Ce Liu vs Levi Rodrigues Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Ce Liu

edge

Levi Rodrigues

Striking

Not enough data

Effective offense——

Defense——

KO power—5 KO

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed—0.0

Takedown accuracy——

Takedown defense—50%

Control time—0.0 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Not enough data

Submission attempts—0.0

Sub win rate

C

56th

0%

0 subs

Even

C

55th

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

C

45th

0%

Even

C

46th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finish at a similar career clip — Liu 100% (3/3), Rodrigues 100% (5/5) of wins.

Finish rate (of wins)

100% (3/3)

Even

100% (5/5)

By KO/TKO

3

5

By submission

0

Even

0

Avg finish round

R1.5 avg finish

R1.7 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

Even

Similar career tempo — fights reach a decision 0% (Liu) vs 0% (Rodrigues) of the time.

Goes the distance

0%

Even

0%

Avg finish round

R1.5 avg finish

R1.7 avg finish

See full Pace →

Form

Even

Similar recent form — Liu 3-1 in the last 5 (1-fight win streak), Rodrigues 4-1 (1-fight skid).

Last 5

3-1

4-1

Current streak

1-fight win streak

1-fight skid

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition — opponents average 46% (Liu) vs 48% (Rodrigues) career win rate.

Opponents avg win rate

46%

Even

48%

Opponents with a record on file

4 of 4

6 of 6

See full Schedule →

Activity

Rodrigues ▸

Rodrigues is fresher and more active than Liu

Last bout

3mo

1mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

0

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

0

1

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Liu

Liu 8 cm

Ce LiuvsLevi Rodrigues

29

Age

Even

29

6'5"

196cm

Height

3"

taller

6'2"

188cm

—

Reach

—

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Liu faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .591 career win rate vs .500 for Rodrigues.

Ce Liu

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

13-9

.591 win rate

Winning-record opponents

1 of 4

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

4

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Levi Rodrigues

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

12-12-1

.500 win rate

Winning-record opponents

2 of 5

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

5

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 13m ago

Ce Liu

Consensus

64%flat

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Liu

Kalshi66¢Sportsbook-19864%

Levi Rodrigues

Consensus

36%▲ 3

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Rodrigues

Kalshi36¢bestSportsbook+16436%

Liu 64%36% Rodrigues

$0 vol · $0 OI$57 vol · $57 OI

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Ce Liu

48%-145

4%+1800

11%+650

Levi Rodrigues

25%+225

4%+1800

8%+850

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Ce Liu

48%-145

4%+1800

11%+650

Levi Rodrigues

25%+225

4%+1800

8%+850

Total rounds

Line · 1.5

Over38%+161
Under62%-172

Goes the distance

Yes17%+450
No83%-700

UFC betting history

Career

LiuCe Liu

RodriguesLevi Rodrigues

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi65%65%

Sportsbook65%65%

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

LiuCe Liu

Stat

RodriguesLevi Rodrigues

—

KO / TKO

—

1

—

Submission

—

0

—

Decision

—

0

—

Avg fight time

6:40

Ce Liu’s splits

vs Rodrigues

vs Orthodox

0-0no data

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Levi Rodrigues’s splits

vs Liu

vs Orthodox

0-10%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Ce LiuvsLevi Rodrigues

29

Age

Even

29

6'5"

196cm

Height

3"

taller

6'2"

188cm

—

Reach

—

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

60th

Even

B

61st

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Liu’s offensevsRodrigues’s defense

Head

32.0

D

28th

42.8

Body

10.0

C

52nd

9.5

Leg

8.4

C

52nd

7.7

Rodrigues’s offensevsLiu’s defense

Head

C

52nd

29.9

36.4

Body

C

52nd

8.7

10.5

Leg

C

56th

8.5

8.9

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Ce Liu	32.0	—	36.4	0
Head	Levi Rodrigues	around division average29.9	26%	well below average42.8	7
Body	Ce Liu	10.0	—	10.5	0
Body	Levi Rodrigues	around division average8.7	—	around division average9.5	0
Leg	Ce Liu	8.4	—	8.9	0
Leg	Levi Rodrigues	above division average8.5	80%	around division average7.7	4

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Ce Liu

Levi Rodrigues

Overall Grappling

Grappling

—

B

60th

Takedowns

—

B

60th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

—

Takedown defense

—

50%

3/6

Submission threat

—

B

67th

0.0

Control time

—

C

51st

0.0 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Ce Liu	Levi Rodrigues
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	—0 / 0	—0 / 0
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	—0 / 0	50%3 / 6
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	0.0 min0:00
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	8.7 min3:51

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Ce Liu

—

Schedule Score

Levi Rodrigues

28

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

UFC debut

Octagon time

—

7 min

1 bout

Schedule strength

—%

8%

Win quality

—%

42%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Ce Liu	Levi Rodrigues
Unproven	—	0-1

Ce Liu — bouts

No resolved UFC bouts.

Levi Rodrigues — bouts

L vs Felipe Franco8
Jul 18, 2026 · Unproven

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Ce Liu

Levi Rodrigues

Liu — pre-UFC · last 4

recent → old

WWLF

KO R1

Barabanov

May ’26

LHAPPY

KO R2

Gnizditskiy

Oct ’24

WWLF

KO R2

Batjargal

Jun ’23

WWLF

KO R1

Yu

May ’23

Rodrigues — last 5

recent → old

WLFA

KO R1

Ribeiro

Sep ’25

WMMAU1

KO R3

Pereira

Apr ’25

WLFA

KO R2

Lima

May ’23

Last 5 record

3-1

Even

3-1

Current streak

W1

L1

Ranked opps

0 of 4

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

3 mo

38 d

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Ce Liu

Levi Rodrigues

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Liu3W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Rodrigues5W–1L by finish · 60% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

C

53rd

100%

Even

C

56th

100%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

0%

Even

0%

KO durability

↑8%·Rodrigues

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑8%·Rodrigues

D

39th

25%

+10

C

49th

17%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

C

58th

0%

Even

B

62nd

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Ce Liu	Levi Rodrigues
Wins
by KO / TKO	3(100%)	5(100%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	0(0%)	0(0%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(100%)	1(100%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	0(0%)	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Ce Liu

vs

Levi Rodrigues

0%

0 KO/TKO in 0 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 1 bout

0

—

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

—

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Ce LiuFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Levi RodriguesFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Felipe Franco5 weeks ago
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs Usman · Jul 18, 2026 · R2 · 1:40
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Ce Liu

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Levi Rodrigues

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Neither fighter has reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Ce Liu	—	—	—	—	—	—
R1	Levi Rodrigues	2.2	2.2	3.2	0.00	0%	1
R2	Ce Liu	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Levi Rodrigues	0.0	0.0	13.8	0.00	0%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.

Activity & layoff

Activity and recency vs division peers.

Time since last bout

Ce3 months

Levi5 weeks

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Ce Liu

Active

3 monthssince last bout

vs Igor Barabanov · May 23, 2026

Levi Rodrigues

Active

5 weekssince last bout

vs Felipe Franco · Jul 18, 2026

Ce Liu vs Levi Rodrigues — Light Heavyweight at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song