Mark Vologdin vs Josias Musasa Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Mark Vologdin

edge

Josias Musasa

Striking

◂ Vologdin

Vologdin out-strikes Musasa (thin sample)

Effective offense

A+

96th

3.3

+43

C

53rd

1.4

Defense

F

4th

40%

+11

F

15th

36%

KO power

C

6 KO

0.0 KD

Even

C

7 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Wrestling stays neutral (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

C

46th

1.0

Even

D

38th

0.8

Takedown accuracy

17%

33%

Takedown defense—88%

Control time

F

13th

0.5 min

Even

F

20th

0.8 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Vologdin

Vologdin is the bigger submission threat on Musasa (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

19th

0.0

Even

F

19th

0.0

Sub win rate

A

72nd

33%

4 subs

+18

C

54th

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

D

36th

6%

Even

D

34th

10%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both are heavy finishers — Vologdin by KO (10 of 12 wins), Musasa by KO (7 of 8).

Finish rate (of wins)

83% (10/12)

Even

88% (7/8)

By KO/TKO

6

7

By submission

4

0

Avg finish round

R1.4 avg finish

R1.1 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Vologdin

Vologdin pushes the higher work rate over the fight (thin sample)

Work rate / min — full fight

7.3

4.2

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

7.3

4.2

See full Pace →

Form

Even

Similar recent form — Vologdin 3-2 in the last 5 (no active streak), Musasa 3-2 (2-fight skid).

Last 5

3-2

Even

3-2

Current streak

no active streak

2-fight skid

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

18%

12%

Win quality

50%

39%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Vologdin

Vologdin is fresher and more active than Musasa

Last bout

3mo

10mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Musasa ▸

Musasa 9" reach · Musasa 13 cm · Open-stance matchup

Mark VologdinvsJosias Musasa

26

Age

1y

younger

27

5'3"

160cm

Height

5"

taller

5'8"

173cm

65"

165cm

Reach

9"

reach

74"

188cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Mark VologdinJosias Musasa

Percentile

Striking/min6.933.19

Accuracy%47%45%

Defense%40%36%

Takedowns/150.50.9

TD defense%57%81%

Submissions/150.00.5

Career rate as a percentile within the bantamweight (245 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Musasa faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .673 career win rate vs .495 for Vologdin.

Mark Vologdin

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

95-97-3

.495 win rate

Winning-record opponents

8 of 16

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

16

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Josias Musasa

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

35-17-1

.673 win rate

Winning-record opponents

4 of 7

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

7

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

VologdinMark Vologdin

MusasaJosias Musasa

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

VologdinMark Vologdin

Stat

MusasaJosias Musasa

—

KO / TKO

—

0

—

Submission

—

1

—

Decision

—

1

—

Avg fight time

9:08

Mark Vologdin’s splits

vs Musasa

vs Orthodox

0-0no data

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Josias Musasa’s splits

vs Vologdin

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Mark VologdinvsJosias Musasa

26

Age

1y

younger

27

5'3"

160cm

Height

5"

taller

5'8"

173cm

65"

165cm

Reach

9"

reach

74"

188cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

50th

+10

D

40th

Vologdin has the striking edge (+10).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Vologdin’s offensevsMusasa’s defense

Head

B

68th

36.9

+31

D

37th

38.2

Body

A

77th

14.7

+31

C

46th

10.8

Leg

B

65th

9.2

+29

D

36th

10.2

Musasa’s offensevsVologdin’s defense

Head

C

46th

29.3

+26

F

20th

47.2

Body

C

50th

9.4

+22

D

28th

13.4

Leg

A

74th

10.6

+65

F

9th

16.0

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Mark Vologdin	above division average36.9	32%	well below average47.2	53
Head	Josias Musasa	around division average29.3	39%	below division average38.2	29
Body	Mark Vologdin	top 23% of division14.7	76%	well below average13.4	26
Body	Josias Musasa	around division average9.4	58%	around division average10.8	7
Leg	Mark Vologdin	above division average9.2	67%	bottom of the division16.0	12
Leg	Josias Musasa	top 26% of division10.6	59%	below division average10.2	20

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Mark Vologdin

Josias Musasa

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

54th

Even

B

60th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

55th

1.0

Even

C

53rd

0.8

Takedown accuracy

17%

1/6

33%

1/3

Takedown defense

—

A

83rd

88%

14/16

Submission threat

B

60th

0.0

Even

B

59th

0.0

Control time

C

46th

0.5 min

Even

C

46th

0.8 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Mark Vologdin	Josias Musasa
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.01	0.81
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	17%1 / 6	33%1 / 3
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	—0 / 0	88%14 / 16
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.5 min0:31	0.8 min1:02
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.3 min1:15	6.6 min7:59

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Mark Vologdin

28

Schedule Score

Josias Musasa

28

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

15 min

1 bout

Octagon time

3 min

more

18 min

2 bouts

Schedule strength

18%

12%

Win quality

50%

39%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Mark Vologdin	Josias Musasa
Building	0-0-1	0-1
Unproven	—	0-1

Mark Vologdin — bouts

D vs John Castaneda18
Apr 18, 2026 · Building

Josias Musasa — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Mark Vologdin

Josias Musasa

Vologdin — last 5

recent → old

WALLSTARS

SUB R1

Monteiro

Jun ’25

WALLSTARS

KO R1

Baptista

Oct ’24

WALLSTARS

KO R1

Monteiro

Mar ’24

WALLSTARS

SUB R1

Khotenashvili

Jul ’23

Musasa — last 5

recent → old

WIMPACT

KO R1

Malunes

Jun ’24

WAFRICAN

KO R1

Saber

Mar ’24

WNIGHTMAR

KO R1

Alazomy

Feb ’24

Last 5 record

4-0-1

3-2

Current streak

—

L2

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

3 mo

10 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Mark Vologdin

Josias Musasa

Post-result bounce

SituationVologdin Musasa

After a loss

—

0-10%

Camp length

SituationVologdin Musasa

Long layoff> 180 days

—

0-10%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Mark Vologdin

Josias Musasa

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Vologdin10W–1L by finish · 60% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Musasa7W–1L by finish · 86% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑5%·Musasa

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑5%·Musasa

B

69th

83%

Even

A

74th

88%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

31%

20%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

B

66th

0%

Even

B

66th

0%

Submission defense

↑4%·Vologdin

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑4%·Vologdin

D

42nd

6%

+14

D

28th

10%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Mark Vologdin	Josias Musasa
Wins
by KO / TKO	6(50%)	7(88%)
by submission	4(33%)	0(0%)
by decision	2(17%)	1(13%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0(0%)	0(0%)
by submission	1(25%)	1(50%)
by decision	3(75%)	1(50%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Mark Vologdin

vs

Josias Musasa

0%

0 KO/TKO in 2 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 3 bouts

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

1

2.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Mark VologdinFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Josias MusasaFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
vs Carlos Vera1y 4mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025 · R1 · 3:16

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Mark Vologdin

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Josias Musasa

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Neither fighter has reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

Vologdin

MusasaOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Vologdin

Musasalanded / min

Takedown attempts

Vologdin

Musasaattempts / min

Control time

Vologdin

Musasa% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Mark Vologdin	4.9	4.8	5.0	0.00	2%	1
R1	Josias Musasa	4.3	3.0	7.1	0.36	4%	2
R2	Mark Vologdin	9.7	7.6	9.0	0.60	8%	1
R2	Josias Musasa	4.1	3.6	1.6	0.00	12%	1
R3	Mark Vologdin	7.6	5.8	13.0	0.60	0%	1
R3	Josias Musasa	2.7	2.6	2.2	0.00	1%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.