Markets
Record when favored vs. an underdog, across the 24priced bouts in each fighter’s history.
Career splits
24 bouts · vs Krylov

- KO/TKO6
- Submission0
- Decision11
- KO/TKO3
- Submission1
- Decision3
- Average13:37
- vs Orthodox9-3
- vs Southpaw7-1
- vs Switch1-3
- vs Longer reach11-6
- vs Shorter reach3-0
21 bouts · vs Whittaker

- KO/TKO5
- Submission5
- Decision2
- KO/TKO3
- Submission4
- Decision2
- Average6:58
- vs Orthodox9-7
- vs Southpaw2-2
- vs Switch1-0
- vs Longer reach4-3
- vs Shorter reach5-2
Tale of the Tape
The biometric and experience deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.


When their fights end
every UFC finish on the fight clockFull method breakdown
| Outcome | Robert Whittaker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 635% | 542% |
| by submission | 00% | 542% |
| by decision | 1165% | 217% |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 343% | 333% |
| by submission | 114% | 444% |
| by decision | 343% | 222% |
| Pace | ||
| Avg finish time (own wins) | R2 0:35 | R2 0:01 |
| Finishes used in avg | 6 | 10 |
Counts come from the same denormalised win/loss-by-method columns the rest of the site uses. The percentile context on each row is computed against fighters currently assigned to this weight class with at least two resolved UFC bouts.
KO history
Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head — then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Ikram Aliskerov1y 11mo agoUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024 · R1 · 1:49
- Last time KO'dvs Dricus Du Plessis2y 10mo agoUFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 8, 2023 · R2 · 2:23
- Last submission scoredNo submission wins in the UFC yet
- Last time submittedvs Khamzat Chimaev1y 7mo agoUFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024 · R1 · 3:34
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Modestas Bukauskas4 months agoUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · Jan 24, 2026 · R3 · 4:57
- Last time KO'dvs Bogdan Guskov10 months agoUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · Jul 26, 2025 · R1 · 4:18
- Last submission scoredvs Ryan Spann3y 2mo agoUFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023 · R1 · 3:38
- Last time submittedvs Paul Craig4y 2mo agoUFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022 · R1 · 3:57
Common opponents
UFC opponents both fighters have faced — a direct read on relative quality controlling for matchmaking.
These two fighters haven’t crossed paths in the UFC cage with any of the same opponents.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Robert Whittaker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Champion | 0-1 | — |
| Top-5 | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Top-15 | 6-3 | 4-6 |
| Cross-div ranked | — | 1-0 |
| Title-fight challenger | 1-0 | — |
| Established | — | 2-0 |
| Building | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Unproven | 3-0 | 4-2 |
- L vs Reinier de Ridder#1265Jul 26, 2025 · Top-15
- L vs Khamzat Chimaev#1265Oct 26, 2024 · Top-15
- W vs Ikram Aliskerov8Jun 22, 2024 · Unproven
- W vs Paulo Costa#675Feb 17, 2024 · Top-15
- L vs Dricus Du Plessis#675Jul 8, 2023 · Top-15
- W vs Marvin Vettori#287Sep 3, 2022 · Top-5
- L vs Israel AdesanyaCHAMP100Feb 12, 2022 · Champion
- W vs Kelvin Gastelum#872Apr 17, 2021 · Top-15
- W vs Jared Cannonier#384Oct 24, 2020 · Top-5
- W vs Darren Till#578Jul 25, 2020 · Top-5
- L vs Israel Adesanya#190Oct 5, 2019 · Top-5
- W vs Yoel Romero#190Jun 9, 2018 · Top-5
- W vs Yoel Romero#190Jul 8, 2017 · Top-5
- W vs Jacare Souza#384Apr 15, 2017 · Top-5
- W vs Derek Brunson#872Nov 26, 2016 · Top-15
- W vs Rafael Natal#1363Apr 23, 2016 · Top-15
- W vs Uriah Hall#1068Nov 14, 2015 · Top-15
- W vs Brad Tavares#1462May 9, 2015 · Top-15
- W vs Clint Hester18Nov 7, 2014 · Building
- W vs Mike Rhodes8Jun 28, 2014 · Unproven
- L vs Stephen Thompson18Feb 22, 2014 · Building
- L vs Court McGee18Aug 28, 2013 · Building
- W vs Colton Smith8May 25, 2013 · Unproven
- W vs Brad Scott50Dec 14, 2012 · Title-fight challenger
- W vs Modestas Bukauskas30Jan 24, 2026 · Established
- L vs Bogdan Guskov#1363Jul 26, 2025 · Top-15
- L vs Dominick Reyes#1167Apr 12, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Ryan Spann45Mar 11, 2023 · Cross-div ranked
- W vs Volkan Oezdemir#872Oct 22, 2022 · Top-15
- W vs Alexander Gustafsson#872Jul 23, 2022 · Top-15
- L vs Paul Craig#1167Mar 19, 2022 · Top-15
- L vs Magomed Ankalaev#1167Feb 27, 2021 · Top-15
- W vs Johnny Walker#1167Mar 14, 2020 · Top-15
- L vs Glover Teixeira#970Sep 14, 2019 · Top-15
- W vs Ovince Saint Preux#1265Apr 13, 2019 · Top-15
- L vs Jan Blachowicz#481Sep 15, 2018 · Top-5
- L vs Misha Cirkunov#1363Dec 10, 2016 · Top-15
- W vs Ed Herman30Jul 30, 2016 · Established
- W vs Francimar Barroso18May 8, 2016 · Building
- W vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima8Aug 23, 2015 · Unproven
- W vs Stanislav Nedkov8Jan 24, 2015 · Unproven
- W vs Cody Donovan8Jul 19, 2014 · Unproven
- L vs Ovince Saint Preux8Mar 15, 2014 · Unproven
- W vs Walt Harris8Jan 25, 2014 · Unproven
- L vs Soa Palelei8Aug 31, 2013 · Unproven
Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with quality wins (35%) and is Bayesian-shrunken toward the UFC median for small samples. Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, and falls back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Recent form
Last five UFC bouts, current trajectory, and the level of opposition faced going into this matchup.




