Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Oban Elliott

edge

Michael Oliveira

Striking

Not enough data

Effective offense1.7—

Defense61%—

KO power3 KO—

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed0.9—

Takedown accuracy36%—

Takedown defense52%—

Control time3.9 min—

See full Grappling →

Submission

Not enough data

Submission attempts0.0—

Sub win rate25%—

Submission defense

D

37th

6%

+18

F

18th

100%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Not enough data

Finish rate33%—

KO durability0%—

Submission defense20%—

See full Finishes →

Pace

Not enough data

Work rate / min — full fight5.1—

Work rate / min — rounds 1–25.2—

Pace trend-7%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

Not enough data

Win rate (career)60%—

After a win67%—

Last 5

60%

0%

Win streakL2L1

See full Form →

Schedule

Not enough data

Schedule strength10%—

Win quality50%—

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Elliott

Elliott is fresher and more active than Oliveira

Last bout

5mo

9mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

Even

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

1

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Oliveira ▸

Oliveira 6" reach · Oliveira 5 cm

Oban ElliottvsMichael Oliveira

28

Age

—

5'11"

180cm

Height

2"

taller

6'1"

185cm

72"

183cm

Reach

6"

reach

79"

199cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

ElliottOban Elliott

OliveiraMichael Oliveira

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

ElliottOban Elliott

Stat

OliveiraMichael Oliveira

1

0

KO / TKO

—

0

1

Submission

—

2

1

Decision

—

12:50

Avg fight time

—

Oban Elliott’s splits

vs Oliveira

vs Orthodox

3-0100%

vs Southpaw

0-20%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

1-150%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Michael Oliveira’s splits

vs Elliott

vs Orthodox

0-0no data

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Oban ElliottvsMichael Oliveira

28

Age

—

5'11"

180cm

Height

2"

taller

6'1"

185cm

72"

183cm

Reach

6"

reach

79"

199cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

65th

—

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Elliott’s offensevsOliveira’s defense

Head

B

64th

33.2

34.2

Body

C

50th

8.6

10.6

Leg

B

65th

9.1

8.0

Oliveira’s offensevsElliott’s defense

Head

29.2

B

62nd

26.2

Body

9.6

B

70th

6.8

Leg

8.3

C

50th

7.3

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Oban Elliott	above division average33.2	42%	above division average26.2	154
Head	Michael Oliveira	29.2	—	34.2	0
Body	Oban Elliott	around division average8.6	67%	top 30% of division6.8	34
Body	Michael Oliveira	9.6	—	10.6	0
Leg	Oban Elliott	above division average9.1	84%	around division average7.3	41
Leg	Michael Oliveira	8.3	—	8.0	0

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Oban Elliott

Michael Oliveira

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

50th

—

Takedowns

C

50th

0.9

—

Takedown accuracy

C

50th

36%

4/11

—

Takedown defense

D

40th

52%

11/21

—

Submission threat

C

46th

0.0

—

Control time

B

65th

3.9 min

—

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Oban Elliott	Michael Oliveira
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.94	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	36%4 / 11	—0 / 0
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	52%11 / 21	—0 / 0
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	3.9 min16:54	0.0 min0:00
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.7 min15:50	0.0 min0:00

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Oban Elliott

30

Schedule Score

Michael Oliveira

—

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

64 min

5 bouts

Octagon time

—

UFC debut

Schedule strength

10%

—%

Win quality

50%

—%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Oliveira faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .652 career win rate vs .577 for Elliott.

Oban Elliott

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

71-52-1

.577 win rate

Winning-record opponents

5 of 10

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

10

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Michael Oliveira

Opponents' combined record

15-8

.652 win rate

Winning-record opponents

1 of 1

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

1

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Oban Elliott	Michael Oliveira
Building	0-1	—
Unproven	3-1	—

Oban Elliott — bouts

Michael Oliveira — bouts

No resolved UFC bouts.

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Oban Elliott

Michael Oliveira

Elliott — last 5

recent → old

Oliveira — pre-UFC · last 1

recent → old

LSHC

SUB R1

Francis

Oct ’12

Last 5 record

3-2

0-1

Current streak

L2

L1

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 1

Layoff

5 mo

13.7 yr

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Oban Elliott

Michael Oliveira

Post-result bounce

SituationElliott Oliveira

After a loss

0-10%

—

After a win

2-167%

—

Camp length

SituationElliott Oliveira

Typical camp100–180 days

2-0100%

—

Long layoff> 180 days

0-20%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Oban Elliott

Michael Oliveira

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Elliott6W–3L by finish · 67% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Oliveira0W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

50%

—

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

44%

0%

KO durability

↑13%·Oliveira

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑13%·Oliveira

D

37th

13%

+18

C

55th

0%

Submission defense

↑94%·Elliott

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑94%·Elliott

C

43rd

6%

+40

F

3rd

100%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Oban Elliott	Michael Oliveira
Wins
by KO / TKO	3(25%)	0
by submission	3(25%)	0
by decision	6(50%)	0
Losses
by KO / TKO	2(50%)	0(0%)
by submission	1(25%)	1(100%)
by decision	1(25%)	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Oban Elliott

vs

Michael Oliveira

17%

1 KO/TKO in 6 bouts

Knockout rate

100%

1 KO/TKO in 1 bout

1

0.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

—

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

1

1.1 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

—

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Oban ElliottFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
vs Jonathan Micallef5 months ago
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Jan 31, 2026 · R2 · 3:31

Michael OliveiraFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Oban Elliott

90%

R3 vs R1 · 4 bouts reaching R3

Michael Oliveira

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Elliott keeps 90% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Oliveira hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Oban Elliott	5.5	3.5	1.8	0.20	35%	5
R1	Michael Oliveira	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Oban Elliott	5.0	3.7	2.4	0.17	20%	5
R2	Michael Oliveira	—	—	—	—	—	—
R3	Oban Elliott	4.8	3.5	2.0	0.13	22%	4
R3	Michael Oliveira	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.