Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Mandel Nallo

edge

Nate Landwehr

Striking

◂ Nallo

Nallo out-strikes Landwehr (thin sample)

Effective offense

A+

100th

4.8

+12

A+

88th

2.5

Defense

D

35th

54%

+11

F

24th

51%

KO power

B

8 KO

1.0 KD

+23

D

9 KO

0.1 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Landwehr ▸

Landwehr has the bigger wrestling edge on Nallo (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

F

9th

0.0

+24

D

34th

0.7

Takedown accuracy—42%

Takedown defense—72%

Control time

D

25th

1.2 min

+9

D

34th

1.7 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Landwehr ▸

Landwehr is the bigger submission threat on Nallo (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

18th

0.0

+50

B

68th

0.7

Sub win rate

A

78th

43%

6 subs

+19

B

59th

11%

2 subs

Submission defense

C

48th

6%

Even

C

50th

4%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Nallo

Nallo finishes a higher share of wins — 100% (14/14) vs 61% (11/18).

Finish rate (of wins)

100% (14/14)

61% (11/18)

By KO/TKO

8

9

By submission

6

2

Avg finish round

R1.4 avg finish

R1.9 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Nallo

Nallo pushes the higher work rate over the fight (thin sample)

Work rate / min — full fight

8.0

6.7

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

8.0

6.5

Pace trend—+17%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Nallo

Nallo is in better recent form than Landwehr (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

0%

45%

After a win—40%

Last 5

80%

20%

Win streakL1L3

See full Form →

Schedule

Landwehr ▸

Landwehr has faced the tougher schedule vs Nallo (thin sample)

Schedule strength

15%

45%

Win quality

36%

42%

Ranked opponents

0

4

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Nallo

Nallo has fought more often lately than Landwehr

Last bout

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Nallo

Nallo 3" reach · Nallo 8 cm · Closed-stance matchup

Mandel NallovsNate Landwehr

37

Age

1y

younger

38

6'0"

183cm

Height

3"

taller

5'9"

175cm

75"

191cm

Reach

3"

reach

72"

183cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

On the bubbleNate Landwehr 57% cut risk · 3-fight skid

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Mandel NalloNate Landwehr

Percentile

Striking/min8.265.55

Accuracy%58%45%

Defense%54%51%

Takedowns/150.00.7

TD defense%100%71%

Submissions/150.00.7

Career rate as a percentile within the lightweight (426 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Mandel Nallo, from opponents’ full pro records

Mandel Nallo

Strong

Opponents' combined record

186-116-1

.616 win rate

Winning-record opponents

11 of 17

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

17

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

NalloMandel Nallo

LandwehrNate Landwehr

—

As pick'em

0-10%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

NalloMandel Nallo

Stat

LandwehrNate Landwehr

—

1

KO / TKO

1

5

—

0

Submission

2

0

—

0

Decision

2

1

2:05

Avg fight time

9:21

Mandel Nallo’s splits

vs Landwehr

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-10%

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Nate Landwehr’s splits

vs Nallo

vs Southpaw

1-150%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

2-433%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Mandel NallovsNate Landwehr

37

Age

1y

younger

38

6'0"

183cm

Height

3"

taller

5'9"

175cm

75"

191cm

Reach

3"

reach

72"

183cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

66th

+15

C

51st

Nallo has the striking edge (+15).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Nallo’s offensevsLandwehr’s defense

Head

B

64th

33.0

+53

F

11th

54.1

Body

C

56th

10.0

+38

F

18th

15.8

Leg

B

59th

8.2

+15

C

44th

8.1

Landwehr’s offensevsNallo’s defense

Head

A+

91st

51.6

+56

D

36th

37.5

Body

B

62nd

11.2

+16

C

46th

10.1

Leg

A

71st

9.8

+28

C

43rd

8.3

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Mandel Nallo	above division average33.0	46%	below division average37.5	13
Head	Nate Landwehr	top 9% of division51.6	41%	bottom of the division54.1	418
Body	Mandel Nallo	above division average10.0	100%	around division average10.1	1
Body	Nate Landwehr	above division average11.2	58%	well below average15.8	80
Leg	Mandel Nallo	above division average8.2	100%	below division average8.3	2
Leg	Nate Landwehr	top 29% of division9.8	75%	below division average8.1	73

