gandra

Consensus

55%▲ 56

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Gandra

Kalshi56¢bestSportsbook-13555%

Zach Reese

Consensus

45%▲ 45

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Reese

Kalshi45¢bestSportsbook+11445%

Gandra 55%45% Reese

$15k vol · $13k OI$21k vol · $18k OI

UFC betting history

Career

GandraRyan Gandra

ReeseZach Reese

Line movement

Win probability over time

tap to toggle

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

GandraRyan Gandra

Stat

ReeseZach Reese

1

—

KO / TKO

1

2

0

—

Submission

1

0

—

Decision

2

1

0:41

Avg fight time

8:07

Ryan Gandra’s splits

vs Reese

vs Orthodox

1-0100%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Zach Reese’s splits

vs Gandra

vs Southpaw

1-0100%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Ryan GandravsZach Reese

31

Age

1y

younger

32

6'1"

185cm

Height

3"

taller

6'4"

193cm

74"

188cm

Reach

3"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

A

84th

+28

C

56th

Gandra holds a decisive striking edge (+28).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Gandra’s offensevsReese’s defense

Head

B

68th

33.0

+22

C

46th

32.1

Body

B

60th

9.6

+48

F

12th

15.3

Leg

B

59th

7.3

Even

C

55th

6.2

Reese’s offensevsGandra’s defense

Head

B

63rd

31.8

+16

C

47th

31.6

Body

A+

87th

15.5

+43

C

44th

9.4

Leg

A

77th

10.5

+30

C

47th

7.3

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Ryan Gandra	above division average33.0	52%	around division average31.6	14
Head	Zach Reese	above division average31.8	41%	around division average32.1	129
Body	Ryan Gandra	above division average9.6	0%	below division average9.4	0
Body	Zach Reese	top 13% of division15.5	77%	bottom of the division15.3	76
Leg	Ryan Gandra	above division average7.3	—	around division average7.3	0
Leg	Zach Reese	top 23% of division10.5	91%	above division average6.2	49

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Ryan Gandra

Zach Reese

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

59th

Even

B

65th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

57th

0.0

+22

A

79th

2.9

Takedown accuracy

—

A

80th

61%

11/18

Takedown defense

—

D

39th

55%

11/20

Submission threat

B

66th

0.0

Even

A

74th

1.1

Control time

C

54th

0.0 min

Even

C

52nd

2.8 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Ryan Gandra	Zach Reese
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	2.911
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	—0 / 0	61%11 / 18
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	—0 / 0	55%11 / 20
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	1.14
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	2.8 min10:30
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	3.6 min13:32

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.

Ryan Gandra

Zach Reese

Record vs common opponents

Even

1-0

1-0

1-0

1-0

Both won

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

W

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Ryan Gandra

28

Schedule Score

Zach Reese

31

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

1 min

1 bout

Octagon time

56 min

more

57 min

7 bouts

Schedule strength

8%

20%

Win quality

58%

43%

Ranked opponents

0

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Ryan Gandra, from opponents’ full pro records

Ryan Gandra

Strong

Opponents' combined record

60-38-1

.612 win rate

Winning-record opponents

6 of 8

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

8

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Ryan Gandra	Zach Reese
Top-15	—	0-1
Building	—	1-2
Unproven	1-0	3-0, 1 NC

Ryan Gandra — bouts

W vs Jose Daniel Medina8
Feb 28, 2026 · Unproven

Zach Reese — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Ryan Gandra

Zach Reese

Gandra — last 5

recent → old

WLFA

KO R1

Marrero

Nov ’24

WLFA

KO R2

Gambulino

Nov ’23

WBISON

SUB R1

Bezerra

Sep ’23

WFMMAMG

DEC

Fabiano

Apr ’23

Reese — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

5-0

2-2

Current streak

W5

L1

Ranked opps

0 of 5

1 of 5

Layoff

4 mo

Even

5 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Ryan Gandra

Zach Reese

Post-result bounce

SituationGandra Reese

After a loss

—

2-0100%

After a win

—

2-250%

Camp length

SituationGandra Reese

Short turnaround< 100 days

—

1-0100%

Typical camp100–180 days

—

2-250%

Long layoff> 180 days

—

1-0100%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Ryan Gandra

Zach Reese

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Gandra6W–1L by finish · 83% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Reese7W–2L by finish · 86% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

C

46th

78%

Even

C

50th

80%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

20%

23%

KO durability

↑5%·Gandra

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑5%·Gandra

C

50th

10%

+21

D

29th

15%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

B

65th

0%

Even

B

66th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Ryan Gandra	Zach Reese
Wins
by KO / TKO	6(67%)	5(50%)
by submission	1(11%)	3(30%)
by decision	2(22%)	2(20%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(100%)	2(67%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	0(0%)	1(33%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Ryan Gandra

vs

Zach Reese

100%

2 KO/TKO in 2 bouts

Knockout rate

13%

1 KO/TKO in 8 bouts

1

7.1 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.8 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

—

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Ryan GandraFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Zach ReeseFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Azamat Bekoev1y 5mo ago
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · Jan 18, 2025 · R1 · 3:04
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Ryan Gandra

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Zach Reese

124%

R3 vs R1 · 3 bouts reaching R3

Reese lifts to 124% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Gandra hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Ryan Gandra	20.5	20.5	0.0	0.00	0%	1
R1	Zach Reese	6.0	4.6	4.6	0.24	17%	7
R2	Ryan Gandra	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Zach Reese	5.2	4.1	3.1	0.18	13%	4
R3	Ryan Gandra	—	—	—	—	—	—
R3	Zach Reese	7.5	4.6	3.3	0.60	27%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.