Paul Craig Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Modestas Bukauskas Light Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Elbow to Head From Guard	R1	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho	Sep 6, 2025
NC	Rodolfo Bellato Light Heavyweight	No Contest	—	R1	4:59	UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley	Jun 14, 2025
L	Bo Nickal Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic	Nov 16, 2024
L	#14Caio Borralho Middleweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head At Distance	R2	2:10	UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg	May 4, 2024
L	#10Brendan Allen Middleweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R3	0:38	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	Nov 18, 2023
W	#14Andre Muniz Middleweight	KO/TKO	Elbows to Head From Mount	R2	4:40	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	Jul 22, 2023
L	#12Johnny Walker Light Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head In Clinch	R1	2:16	UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill	Jan 21, 2023
L	#9Volkan Oezdemir Light Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	Jul 23, 2022
W	#9Nikita Krylov Light Heavyweight	Submission	Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard	R1	3:57	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	Mar 19, 2022
W	#15Jamahal Hill Light Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head From Bottom Guard	R1	1:59	UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2	Jun 12, 2021
W	#14Mauricio Rua Light Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head From Back Control	R2	3:36	UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez	Nov 21, 2020
W	#15Gadzhimurad Antigulov Light Heavyweight	Submission	Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard	R1	2:06	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till	Jul 25, 2020
D	#14Mauricio Rua Light Heavyweight	Draw	—	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare	Nov 16, 2019
W	Vinicius Moreira Light Heavyweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	3:19	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens	Sep 21, 2019
L	Alonzo Menifield Light Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head On Ground	R1	3:19	UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos	Jun 29, 2019
W	Kennedy Nzechukwu Light Heavyweight	Submission	Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard	R3	4:20	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje	Mar 30, 2019
L	Jimmy Crute Light Heavyweight	Submission	Kimura From Half Guard	R3	4:51	UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa	Dec 1, 2018
W	Magomed Ankalaev Light Heavyweight	Submission	Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard	R3	4:59	UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov	Mar 17, 2018
L	Khalil Rountree Jr. Light Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R1	4:56	UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio	Jul 16, 2017
L	Tyson Pedro Light Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Elbows to Head From Crucifix	R1	4:10	UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2	Mar 4, 2017
W	Henrique da Silva Light Heavyweight	Submission	Armbar From Bottom Guard	R2	1:59	UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson	Dec 17, 2016

Outside the UFC

8-0across 8 bouts · 8 promotions · wins by 1 KO · 7 subBAMMA 23 · BAMMA 22 · Animalistic MMA · FSC 5 · First Fighting Championship +3

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Marcin Lazarz17-11	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	3:51	BAMMA 23	Nov 14, 2015
W	Karl Moore12-4	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R2	0:48	BAMMA 22	Sep 19, 2015
W	Adam Wright2-3	Submission	Armbar	R1	0:47	Animalistic MMA	Jun 20, 2015
W	Andrzej Bachorz0-9	Submission	Brabo Choke	R1	2:37	FSC 5	Apr 11, 2015
W	Dan Konecke8-15-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	4:18	First Fighting Championship	Sep 13, 2014
W	Jon Ferguson1-4	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	1:50	FCC 10	Jun 21, 2014
W	Antonio Braga0-1	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	2:41	UXC	Mar 1, 2014
W	Brad Conway1-17	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	2:00	First Fighting Championship 3	Aug 24, 2013

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

3-0across 3 amateur bouts · 3 promotionsSFC · MMATC · TC 48

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Jeff Metcalfe1-0	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R1	0:46	SFC	Nov 11, 2012
W	Paul Bradshaw0-4	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	2:41	MMATC	Oct 6, 2012
W	Gary Sivills1-0	Submission	Armbar	R1	1:26	TC 48	Jul 21, 2012

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

4 wins, 6 losses

W4

L6

Submission

13 wins, 2 losses

W13

L2

Decision

0 wins, 2 losses

W0

L2

Finishes

UFC KOs

3

Below avg · 16%Light Heavyweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.05

Below avg · 0.26Light Heavyweight

UFC submissions

6

Above avg · 8%Light Heavyweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.75

Above avg · 0.26Light Heavyweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Paul Craig

PowerChin

Knockout rate

15%

3 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.49 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

