Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Serghei Spivac

edge

Vitor Petrino

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange

Effective offense

B

70th

1.7

Even

B

65th

1.6

Defense

C

43rd

52%

+15

B

58th

51%

KO power

C

7 KO

0.0 KD

Even

C

8 KO

0.3 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Petrino ▸

Petrino has the bigger wrestling edge on Spivac

Takedowns landed

A+

91st

3.8

+9

A

83rd

2.8

Takedown accuracy

A

81st

59%

+17

B

64th

46%

Takedown defense

C

48th

64%

+26

A

74th

81%

Control time

A

77th

4.9 min

Even

A

77th

4.9 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Both real submission threats

Submission attempts

B

66th

0.5

+9

A

75th

0.8

Sub win rate

A

80th

44%

8 subs

+12

B

68th

14%

2 subs

Submission defense

D

37th

0%

Even

D

32nd

6%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both hard to finish

Finish rate

D

41st

67%

Even

D

38th

57%

KO durability

C

42nd

27%

+18

B

60th

11%

Submission defense

D

37th

0%

Even

D

30th

11%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Spivac

Spivac pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

6.3

5.7

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.1

5.3

Pace trend

+7%/rd

+11%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Petrino ▸

Petrino is in better recent form than Spivac

Win rate (career)

60%

78%

After a win

50%

83%

Last 5

40%

60%

Win streakW1W3

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Spivac

Spivac has faced the tougher schedule vs Petrino

Schedule strength

67%

31%

Win quality

49%

Even

50%

Ranked opponents

12

3

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Petrino ▸

Petrino has fought more often lately than Spivac

Last bout

5mo

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

3

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

Even

4

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Even

Even physically · Closed-stance matchup

Serghei SpivacvsVitor Petrino

31

Age

3y

younger

28

6'3"

191cm

Height

Even

6'3"

191cm

78"

198cm

Reach

1"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Serghei SpivacVitor Petrino

Percentile

Striking/min3.573.24

Accuracy%47%48%

Defense%52%51%

Takedowns/153.82.6

TD defense%63%79%

Submissions/150.50.7

Career rate as a percentile within the heavyweight (304 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

SpivacSerghei Spivac

PetrinoVitor Petrino

—

As pick'em

1-0100%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

SpivacSerghei Spivac

Stat

PetrinoVitor Petrino

3

4

KO / TKO

2

1

3

0

Submission

2

1

3

2

Decision

3

0

8:22

Avg fight time

10:35

Serghei Spivac’s splits

vs Petrino

vs Southpaw

1-150%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

4-267%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Vitor Petrino’s splits

vs Spivac

vs Southpaw

1-0100%

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Shorter reach

3-260%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Serghei SpivacvsVitor Petrino

31

Age

3y

younger

28

6'3"

191cm

Height

Even

6'3"

191cm

78"

198cm

Reach

1"

reach

77"

196cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

54th

Even

B

60th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Attacking

Spivac’s offensevsPetrino’s defense

Where Spivac attacks (green = high volume) vs where Petrino gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Spivac’s green zones meeting Petrino’s red zones are the openings.

Serghei SpivacOffense

Head94%84th421
Body4%19th16
Leg2%32nd11

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Vitor PetrinoDefense

Head52%66th137
Body23%43rd60
Leg25%31st66

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Spivac — by position

61%Standing

Standing61%275
Clinch4%17
Ground35%156

Petrino — absorbed by position

86%Standing

Standing86%225
Clinch11%29
Ground3%9

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Spivac’s offensevsPetrino’s defense

Head

A

84th

45.6

+19

B

66th

25.8

Body

F

19th

3.8

+24

C

43rd

9.4

Leg

D

32nd

2.8

Even

D

31st

9.6

Petrino’s offensevsSpivac’s defense

Head

C

54th

31.6

+24

D

30th

39.8

Body

C

58th

9.1

+32

D

26th

12.4

Leg

C

54th

6.2

+14

D

40th

8.2

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Serghei Spivac	top 16% of division45.6	46%	below division average39.8	421
Head	Vitor Petrino	around division average31.6	41%	above division average25.8	198
Body	Serghei Spivac	well below average3.8	80%	well below average12.4	16
Body	Vitor Petrino	above division average9.1	81%	below division average9.4	58
Leg	Serghei Spivac	below division average2.8	92%	below division average8.2	11
Leg	Vitor Petrino	around division average6.2	83%	below division average9.6	38

