Markets
- Pimblett38%+150
- Denis62%-180
Record when favored vs. an underdog, across the 11priced bouts in each fighter’s history.
Percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.
Career splits
8 bouts · vs Denis

- KO/TKO2
- Submission3
- Decision2
- KO/TKO0
- Submission0
- Decision1
- Average10:56
- vs Orthodox5-1
- vs Southpaw2-0
- vs Switchno data
- vs Longer reach1-0
- vs Shorter reach4-1
12 bouts · vs Pimblett

- KO/TKO5
- Submission4
- Decision0
- KO/TKO2
- Submission0
- Decision1
- Average7:10
- vs Orthodox5-2
- vs Southpaw2-1
- vs Switch2-0
- vs Longer reach3-0
- vs Shorter reach4-2
Tale of the Tape
The biometric and experience deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.


When their fights end
every UFC finish on the fight clockFull method breakdown
| Outcome | Paddy Pimblett | Benoit Saint Denis |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 229% | 556% |
| by submission | 343% | 444% |
| by decision | 229% | 00% |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 00% | 133% |
| by submission | 00% | 00% |
| by decision | 1100% | 133% |
| Pace | ||
| Avg finish time (own wins) | R2 1:29 | R2 0:55 |
| Finishes used in avg | 5 | 9 |
Counts come from the same denormalised win/loss-by-method columns the rest of the site uses. The percentile context on each row is computed against fighters currently assigned to this weight class with at least two resolved UFC bouts.
KO history
Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head — then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Michael Chandler1y 1mo agoUFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025 · R3 · 3:07
- Last time KO'dNever finished by strikes in the UFC
- Last submission scoredvs King Green1y 10mo agoUFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 27, 2024 · R1 · 3:22
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Dan Hooker3 months agoUFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Jan 31, 2026 · R2 · 4:45
- Last time KO'dvs Renato Moicano1y 8mo agoUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024 · R2 · 5:00* between-rounds stoppage · not a clean KO
- Last submission scoredvs Mauricio Ruffy8 months agoUFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 6, 2025 · R2 · 2:56
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
Common opponents
UFC opponents both fighters have faced — a direct read on relative quality controlling for matchmaking.
These two fighters haven’t crossed paths in the UFC cage with any of the same opponents.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Paddy Pimblett | Benoit Saint Denis |
|---|---|---|
| Top-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Top-15 | 3-0 | 5-2 |
| Established | 1-0 | — |
| Building | 1-0 | — |
| Unproven | 2-0 | 4-0 |
- L vs Justin Gaethje#481Jan 24, 2026 · Top-5
- W vs Michael Chandler#773Apr 12, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs King Green#1363Jul 27, 2024 · Top-15
- W vs Tony Ferguson#1560Dec 16, 2023 · Top-15
- W vs Jared Gordon30Dec 10, 2022 · Established
- W vs Jordan Leavitt18Jul 23, 2022 · Building
- W vs Kazula Vargas8Mar 19, 2022 · Unproven
- W vs Luigi Vendramini8Sep 4, 2021 · Unproven
- W vs Dan Hooker#675Jan 31, 2026 · Top-15
- W vs Beneil Dariush#970Nov 15, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Mauricio Ruffy#1560Sep 6, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Kyle Prepolec8May 10, 2025 · Unproven
- L vs Renato Moicano#1167Sep 28, 2024 · Top-15
- L vs Dustin Poirier#384Mar 9, 2024 · Top-5
- W vs Matt Frevola#1462Nov 11, 2023 · Top-15
- W vs Thiago Moises#1560Sep 2, 2023 · Top-15
- W vs Ismael Bonfim8Jul 1, 2023 · Unproven
- W vs Gabriel Miranda8Sep 3, 2022 · Unproven
- W vs Niklas Stolze8Jun 4, 2022 · Unproven
- L vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos#1560Oct 30, 2021 · Top-15
Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with quality wins (35%) and is Bayesian-shrunken toward the UFC median for small samples. Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, and falls back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Recent form
Last five UFC bouts, current trajectory, and the level of opposition faced going into this matchup.




Striking matchup
Where each fighter lands their strikes — and where each one gets hit — across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.


Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Paddy Pimblett | 50.8top 10% of division | 43% | 37.6below division average | 296 |
| Head | Benoit Saint Denis | 52.9top 9% of division | 50% | 41.7well below average | 303 |
| Body | Paddy Pimblett | 14.9top 23% of division | 77% | 12.5below division average | 87 |
| Body | Benoit Saint Denis | 22.3elite — top of division | 80% | 13.6well below average | 128 |
| Leg | Paddy Pimblett | 16.6top 12% of division | 91% | 8.23around division average | 97 |
| Leg | Benoit Saint Denis | 9.08above division average | 96% | 5.94above division average | 52 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Wrestling output, ground threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.


Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Paddy Pimblett | Benoit Saint Denis | Career totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 4 / 24 |
| Takedown accuracy | 21% | 36% | 4/19 · 24/67 |
| Takedown defense | 44% | 72% | stopped 12/27 · 13/18 |
| Submission attempts / 15 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 7 / 10 |
| Control time / 15 (min) | 3.0 min | 7.1 min | 17:44 · 40:54 |
| Time controlled BY opponent / 15 (min) | 4.1 min | 1.7 min | 23:41 · 9:42 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time.
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Pimblett holds 95% of round-1 work rate by round 3. Denis hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a fade pattern yet.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Paddy Pimblett | 7.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.22 | 8% | 8 |
| R1 | Benoit Saint Denis | 8.4 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 0.70 | 53% | 12 |
| R2 | Paddy Pimblett | 6.1 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 32% | 5 |
| R2 | Benoit Saint Denis | 12.9 | 8.5 | 5.4 | 0.89 | 45% | 9 |
| R3 | Paddy Pimblett | 7.8 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 0.39 | 37% | 4 |
| R3 | Benoit Saint Denis | 7.4 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.00 | 11% | 1 |
| R4 | Paddy Pimblett | 7.6 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 0.20 | 0% | 1 |
| R4 | Benoit Saint Denis | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R5 | Paddy Pimblett | 6.6 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 0.60 | 16% | 1 |
| R5 | Benoit Saint Denis | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace. See Methods for the full formula.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Benoit is speeding up while opponent slows
- Benoit Saint-Denis Opens as Narrow Favorite over Paddy Pimblettlowkickmma · May 30, 2026
- Justin Gaethje hints at Ilia Topuria strategy when explaining how he stole Paddy Pimblett’s momentumbloodyelbow · May 26, 2026
- ‘Gang of bums!’ 188-pound Paddy Pimblett back on the scale, blasts armchair dietitians ahead of UFC 329 returnmmamania · May 25, 2026
- Paddy Pimblett reveals latest shocking weight gain ahead of Benoit Saint Denis fight at UFC 329mmafighting · May 25, 2026
- Paddy Pimblett reveals his weight ahead of UFC 329, sends X-rated message to ‘stupid dieticians’bloodyelbow · May 25, 2026
