Sumudaerji vs Alex Perez Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Sumudaerji

edge

Alex Perez

Striking

◂ Sumudaerji

Sumudaerji out-strikes Perez

Effective offense

A+

87th

2.2

Even

A

81st

2.0

Defense

A

82nd

62%

+21

B

61st

59%

KO power

C

13 KO

0.3 KD

+14

D

7 KO

0.4 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Perez ▸

Perez has the bigger wrestling edge on Sumudaerji

Takedowns landed

D

31st

0.8

+37

B

68th

2.1

Takedown accuracy

C

57th

38%

+11

B

68th

45%

Takedown defense

A

70th

73%

Even

B

68th

73%

Control time

D

29th

1.4 min

+44

A

73rd

4.0 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Perez ▸

Perez is the bigger submission threat on Sumudaerji

Submission attempts

C

56th

0.5

Even

B

61st

0.7

Sub win rate

C

53rd

5%

1 sub

+9

B

63rd

27%

7 subs

Submission defense

D

27th

23%

Even

D

35th

17%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Perez ▸

Perez is more likely to finish Sumudaerji

Finish rate

D

31st

17%

+43

A

74th

75%

KO durability

C

51st

0%

Even

C

45th

7%

Submission defense

F

16th

30%

+16

D

33rd

21%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Perez ▸

Perez pushes the higher work rate over the fight — Sumudaerji's pace builds while Perez's fades

Work rate / min — full fight

5.4

6.1

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

4.7

6.7

Pace trend

+30%/rd

-16%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Sumudaerji

Sumudaerji is in better recent form than Perez

Win rate (career)

60%

57%

After a win

80%

57%

Last 5

75%

50%

Win streak——

See full Form →

Schedule

Perez ▸

Perez has faced the tougher schedule vs Sumudaerji

Schedule strength

37%

70%

Win quality

34%

42%

Ranked opponents

3

11

Title-holder bouts

0

1

Common opp (1)0-11-0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Perez ▸

Perez has fought more often lately than Sumudaerji

Last bout

3mo

Even

3mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

2

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Sumudaerji

Sumudaerji 6" reach · Sumudaerji 5 cm · Sumudaerji 4y younger · Open-stance matchup

SumudaerjivsAlex Perez

30

Age

4y

younger

34

5'8"

173cm

Height

2"

taller

5'6"

168cm

72"

183cm

Reach

6"

reach

66"

166cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

SumudaerjiAlex Perez

Percentile

Striking/min4.434.41

Accuracy%50%46%

Defense%62%59%

Takedowns/150.72.2

TD defense%72%75%

Submissions/150.50.7

Career rate as a percentile within the flyweight (117 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 2m ago

Sumudaerji

Consensus

67%▲ 1

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Sumudaerji

Kalshi67¢bestSportsbook-22567%

Alex Perez

Consensus

33%▲ 3

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Perez

Kalshi34¢bestSportsbook+18933%

Sumudaerji 67%33% Perez

$6k vol · $6k OI$7k vol · $7k OI

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Sumudaerji

29%+180

9%+800

29%+180

Alex Perez

12%+550

9%+800

12%+550

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Sumudaerji

29%+180

9%+800

29%+180

Alex Perez

12%+550

9%+800

12%+550

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over47%+105
Under53%-117

Goes the distance

Yes42%+130
No58%-154

UFC betting history

Career

SumudaerjiSumudaerji

PerezAlex Perez

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi66%67%1 pt

Sportsbook65%67%1 pt

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

SumudaerjiSumudaerji

Stat

PerezAlex Perez

1

0

KO / TKO

4

2

0

3

Submission

2

3

5

1

Decision

2

1

11:08

Avg fight time

7:04

Sumudaerji’s splits

vs Perez

vs Southpaw

1-150%

vs Switch

2-167%

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Alex Perez’s splits

vs Sumudaerji

vs Orthodox

6-555%

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Shorter reach

2-250%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

SumudaerjivsAlex Perez

30

Age

4y

younger

34

5'8"

173cm

Height

2"

taller

5'6"

168cm

72"

183cm

Reach

6"

reach

66"

166cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

A

74th

+14

B

60th

Sumudaerji has the striking edge (+14).

Attacking

Sumudaerji’s offensevsPerez’s defense

Where Sumudaerji attacks (green = high volume) vs where Perez gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Sumudaerji’s green zones meeting Perez’s red zones are the openings.

SumudaerjiOffense

Head61%75th319
Body15%55th77
Leg24%89th123

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Alex PerezDefense

Head70%44th240
Body19%56th64
Leg11%62nd38

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Sumudaerji — by position

81%Standing

Standing81%421
Clinch8%39
Ground11%59

Perez — absorbed by position

79%Standing

Standing79%269
Clinch6%22
Ground15%51

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Sumudaerji’s offensevsPerez’s defense

Head

A

75th

37.7

+30

C

44th

34.2

Body

C

55th

10.0

Even

C

56th

9.8

Leg

A+

89th

13.5

+27

B

62nd

6.3

Perez’s offensevsSumudaerji’s defense

Head

B

67th

35.0

Even

B

65th

25.9

Body

B

62nd

11.1

+14

A

77th

7.3

Leg

A

85th

12.7

+26

B

59th

6.7

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Sumudaerji	top 25% of division37.7	43%	above division average25.9	319
Head	Alex Perez	above division average35.0	37%	below division average34.2	261
Body	Sumudaerji	above division average10.0	60%	top 23% of division7.3	77
Body	Alex Perez	above division average11.1	63%	above division average9.8	80
Leg	Sumudaerji	top 11% of division13.5	81%	above division average6.7	123
Leg	Alex Perez	top 15% of division12.7	73%	above division average6.3	104

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Sumudaerji

Alex Perez

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

54th

+13

B

66th

Perez has the grappling edge (+13).