5

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

4

1.14 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Decision behavior

Judging

2 scorecards on file

Paul Craig

Unanimous2 decisions · 100%

2L

Split

None

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC47th

45%404 / 901

Striking accuracy

43%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-0.54 differential

Landed2.50

Absorbed3.04

39%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-12%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head50%30th204
Body30%65th123
Leg19%51st77

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

67%Standing

Standing67%269
Clinch14%55
Ground20%80

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Paul Craig

Landed per 15

Head

F

22nd

18.7

22nd

Body

B

66th

11.3

66th

Leg

C

50th

7.1

50th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

C

49th

32.3

49th

Body

A

72nd

7.0

72nd

Leg

B

58th

6.8

58th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	18.7	204	618	33%
Body	11.3	123	191	64%
Leg	7.1	77	92	84%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	32.3	351	702	50%
Body	7.0	76	95	80%
Leg	6.8	74	86	86%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Paul Craig

20%

Takedown accuracy

38%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-3.6 min net

On top2.0

On bottom5.6

Offense

Takedowns

B

64th

1.5

64th

TD accuracy

D

25th

20%

25th

Sub attempts

A+

88th

1.4

88th

Control

C

47th

2.0 min

47th

Defense

TD defense

F

25th

38%

25th

Controlled

5.6 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	16 / 79
Submission attempts	15
Control time	22:15

Defense

TDs defended	6 / 16
Control absorbed	61:24

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (163min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Paul Craig

20 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 163 min

77%

R3 pace · 7 bouts

Craig fades (-13% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Craig drops to 77% of round-1 output by round 3 (7 bouts).

Craig ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Craiglanded / min

Takedown attempts

Craigattempts / min

Control time

Craig% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.3	2.4	3.0	0.44	15%	20
R2	5.5	3.1	3.1	0.55	19%	11
R3	3.2	1.7	3.4	0.50	1%	7

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Paul Craig

21 resolved UFC bouts · 10 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

52/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

A

83rd

55%

83rd

Win quality

B

67th

45%

67th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

2

7

2

ChampionHeld the title in this weight class at the time
Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Cross-div rankedRanked #1–#15 in another division at the time
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Champion	2	2-0	100%
Top-5	7	2-4-1	33%
Top-15	7	2-5	29%
Cross-div ranked	1	1-0	100%
Contender-level	1	0-1	0%
Building	1	0-0, 1 NC	—
Unproven	2	2-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Modestas Bukauskas	Contender-level	40	Sep 6, 2025
NC	Rodolfo Bellato	Building	15	Jun 14, 2025
L	Bo Nickal	Top-15	45	Nov 16, 2024
L	Caio Borralho#14	Top-5	74	May 4, 2024
L	Brendan Allen#10	Top-5	77	Nov 18, 2023
W	Andre Muniz#14	Top-15	66	Jul 22, 2023
L	Johnny Walker#12	Top-15	70	Jan 21, 2023
L	Volkan Oezdemir#9	Top-5	81	Jul 23, 2022
W	Nikita Krylov#9	Top-5	75	Mar 19, 2022
W	Jamahal Hill#15	Champion	86	Jun 12, 2021
W	Mauricio Rua#14	Top-5	74	Nov 21, 2020
W	Gadzhimurad Antigulov#15	Top-15	63	Jul 25, 2020
D	Mauricio Rua#14	Top-5	74	Nov 16, 2019
W	Vinicius Moreira	Unproven	8	Sep 21, 2019
L	Alonzo Menifield	Top-15	46	Jun 29, 2019
W	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Cross-div ranked	32	Mar 30, 2019
L	Jimmy Crute	Top-15	45	Dec 1, 2018
W	Magomed Ankalaev	Champion	68	Mar 17, 2018
L	Khalil Rountree Jr.	Top-5	56	Jul 16, 2017
L	Tyson Pedro	Top-15	45	Mar 4, 2017
W	Henrique da Silva	Unproven	8	Dec 17, 2016

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

19 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

1-2

3 bouts

Typical camp

100–180 days

2-4

6 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

5-4

9 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

4-5

9 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

3-5

8 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

2-0

2 bouts

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

10 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Paul Craig

Within a year

10 monthssince last bout

vs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 6, 2025

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 3-1As underdog 6-9

51.3

DK avg

39.1

Median

103.3

Ceiling

6.8

Floor

35%

Boom

45%

Bust

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