Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Ryan Gandra

edge

Ozzy Diaz

Striking

◂ Gandra

Gandra out-strikes Diaz (thin sample)

Effective offense

A+

100th

6.5

Even

A+

92nd

2.6

Defense

A+

93rd

81%

+47

C

45th

61%

KO power

B

6 KO

1.0 KD

Even

C

7 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Wrestling stays neutral (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

F

9th

0.0

Even

F

9th

0.0

Takedown accuracy—0%

Takedown defense—67%

Control time

F

12th

0.6 min

Even

F

12th

0.7 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Little submission threat either way (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

18th

0.0

Even

F

18th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

59th

11%

1 sub

Even

B

63rd

20%

2 subs

Submission defense

C

46th

0%

Even

C

46th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Gandra

Gandra is more likely to finish Diaz (thin sample)

Finish rate

C

56th

100%

+26

D

30th

0%

KO durability

C

56th

0%

+35

F

21st

67%

Submission defense

D

39th

0%

Even

D

41st

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Gandra

Gandra pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

12.6

6.2

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

12.6

6.2

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Gandra

Gandra is in better recent form than Diaz (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

100%

33%

After a win

100%

0%

Last 5

100%

60%

Win streakW5L1

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

13%

26%

Win quality

63%

29%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Gandra

Gandra is fresher and more active than Diaz

Last bout

1mo

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

3

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

Even

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Diaz ▸

Diaz 5" reach · Diaz 8 cm · Gandra 4y younger · Closed-stance matchup

Ryan GandravsOzzy Diaz

31

Age

4y

younger

35

6'1"

185cm

Height

3"

taller

6'4"

193cm

74"

188cm

Reach

5"

reach

79"

201cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Ryan GandraOzzy Diaz

Percentile

Striking/min13.025.33

Accuracy%50%49%

Defense%81%61%

Takedowns/150.00.0

TD defense%100%50%

Submissions/150.00.0

Career rate as a percentile within the middleweight (354 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Gandra faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .612 career win rate vs .520 for Diaz.

Ryan Gandra

Strong

Opponents' combined record

60-38-1

.612 win rate

Winning-record opponents

6 of 8

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

8

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Ozzy Diaz

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

64-59

.520 win rate

Winning-record opponents

6 of 10

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

10

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

GandraRyan Gandra

DiazOzzy Diaz

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

GandraRyan Gandra

Stat

DiazOzzy Diaz

2

—

KO / TKO

0

2

0

—

Submission

0

—

Decision

1

0

0:58

Avg fight time

7:52

Ryan Gandra’s splits

vs Diaz

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Ozzy Diaz’s splits

vs Gandra

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-10%

vs Longer reach

0-10%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Ryan GandravsOzzy Diaz

31

Age

4y

younger

35

6'1"

185cm

Height

3"

taller

6'4"

193cm

74"

188cm

Reach

5"

reach

79"

201cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

A

84th

+20

B

65th

Gandra has the striking edge (+20).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Gandra’s offensevsDiaz’s defense

Head

A

75th

35.5

+67

F

8th

51.5

Body

B

61st

10.1

+21

D

40th

9.9

Leg

C

58th

7.1

+19

D

39th

8.4

Diaz’s offensevsGandra’s defense

Head

A+

89th

47.5

+42

C

47th

31.8

Body

B

60th

9.7

+18

C

42nd

9.7

Leg

C

52nd

6.4

Even

C

46th

7.4

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Ryan Gandra	top 25% of division35.5	51%	around division average31.8	22
Head	Ozzy Diaz	top 11% of division47.5	48%	bottom of the division51.5	128
Body	Ryan Gandra	above division average10.1	33%	below division average9.7	2
Body	Ozzy Diaz	above division average9.7	75%	below division average9.9	15
Leg	Ryan Gandra	above division average7.1	—	around division average7.4	0
Leg	Ozzy Diaz	around division average6.4	88%	below division average8.4	7

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Ryan Gandra

Ozzy Diaz

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

58th

+12

C

46th

Gandra has the grappling edge (+12).

Takedowns

C

57th

0.0

+13

C

44th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

—

0%

0/3

Takedown defense

—

67%

2/3

Submission threat

B

63rd

0.0

+10

C

54th

0.0

Control time

C

54th

0.6 min

+13

D

41st

0.7 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Ryan Gandra	Ozzy Diaz
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	—0 / 0	0%0 / 3
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	—0 / 0	67%2 / 3
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.6 min0:05	0.7 min1:03
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	0.3 min0:31

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Ryan Gandra

30

Schedule Score

Ozzy Diaz

30

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

2 min

2 bouts

Octagon time

22 min

more

24 min

3 bouts

Schedule strength

13%

26%

Win quality

63%

29%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Ryan Gandra	Ozzy Diaz
Ranked 6–15	—	0-1
Established	—	0-1
Building	1-0	—
Unproven	1-0	1-0

Ryan Gandra — bouts

Ozzy Diaz — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Ryan Gandra

Ozzy Diaz

Gandra — last 5

recent → old

WLFA

KO R1

Marrero

Nov ’24

WLFA

KO R2

Gambulino

Nov ’23

Diaz — last 5

recent → old

WLFA

KO R2

Lewis

May ’24

WLFA

KO R1

Campbell

Mar ’24

Last 5 record

5-0

3-2

Current streak

W5

L1

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

44 d

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Ryan Gandra

Ozzy Diaz

Post-result bounce

SituationGandra Diaz

After a loss

—

1-0100%

After a win

1-0100%

0-10%

Camp length

SituationGandra Diaz

Typical camp100–180 days

1-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

—

0-10%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Ryan Gandra

Ozzy Diaz

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Gandra8W–1L by finish · 88% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Diaz9W–4L by finish · 67% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑12%·Diaz

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑12%·Diaz

D

41st

78%

+13

C

54th

90%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

20%

7%

KO durability

↑19%·Gandra

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑19%·Gandra

C

57th

10%

+30

D

27th

29%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

B

68th

0%

Even

A

70th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Ryan Gandra	Ozzy Diaz
Wins
by KO / TKO	6(67%)	7(70%)
by submission	1(11%)	2(20%)
by decision	2(22%)	1(10%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(100%)	4(100%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	0(0%)	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Ryan Gandra

vs

Ozzy Diaz

100%

3 KO/TKO in 3 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

2

9.1 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

2

1.4 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Ryan GandraFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Ozzy DiazFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Ateba Gautier3 months ago
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 9, 2026 · R2 · 1:10
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Ryan Gandra

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Ozzy Diaz

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Neither fighter has reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Ryan Gandra	12.6	12.4	2.6	0.00	4%	2
R1	Ozzy Diaz	3.7	2.7	4.3	0.24	8%	3
R2	Ryan Gandra	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Ozzy Diaz	8.6	8.6	9.7	0.00	0%	2
R3	Ryan Gandra	—	—	—	—	—	—
R3	Ozzy Diaz	12.8	12.8	11.4	0.00	0%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.