Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

edge

Shamil Gaziev

Striking

◂ Nzechukwu

Nzechukwu out-strikes Gaziev

Effective offense

A+

88th

2.3

+29

B

59th

1.4

Defense

D

39th

51%

+10

D

30th

45%

KO power

C

10 KO

0.2 KD

Even

B

9 KO

0.2 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed

D

41st

0.6

+16

C

57th

1.1

Takedown accuracy

B

62nd

45%

+13

C

50th

33%

Takedown defense

81%

Even

83%

Control time

C

54th

2.7 min

+30

A

84th

6.2 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Both real submission threats

Submission attempts

C

57th

0.2

+33

F

24th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

65th

7%

1 sub

Even

B

70th

21%

3 subs

Submission defense

D

30th

10%

Even

D

37th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Nzechukwu

Nzechukwu is more likely to finish Gaziev

Finish rate

C

53rd

88%

+13

D

41st

67%

KO durability

C

56th

14%

+19

D

37th

33%

Submission defense

F

25th

14%

+12

D

36th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Nzechukwu

Nzechukwu pushes the higher work rate over the fight — Nzechukwu's pace builds while Gaziev's fades

Work rate / min — full fight

6.0

5.1

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

5.3

6.4

Pace trend

+22%/rd

-40%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Nzechukwu

Nzechukwu is in better recent form than Gaziev

Win rate (career)

57%

50%

After a win

63%

33%

Last 5

50%

40%

Win streak—L2

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition

Schedule strength

31%

48%

Win quality

46%

31%

Ranked opponents

3

Even

3

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Gaziev ▸

Gaziev is fresher and more active than Nzechukwu

Last bout

7mo

2mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

Even

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

Even

4

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Nzechukwu

Nzechukwu 5" reach · Nzechukwu 5 cm · Open-stance matchup

Kennedy NzechukwuvsShamil Gaziev

34

Age

2y

younger

36

6'5"

196cm

Height

2"

taller

6'3"

191cm

83"

211cm

Reach

5"

reach

78"

198cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Kennedy NzechukwuShamil Gaziev

Percentile

Striking/min4.962.94

Accuracy%46%46%

Defense%51%45%

Takedowns/150.51.1

TD defense%80%83%

Submissions/150.20.3

Career rate as a percentile within the heavyweight (304 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

NzechukwuKennedy Nzechukwu

GazievShamil Gaziev

—

As pick'em

1-150%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

NzechukwuKennedy Nzechukwu

Stat

GazievShamil Gaziev

6

2

KO / TKO

2

3

1

2

Submission

0

1

2

Decision

1

0

8:28

Avg fight time

9:02

Kennedy Nzechukwu’s splits

vs Gaziev

vs Southpaw

2-167%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Shamil Gaziev’s splits

vs Nzechukwu

vs Orthodox

2-340%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

2-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Kennedy NzechukwuvsShamil Gaziev

34

Age

2y

younger

36

6'5"

196cm

Height

2"

taller

6'3"

191cm

83"

211cm

Reach

5"

reach

78"

198cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

61st

+12

C

49th

Nzechukwu has the striking edge (+12).

Attacking

Nzechukwu’s offensevsGaziev’s defense

Where Nzechukwu attacks (green = high volume) vs where Gaziev gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Nzechukwu’s green zones meeting Gaziev’s red zones are the openings.

Kennedy NzechukwuOffense

Head82%88th510
Body17%69th108
Leg1%28th6

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Shamil GazievDefense

Head64%26th178
Body20%23rd57
Leg16%25th45

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Nzechukwu — by position

76%Standing

Standing76%472
Clinch13%81
Ground11%71

Gaziev — absorbed by position

94%Standing

Standing94%264
Clinch5%15
Ground0%1

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Nzechukwu’s offensevsGaziev’s defense

Head

A+

88th

51.1

+62

D

26th

42.7

Body

B

69th

11.3

+46

F

23rd

12.9

Leg

D

28th

2.2

Even

F

25th

10.3

Gaziev’s offensevsNzechukwu’s defense

Head

C

55th

32.3

+26

D

30th

39.9

Body

B

66th

10.7

+40

D

26th

12.3

Leg

D

35th

3.5

+16

F

19th

11.6

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Kennedy Nzechukwu	top 12% of division51.1	47%	below division average39.9	510
Head	Shamil Gaziev	above division average32.3	38%	well below average42.7	116
Body	Kennedy Nzechukwu	above division average11.3	71%	well below average12.3	108
Body	Shamil Gaziev	above division average10.7	83%	well below average12.9	44
Leg	Kennedy Nzechukwu	well below average2.2	67%	well below average11.6	6
Leg	Shamil Gaziev	below division average3.5	100%	well below average10.3	3

