Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an advantage in this matchup — offense weighed against the opponent's defense. Tap any row to see the numbers behind it. Descriptive — not a prediction.

Sean O'Malley

edge

Aiemann Zahabi

Striking

◂ O'Malley

O'Malley out-strikes Zahabi

Effective offense

A+

97th

3.6

+17

A

80th

2.1

Defense

B

66th

60%

Even

B

65th

69%

KO power

C

12 KO

0.4 KD

+12

D

6 KO

0.3 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Wrestling stays neutral

Takedowns landed

F

17th

0.3

Even

F

15th

0.1

Takedown accuracy

43%

14%

Takedown defense

C

46th

60%

+38

A

83rd

84%

Control time

F

4th

0.2 min

+14

F

18th

0.7 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ O'Malley

O'Malley is the bigger submission threat on Zahabi

Submission attempts

C

49th

0.3

+30

F

19th

0.0

Sub win rate

C

57th

0%

0 subs

Even

C

57th

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

D

36th

7%

Even

D

42nd

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ O'Malley

O'Malley is more likely to finish Zahabi

Finish rate

B

64th

55%

+34

D

31st

25%

KO durability

C

42nd

7%

Even

D

36th

10%

Submission defense

D

36th

7%

Even

D

42nd

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ O'Malley

O'Malley pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

6.4

5.0

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.1

4.2

Pace trend

+10%/rd

+31%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Zahabi ▸

Zahabi is in better recent form than O'Malley

Win rate (career)

79%

Even

80%

After a win

80%

86%

Last 5

60%

100%

Win streakW1W5

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ O'Malley

O'Malley has faced the tougher schedule vs Zahabi

Schedule strength

76%

47%

Win quality

69%

Even

72%

Ranked opponents

11

3

Title-holder bouts

2

0

Common opps (2)1-1 (1 NC)2-0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ O'Malley

O'Malley is fresher and more active than Zahabi

Last bout

5mo

8mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

Even

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

Even

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ O'Malley

O'Malley 3" reach · O'Malley 8 cm · O'Malley 7y younger · Switch-stance wrinkle

Sean O'MalleyvsAiemann Zahabi

31

Age

7y

younger

38

5'11"

180cm

Height

3"

taller

5'8"

173cm

72"

183cm

Reach

3"

reach

69"

174cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Each edge weighs one fighter’s offense against the other’s defense in this matchup, not each fighter vs the division in isolation — so a strong defense reduces (not erases) the opposing threat. Tap a row for the percentiles behind it. Thin samples are dimmed; too little data reads “not enough data.”

Core metrics

The shape of the matchup at a glance — each fighter's career rates as a percentile within the division. Descriptive, not a prediction.

Sean O'MalleyAiemann Zahabi

O'MalleyPercentileZahabi

Striking/min6.054.54

Accuracy%60%47%

Defense%60%69%

Takedowns/150.20.1

TD defense%60%83%

Submissions/150.20.0

Career rate as a percentile within the bantamweight (296 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 1m ago

Sean O'Malley

Consensus

79%▲ 2

Best price to bet O'Malley

Kalshi79¢bestSportsbook-45079%

Aiemann Zahabi

Consensus

21%▼ 2

Best price to bet Zahabi

Kalshi22¢Sportsbook+35021%

O'Malley 79%21% Zahabi

$160k vol · $130k OI$348k vol · $319k OI

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Sean O'Malley

30%+184

4%+2000

42%+102

Aiemann Zahabi

7%+1175

3%+2400

14%+525

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Sean O'Malley

30%+184

4%+2000

42%+102

Aiemann Zahabi

7%+1175

3%+2400

14%+525

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over63%-207
Under37%+154

Goes the distance

Yes59%-167
No41%+128

UFC betting history

Career

O'MalleySean O'Malley

ZahabiAiemann Zahabi

9-282%

As favorite

3-175%

2-167%

As underdog

5-183%

Line movement

Win probability over time

tap to toggle

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts.