Takedowns

C

42nd

0.8

+22

B

64th

2.1

Takedown accuracy

C

57th

38%

6/16

+11

B

68th

45%

15/33

Takedown defense

A

70th

73%

38/52

Even

B

68th

73%

27/37

Submission threat

C

57th

0.5

Even

B

61st

0.7

Control time

D

41st

1.4 min

+28

B

69th

4.0 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Sumudaerji	Alex Perez
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.86	2.115
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	38%6 / 16	45%15 / 33
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	73%38 / 52	73%27 / 37
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.54	0.75
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.4 min11:11	4.0 min28:22
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.3 min25:35	1.6 min10:57

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.

Sumudaerji

Alex Perez

Record vs common opponents

Edge · Perez

0-1

0-1

1-0

1-0

Edge · Perez

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Sumudaerji

37

Schedule Score

Alex Perez

63

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

111 min

10 bouts

Octagon time

12 min

more

99 min

14 bouts

Schedule strength

37%

70%

Win quality

34%

42%

Ranked opponents

3

11

Title-holder bouts

0

1

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Sumudaerji	Alex Perez
Champion	—	0-2
Top-5	0-0, 1 NC	2-2
Ranked 6–15	0-3	3-2, 1 NC
Cross-div ranked	0-1	1-0
Building	2-0	—
Unproven	4-0	2-0

Sumudaerji — bouts

Alex Perez — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Sumudaerji

Alex Perez

Sumudaerji — last 5

recent → old

Perez — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

3-1

2-2

Current streak

—

Even

—

Ranked opps

1 of 5

5 of 5

Layoff

3 mo

Even

3 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Sumudaerji

Alex Perez

Camp length

SituationSumudaerji Perez

Short turnaround< 100 days

1-0100%

3-175%

Typical camp100–180 days

2-0100%

3-260%

Long layoff> 180 days

3-350%

1-325%

Post-result bounce

SituationSumudaerji Perez

After a loss

2-250%

3-350%

After a win

4-180%

4-357%

Title fights

SituationSumudaerji Perez

All title fightschallenger or champ

—

0-10%

As challengerfor the belt

—

0-10%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Sumudaerji

Alex Perez

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Sumudaerji14W–6L by finish · 71% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Perez14W–8L by finish · 86% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑20%·Sumudaerji

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑20%·Sumudaerji

C

53rd

74%

+22

D

31st

54%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

23%

39%

KO durability

↑6%·Sumudaerji

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑6%·Sumudaerji

B

68th

0%

Even

B

61st

6%

Submission defense

↑6%·Perez

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑6%·Perez

D

29th

23%

+8

D

37th

17%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Sumudaerji	Alex Perez
Wins
by KO / TKO	13(68%)	7(27%)
by submission	1(5%)	7(27%)
by decision	5(26%)	12(46%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0(0%)	2(20%)
by submission	6(86%)	6(60%)
by decision	1(14%)	2(20%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Sumudaerji

vs

Alex Perez

10%

1 KO/TKO in 10 bouts

Knockout rate

27%

4 KO/TKO in 15 bouts

2

0.7 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

6

2.3 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

1

0.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

SumudaerjiFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
vs Tim Elliott2y 8mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 9, 2023 · R1 · 4:02

Alex PerezFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Tatsuro Taira2y 2mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024 · R2 · 2:59
* injury · not a clean KO
Last time submitted
vs Asu Almabayev9 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025 · R3 · 0:22

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Sumudaerji

184%

R3 vs R1 · 6 bouts reaching R3

Alex Perez

101%

R3 vs R1 · 4 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Sumudaerji: Sumudaerji builds (+30% per round through round 3) while Perez fades (-16% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Sumudaerji lifts to 184% of round-1 output by round 3, Perez 101%.

Sumudaerji ▲ BUILDS

Perez ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Sumudaerji

Perezlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Sumudaerji

Perezattempts / min

Control time

Sumudaerji

Perez% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Sumudaerji	3.6	3.4	2.3	0.02	4%	10
R1	Alex Perez	6.9	5.4	3.9	0.27	17%	14
R2	Sumudaerji	5.8	5.1	3.1	0.11	10%	8
R2	Alex Perez	6.5	3.8	2.3	0.29	45%	7
R3	Sumudaerji	6.8	5.2	1.5	0.30	16%	6
R3	Alex Perez	4.9	1.9	2.2	0.52	37%	4

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.