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Serghei Spivac

Vitor Petrino

Overall Grappling

Grappling

A

71st

Even

A

72nd

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

A+

85th

3.8

Even

A

78th

2.8

Takedown accuracy

A

81st

59%

32/54

+17

B

64th

46%

18/39

Takedown defense

C

48th

64%

7/11

+26

A

74th

81%

21/26

Submission threat

B

67th

0.5

Even

A

74th

0.8

Control time

A

73rd

4.9 min

Even

A

72nd

4.9 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Serghei Spivac	Vitor Petrino
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	3.832	2.818
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	59%32 / 54	46%18 / 39
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	64%7 / 11	81%21 / 26
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.54	0.85
Control time / 15 (min)career total	4.9 min41:13	4.9 min30:52
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.8 min15:23	1.2 min7:46

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Serghei Spivac

64

Schedule Score

Vitor Petrino

39

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

126 min

15 bouts

Octagon time

31 min

more

95 min

9 bouts

Schedule strength

67%

31%

Win quality

49%

50%

Ranked opponents

12

3

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Serghei Spivac	Vitor Petrino
Champion	0-1	—
Top-5	2-3	0-1
Top-15	4-2	1-1
Contender-level	—	1-0
Building	2-0	1-0
Unproven	1-0	4-0

Serghei Spivac — bouts

Vitor Petrino — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Serghei Spivac

Vitor Petrino

Spivac — last 5

recent → old

Petrino — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

2-3

3-2

Current streak

W1

W3

Ranked opps

5 of 5

2 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Serghei Spivac

Vitor Petrino

Post-result bounce

SituationSpivac Petrino

After a loss

5-183%

1-150%

After a win

4-450%

5-183%

Camp length

SituationSpivac Petrino

Short turnaround< 100 days

0-10%

1-150%

Typical camp100–180 days

4-357%

4-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

5-183%

1-150%

Rematches

SituationSpivac Petrino

All rematchesany repeat opponent

1-0100%

—

Revenge boutslost the first

1-0100%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Serghei Spivac

Vitor Petrino

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Spivac15W–4L by finish · 73% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Petrino9W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑12%·Spivac

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑12%·Spivac

C

46th

83%

+18

D

29th

71%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

21%

25%

KO durability

↑11%·Petrino

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑11%·Petrino

C

43rd

17%

+28

A

72nd

6%

Submission defense

↑6%·Spivac

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑6%·Spivac

B

61st

0%

+24

D

38th

6%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Serghei Spivac	Vitor Petrino
Wins
by KO / TKO	7(39%)	8(57%)
by submission	8(44%)	2(14%)
by decision	3(17%)	4(29%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	4(67%)	1(50%)
by submission	0(0%)	1(50%)
by decision	2(33%)	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Serghei Spivac

vs

Vitor Petrino

20%

3 KO/TKO in 15 bouts

Knockout rate

30%

3 KO/TKO in 10 bouts

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

3

1.5 / 100 head

4

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

2

0.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

2

1.5 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Serghei SpivacFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Jailton Almeida1y 5mo ago
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · Jan 18, 2025 · R1 · 4:53
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Vitor PetrinoFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Dustin Jacoby1y 6mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · Dec 14, 2024 · R3 · 3:44
Last time submitted
vs Anthony Smith2y 2mo ago
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 4, 2024 · R1 · 2:00

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Serghei Spivac

162%

R3 vs R1 · 5 bouts reaching R3

Vitor Petrino

119%

R3 vs R1 · 6 bouts reaching R3

Both lean the same way, but Petrino leans harder: Petrino builds (+10% per round through round 3), Spivac builds (+6% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Spivac lifts to 162% of round-1 output by round 3, Petrino 119%.

Spivac ▲ BUILDS

Petrino ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Spivac

Petrinolanded / min

Takedown attempts

Spivac

Petrinoattempts / min

Control time

Spivac

Petrino% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Serghei Spivac	5.8	2.9	4.3	0.53	32%	15
R1	Vitor Petrino	5.4	2.7	2.5	0.46	33%	9
R2	Serghei Spivac	6.5	4.3	4.2	0.30	33%	9
R2	Vitor Petrino	5.2	3.2	2.4	0.29	28%	7
R3	Serghei Spivac	6.6	4.0	4.1	0.40	36%	5
R3	Vitor Petrino	6.6	3.6	3.6	0.48	38%	6

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.