Career splits

O'MalleySean O'Malley

Stat

ZahabiAiemann Zahabi

6

1

KO / TKO

2

1

0

1

Submission

0

5

1

Decision

6

1

12:18

Avg fight time

12:07

Sean O'Malley’s splits

vs Zahabi

vs Orthodox

6-275%

vs Southpaw

3-0100%

vs Switch

2-167%

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

11-379%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile.

Aiemann Zahabi’s splits

vs O'Malley

vs Orthodox

7-278%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Longer reach

6-275%

vs Shorter reach

2-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Sean O'MalleyvsAiemann Zahabi

31

Age

7y

younger

38

5'11"

180cm

Height

3"

taller

5'8"

173cm

72"

183cm

Reach

3"

reach

69"

174cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense mapped against the other's defense — where one attacks meets where the other gets hit, across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

A

72nd

+10

B

62nd

O'Malley has the striking edge (+10).

Attacking

O'Malley’s offensevsZahabi’s defense

Where O'Malley attacks (green = high volume) vs where Zahabi gets hit (red = vulnerable) — O'Malley’s green zones meeting Zahabi’s red zones are the openings.

Sean O'MalleyOffense

Head67%93rd713
Body24%90th254
Leg9%60th98

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Aiemann ZahabiDefense

Head61%40th301
Body21%36th103
Leg18%35th90

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

O'Malley — by position

95%Standing

Standing95%1,008
Clinch2%20
Ground3%37

Zahabi — absorbed by position

97%Standing

Standing97%478
Clinch2%9
Ground1%7

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

O'Malley’s offensevsZahabi’s defense

Head

A+

93rd

55.7

+53

D

40th

37.1

Body

A+

90th

19.8

+54

D

36th

12.4

Leg

B

60th

8.5

+26

D

35th

10.6

Zahabi’s offensevsO'Malley’s defense

Head

A

85th

44.4

+22

B

62nd

28.0

Body

B

60th

11.2

Even

B

63rd

8.8

Leg

C

55th

7.8

+43

F

12th

14.8

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Sean O'Malley	top 7% of division55.7	55%	above division average28.0	713
Head	Aiemann Zahabi	top 15% of division44.4	43%	below division average37.1	397
Body	Sean O'Malley	top 10% of division19.8	75%	above division average8.8	254
Body	Aiemann Zahabi	above division average11.2	65%	below division average12.4	91
Leg	Sean O'Malley	above division average8.5	93%	bottom of the division14.8	98
Leg	Aiemann Zahabi	above division average7.8	72%	below division average10.6	62

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.

UFC only

Sean O'Malley

Aiemann Zahabi

Each metric graded on the division — the bar leans toward whoever wins that part of the grappling exchange (longer + greener = a bigger edge).

Overall Grappling

Grappling

D

35th

+9

C

45th

Zahabi has the grappling edge (+9).

Takedowns

F

25th

0.3

Even

F

24th

0.1

Takedown accuracy

43%

3/7

14%

1/7

Takedown defense

C

46th

60%

37/62

+38

A

83rd

84%

26/31

Submission threat

C

53rd

0.3

+9

C

43rd

0.0

Control time

F

18th

0.2 min

+10

D

28th

0.7 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Sean O'Malley	Aiemann Zahabi
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.33	0.11
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	43%3 / 7	14%1 / 7
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	60%37 / 62	84%26 / 31
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.33	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.2 min2:01	0.7 min5:33
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	2.9 min32:47	0.4 min3:08

All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time. Accuracy under 8 career attempts is shown raw and ungraded — too small a sample to rate against the division.

Common opponents

Every UFC opponent both fighters have faced — a direct comparison controlling for matchmaking.

Sean O'Malley

Aiemann Zahabi

Record vs common opponents

Edge · Zahabi

1-1, 1 NC

1-1, 1 NC

2-0

2-0

Edge · Zahabi

Decision (Unanimous)R5· 5:00

Decision (Split)R3· 5:00

Tied

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

opp ranked #15

W

Schedule Score

Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.