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Shamil Gaziev

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

61st

Even

B

61st

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

48th

0.6

+13

B

60th

1.1

Takedown accuracy

B

62nd

45%

5/11

+13

C

50th

33%

4/12

Takedown defense

A

77th

81%

63/78

83%

5/6

Submission threat

B

60th

0.2

Even

B

59th

0.0

Control time

C

55th

2.7 min

+21

A

76th

6.2 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Shamil Gaziev
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.65	1.14
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	45%5 / 11	33%4 / 12
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	81%63 / 78	83%5 / 6
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.22	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.7 min24:01	6.2 min22:25
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.0 min26:57	0.2 min0:37

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Kennedy Nzechukwu

38

Schedule Score

Shamil Gaziev

43

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

133 min

15 bouts

Octagon time

79 min

more

54 min

6 bouts

Schedule strength

31%

48%

Win quality

46%

31%

Ranked opponents

3

Even

3

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Shamil Gaziev
Champion	1-0	—
Top-5	0-1	0-2
Top-15	1-3	1-1
Building	3-2	1-0
Unproven	3-0-1	1-0

Kennedy Nzechukwu — bouts

Shamil Gaziev — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Shamil Gaziev

Nzechukwu — last 5

recent → old

Gaziev — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

2-2-1

Even

2-3

Current streak

—

L2

Ranked opps

1 of 5

2 of 5

Layoff

7 mo

2 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Shamil Gaziev

Post-result bounce

SituationNzechukwu Gaziev

After a loss

3-260%

1-150%

After a win

5-363%

1-233%

Camp length

SituationNzechukwu Gaziev

Short turnaround< 100 days

1-150%

0-10%

Typical camp100–180 days

5-271%

1-150%

Long layoff> 180 days

2-250%

1-150%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Shamil Gaziev

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Nzechukwu10W–4L by finish

R1

R2

R3

R4

Gaziev11W–3L by finish · 70% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

R4

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

20:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑7%·Gaziev

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑7%·Gaziev

D

40th

79%

+13

C

52nd

86%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

25%

12%

KO durability

↑8%·Nzechukwu

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑8%·Nzechukwu

B

61st

10%

+19

C

42nd

18%

Submission defense

↑10%·Gaziev

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑10%·Gaziev

D

26th

10%

+35

B

61st

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Shamil Gaziev
Wins
by KO / TKO	10(71%)	9(64%)
by submission	1(7%)	3(21%)
by decision	3(21%)	2(14%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	2(33%)	3(100%)
by submission	2(33%)	0(0%)
by decision	2(33%)	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Kennedy Nzechukwu

vs

Shamil Gaziev

41%

7 KO/TKO in 17 bouts

Knockout rate

29%

2 KO/TKO in 7 bouts

3

0.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.9 / 100 head

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

3

0.8 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

3

1.7 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Kennedy NzechukwuFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Dustin Jacoby2y 11mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 5, 2023 · R1 · 1:22
Last time submitted
vs Valter Walker11 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025 · R1 · 0:54

Shamil GazievFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Brando Pericic2 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 2, 2026 · R2 · 3:44
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Kennedy Nzechukwu

236%

R3 vs R1 · 7 bouts reaching R3

Shamil Gaziev

46%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Nzechukwu: Nzechukwu builds (+23% per round through round 3) while Gaziev fades (-39% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Nzechukwu lifts to 236% of round-1 output by round 3, Gaziev 46%.

Nzechukwu ▲ BUILDS

Gaziev ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Nzechukwu

Gazievlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Nzechukwu

Gazievattempts / min

Control time

Nzechukwu

Gaziev% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	4.7	3.7	4.2	0.11	16%	15
R1	Shamil Gaziev	6.6	3.9	4.2	0.28	46%	6
R2	Kennedy Nzechukwu	5.9	5.0	4.9	0.07	17%	10
R2	Shamil Gaziev	6.1	3.9	5.3	0.14	45%	4
R3	Kennedy Nzechukwu	7.4	6.3	4.7	0.04	24%	7
R3	Shamil Gaziev	2.6	0.7	5.2	0.10	40%	2
R4	Kennedy Nzechukwu	—	—	—	—	—	—
R4	Shamil Gaziev	2.2	0.4	9.6	0.40	14%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.