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Mandel Nallo

Nate Landwehr

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

60th

Even

C

55th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

B

61st

0.0

+18

C

43rd

0.7

Takedown accuracy

—

B

61st

42%

5/12

Takedown defense

—

B

65th

72%

23/32

Submission threat

B

65th

0.0

Even

B

68th

0.7

Control time

C

54th

1.2 min

+14

D

41st

1.7 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Mandel Nallo	Nate Landwehr
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	0.75
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	—0 / 0	42%5 / 12
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	—0 / 0	72%23 / 32
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.75
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.2 min0:10	1.7 min11:52
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.2 min0:27	2.0 min13:48

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Mandel Nallo

28

Schedule Score

Nate Landwehr

44

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

2 min

1 bout

Octagon time

101 min

more

103 min

11 bouts

Schedule strength

15%

45%

Win quality

36%

42%

Ranked opponents

0

4

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Mandel Nallo	Nate Landwehr
Top-5	—	0-1
Ranked 6–15	—	2-2
Contender-level	—	1-0
Established	—	1-1
Building	0-1	1-1
Unproven	—	0-1

Mandel Nallo — bouts

L vs Jai Herbert15
Apr 18, 2026 · Building

Nate Landwehr — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Mandel Nallo

Nate Landwehr

Nallo — last 5

recent → old

WSMMA

SUB R1

Seres

Aug ’24

WBTC 24

KO R1

Ribeiro

Jun ’24

WMMA

SUB R1

Canada

Jul ’23

Landwehr — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

4-1

1-4

Current streak

L1

L3

Ranked opps

0 of 5

3 of 5

Layoff

4 mo

Even

5 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Mandel Nallo

Nate Landwehr

Post-result bounce

SituationNallo Landwehr

After a loss

—

3-260%

After a win

—

2-340%

Camp length

SituationNallo Landwehr

Short turnaround< 100 days

—

0-10%

Typical camp100–180 days

—

1-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

—

4-450%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Mandel Nallo

Nate Landwehr

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Nallo14W–4L by finish · 86% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Landwehr11W–6L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑39%·Nallo

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑39%·Nallo

A

70th

100%

+40

D

30th

61%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

0%

35%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

D

39th

17%

Even

D

33rd

19%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

B

62nd

6%

Even

B

67th

4%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Mandel Nallo	Nate Landwehr
Wins
by KO / TKO	8(57%)	9(50%)
by submission	6(43%)	2(11%)
by decision	0(0%)	7(39%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	3(75%)	5(63%)
by submission	1(25%)	1(13%)
by decision	0(0%)	2(25%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Mandel Nallo

vs

Nate Landwehr

50%

1 KO/TKO in 2 bouts

Knockout rate

9%

1 KO/TKO in 11 bouts

1

7.7 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.2 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

5

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

2

11.1 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

7

1.6 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Mandel NalloFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Jai Herbert4 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026 · R1 · 2:05
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Nate LandwehrFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Cub Swanson4 months ago
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Apr 11, 2026 · R1 · 4:06
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Mandel Nallo

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Nate Landwehr

176%

R3 vs R1 · 6 bouts reaching R3

Landwehr lifts to 176% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Nallo hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Mandel Nallo	8.0	7.7	9.1	0.00	8%	1
R1	Nate Landwehr	4.7	4.3	6.5	0.06	6%	11
R2	Mandel Nallo	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Nate Landwehr	8.2	7.0	5.1	0.18	19%	7
R3	Mandel Nallo	—	—	—	—	—	—
R3	Nate Landwehr	7.0	6.1	6.2	0.14	12%	6

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.