UFC only

Sean O'Malley

80

Schedule Score

Aiemann Zahabi

56

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

172 min

14 bouts

Octagon time

51 min

more

121 min

10 bouts

Schedule strength

76%

47%

Win quality

69%

72%

Ranked opponents

11

3

Title-holder bouts

2

0

Opponent quality distribution

every UFC bout, bucketed by who the opponent was at the time

Sean O'Malley

15 bouts

4

5

2

3

Aiemann Zahabi

10 bouts

1

2

1

2

4

Champion

Top-5

Top-15

Established

Building

Unproven

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Sean O'Malley	Aiemann Zahabi
Champion	2-2	1-0
Top-5	3-1, 1 NC	2-0
Top-15	2-0	—
Established	1-0	0-1
Building	—	2-0
Unproven	3-0	3-1

Sean O'Malley — bouts

Aiemann Zahabi — bouts

All figures are 0–100 ratings (shown as %), not percentages of anything literal. Schedule strength = the average quality of every UFC opponent faced (win or lose). Win quality = the average quality of the opponents actually beaten. The composite Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with win quality (35%). Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, falling back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. For fighters with limited UFC experience the headline is held toward a rookie baseline, so debut / low-sample fighters read lower than established names. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts (non-UFC fights dashed + tagged), current trajectory, and the level of opposition going into this matchup.

Sean O'Malley

Aiemann Zahabi

O'Malley — last 5

recent → old

Zahabi — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

3-2

5-0

Current streak

W1

W5

Ranked opps

5 of 5

3 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

8 mo

Finishing & durability

How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.

Sean O'Malley

Aiemann Zahabi

When their fights end

every UFC finish on the fight clock

O'Malley6W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Zahabi2W–1L by finish · all in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑11%·O'Malley

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑11%·O'Malley

C

51st

68%

+15

D

36th

57%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

32%

44%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

C

56th

5%

+10

C

46th

6%

Submission defense

↑5%·Zahabi

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑5%·Zahabi

C

48th

5%

+10

B

58th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Sean O'Malley	Aiemann Zahabi
Wins
by KO / TKO	12(63%)	6(43%)
by submission	1(5%)	2(14%)
by decision	6(32%)	6(43%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(33%)	1(50%)
by submission	1(33%)	0(0%)
by decision	1(33%)	1(50%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

Finish-time and round-by-round numbers are UFC-only and don’t change with this toggle.

KO history

UFC fights only — knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head, then when the last finish landed, and on whom.

Sean O'Malley

vs

Aiemann Zahabi

47%

7 KO/TKO in 15 bouts

Knockout rate

20%

2 KO/TKO in 10 bouts

6

0.8 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

3

0.8 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

3

1.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Sean O'MalleyFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Marlon Vera5y 9mo ago
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Aug 15, 2020 · R1 · 4:40
Last time submitted
vs Merab Dvalishvili1 year ago
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Jun 7, 2025 · R3 · 4:42

Aiemann ZahabiFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Ricardo Ramos8y 7mo ago
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · Nov 4, 2017 · R3 · 1:58
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.

UFC only

Sean O'Malley

116%

R3 vs R1 · 9 bouts reaching R3

Aiemann Zahabi

186%

R3 vs R1 · 8 bouts reaching R3

Both lean the same way, but Zahabi leans harder: Zahabi builds (+30% per round through round 3), O'Malley builds (+11% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, O'Malley lifts to 116% of round-1 output by round 3, Zahabi 186%.

O'Malley ▲ BUILDS

Zahabi ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

O'Malley

Zahabilanded / min

Takedown attempts

O'Malley

Zahabiattempts / min

Control time

O'Malley

Zahabi% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Sean O'Malley	5.7	5.6	2.8	0.05	0%	14
R1	Aiemann Zahabi	3.6	3.3	3.3	0.05	4%	10
R2	Sean O'Malley	6.4	6.3	3.9	0.00	3%	10
R2	Aiemann Zahabi	4.8	4.5	3.8	0.05	2%	8
R3	Sean O'Malley	7.1	6.7	3.2	0.09	1%	9
R3	Aiemann Zahabi	6.6	6.1	5.3	0.08	8%	8
R4	Sean O'Malley	6.2	6.2	4.7	0.00	0%	2
R4	Aiemann Zahabi	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Sean O'Malley	7.2	7.2	3.1	0.00	0%	2
R5	Aiemann Zahabi	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.