Striking matchup
Where each fighter lands their strikes — and where each one gets hit — across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.


Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Robert Whittaker | 46.6top 19% of division | 37% | 28.6above division average | 1,015 |
| Head | Nikita Krylov | 39.5above division average | 47% | 32.8around division average | 385 |
| Body | Robert Whittaker | 7.02below division average | 61% | 9.96around division average | 153 |
| Body | Nikita Krylov | 15.8top 18% of division | 66% | 3.79top 6% of division | 154 |
| Leg | Robert Whittaker | 12.3top 28% of division | 85% | 11.8well below average | 267 |
| Leg | Nikita Krylov | 10.1above division average | 83% | 2.26top 10% of division | 99 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Wrestling output, ground threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.


Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Nikita Krylov | Career totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 16 / 20 |
| Takedown accuracy | 38% | 37% | 16/42 · 20/54 |
| Takedown defense | 82% | 53% | stopped 73/89 · 25/47 |
| Submission attempts / 15 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0 / 12 |
| Control time / 15 (min) | 1.2 min | 5.5 min | 26:39 · 53:28 |
| Time controlled BY opponent / 15 (min) | 1.6 min | 3.8 min | 34:13 · 36:41 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time.
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Cardio edge to Whittaker: Whittaker actually builds to 116% of round-1 work rate through round 3, while Krylov sustains 97% — a 19-point gap in late-round pace.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Robert Whittaker | 4.9 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 0.08 | 8% | 24 |
| R1 | Nikita Krylov | 7.2 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 0.35 | 35% | 21 |
| R2 | Robert Whittaker | 5.1 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 0.05 | 4% | 19 |
| R2 | Nikita Krylov | 6.7 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.36 | 35% | 10 |
| R3 | Robert Whittaker | 5.5 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.14 | 12% | 15 |
| R3 | Nikita Krylov | 6.5 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.45 | 43% | 6 |
| R4 | Robert Whittaker | 4.5 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 0.13 | 3% | 6 |
| R4 | Nikita Krylov | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R5 | Robert Whittaker | 5.6 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.50 | 18% | 6 |
| R5 | Nikita Krylov | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Robert has 5 months more layoff
- Robert is speeding up while opponent slows
- Robert Whittaker admits light heavyweight move ‘isn’t a refresh’ to extend short-term retirement planbloodyelbow · May 22, 2026
- Robert Whittaker points out one factor that could give Conor McGregor the edge over Max Hollowaybloodyelbow · May 22, 2026
- Robert Whittaker reacts to his first prelim spot in 13 years on Conor McGregor’s UFC 329 return cardbloodyelbow · May 22, 2026
- Robert Whittaker says the Khamzat Chimaev that he fought wasn’t the same version that fought Sean Stricklandbloodyelbow · May 22, 2026
