Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Yousri Belgaroui

edge

Djorden Santos

Striking

◂ Belgaroui

Belgaroui out-strikes Santos (thin sample)

Effective offense

A+

99th

3.9

Even

A+

94th

2.8

Defense

A

85th

63%

+64

F

21st

48%

KO power

B

8 KO

1.0 KD

+23

D

3 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Wrestling stays neutral (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

D

32nd

0.6

+9

F

23rd

0.3

Takedown accuracy

100%

20%

Takedown defense

56%

80%

Control time

F

19th

1.0 min

Even

F

17th

0.9 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Little submission threat either way (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

18th

0.0

Even

F

18th

0.0

Sub win rate

C

53rd

0%

0 subs

+15

B

68th

36%

4 subs

Submission defense

C

46th

0%

Even

D

39th

7%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Belgaroui

Belgaroui is more likely to finish Santos (thin sample)

Finish rate

C

56th

100%

+26

D

30th

0%

KO durability

C

56th

0%

Even

B

62nd

0%

Submission defense

D

39th

0%

+15

F

25th

33%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Belgaroui

Belgaroui pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

9.1

7.6

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

7.5

Even

7.3

Pace trend

+34%/rd

+23%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Belgaroui

Belgaroui is in better recent form than Santos (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

100%

33%

After a win

100%

0%

Last 5

100%

60%

Win streakW5L1

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

16%

14%

Win quality

66%

48%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

5mo

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

Even

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

Even

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Belgaroui

Belgaroui 4" reach · Belgaroui 8 cm · Santos 5y younger · Closed-stance matchup

Yousri BelgarouivsDjorden Santos

34

Age

5y

younger

29

6'5"

196cm

Height

3"

taller

6'2"

188cm

79"

201cm

Reach

4"

reach

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Yousri BelgarouiDjorden Santos

Percentile

Striking/min6.106.64

Accuracy%64%42%

Defense%63%48%

Takedowns/150.30.5

TD defense%66%85%

Submissions/150.00.0

Career rate as a percentile within the middleweight (354 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Belgaroui faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .561 career win rate vs .462 for Santos.

Yousri Belgaroui

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

78-61

.561 win rate

Winning-record opponents

7 of 9

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

9

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Djorden Santos

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

60-70

.462 win rate

Winning-record opponents

5 of 10

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

10

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Yousri Belgaroui

Djorden Santos

83%

-715

MMA Index model

Unlock

17%

+475

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

BelgarouiYousri Belgaroui

SantosDjorden Santos

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

BelgarouiYousri Belgaroui

Stat

SantosDjorden Santos

2

—

KO / TKO

0

—

Submission

0

1

0

—

Decision

1

12:17

Avg fight time

14:44

Yousri Belgaroui’s splits

vs Santos

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

1-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Djorden Santos’s splits

vs Belgaroui

vs Southpaw

1-0100%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Yousri BelgarouivsDjorden Santos

34

Age

5y

younger

29

6'5"

196cm

Height

3"

taller

6'2"

188cm

79"

201cm

Reach

4"

reach

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

A

82nd

+30

C

52nd

Belgaroui holds a decisive striking edge (+30).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Belgaroui’s offensevsSantos’s defense

Head

A+

88th

46.6

+82

F

6th

55.1

Body

A

83rd

14.8

+66

F

18th

13.7

Leg

A

80th

11.3

+67

F

13th

12.5

Santos’s offensevsBelgaroui’s defense

Head

A+

93rd

58.4

+33

B

60th

26.9

Body

C

56th

9.0

Even

B

58th

7.8

Leg

B

66th

8.1

+8

C

58th

5.9

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Yousri Belgaroui	top 12% of division46.6	60%	above division average26.9	127
Head	Djorden Santos	top 7% of division58.4	37%	bottom of the division55.1	258
Body	Yousri Belgaroui	top 17% of division14.8	80%	above division average7.8	39
Body	Djorden Santos	above division average9.0	60%	well below average13.7	24
Leg	Yousri Belgaroui	top 20% of division11.3	88%	above division average5.9	30
Leg	Djorden Santos	above division average8.1	90%	bottom of the division12.5	26

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Yousri Belgaroui

Djorden Santos

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

46th

Even

D

41st

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

50th

0.6

+9

D

41st

0.3

Takedown accuracy

100%

1/1

20%

1/5

Takedown defense

D

39th

56%

9/16

80%

4/5

Submission threat

C

53rd

0.0

Even

C

48th

0.0

Control time

C

42nd

1.0 min

Even

D

35th

0.9 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Yousri Belgaroui	Djorden Santos
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.61	0.31
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	100%1 / 1	20%1 / 5
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	56%9 / 16	80%4 / 5
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.0 min1:39	0.9 min2:42
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.3 min5:25	0.8 min2:16

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Yousri Belgaroui

31

Schedule Score

Djorden Santos

30

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

25 min

2 bouts

Octagon time

19 min

more

44 min

3 bouts

Schedule strength

16%

14%

Win quality

66%

48%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Yousri Belgaroui	Djorden Santos
Building	2-0	1-1
Unproven	—	0-1

Yousri Belgaroui — bouts

Djorden Santos — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Yousri Belgaroui

Djorden Santos

Belgaroui — last 5

recent → old

WLFL 11

DEC

Sami

Feb ’24

WLFL 10

KO R1

Kvelidze

Oct ’23

Santos — last 5

recent → old

WTHUNDER

DEC

Moitinho

Nov ’22

Last 5 record

5-0

3-2

Current streak

W5

L1

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Yousri Belgaroui

Djorden Santos

Post-result bounce

SituationBelgaroui Santos

After a loss

—

1-0100%

After a win

1-0100%

0-10%

Camp length

SituationBelgaroui Santos

Typical camp100–180 days

1-0100%

—

Long layoff> 180 days

—

1-150%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Yousri Belgaroui

Djorden Santos

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Belgaroui8W–0L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Santos7W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑16%·Belgaroui

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑16%·Belgaroui

D

42nd

80%

+14

D

28th

64%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

38%

43%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

A

78th

0%

Even

A

78th

0%

Submission defense

↑7%·Belgaroui

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑7%·Belgaroui

B

70th

0%

+13

C

57th

7%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Yousri Belgaroui	Djorden Santos
Wins
by KO / TKO	8(80%)	3(27%)
by submission	0(0%)	4(36%)
by decision	2(20%)	4(36%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0(0%)	0(0%)
by submission	0(0%)	1(33%)
by decision	3(100%)	2(67%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Yousri Belgaroui

vs

Djorden Santos

75%

3 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

2

1.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Yousri BelgarouiFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Djorden SantosFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
vs Baisangur Susurkaev3 months ago
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 9, 2026 · R3 · 4:12

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Yousri Belgaroui

206%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

Djorden Santos

173%

R3 vs R1 · 3 bouts reaching R3

Both lean the same way, but Belgaroui leans harder: Belgaroui builds (+35% per round through round 3), Santos builds (+23% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Belgaroui lifts to 206% of round-1 output by round 3, Santos 173%.

Belgaroui ▲ BUILDS

Santos ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Belgaroui

Santoslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Belgaroui

Santosattempts / min

Control time

Belgaroui

Santos% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Yousri Belgaroui	5.9	5.9	1.7	0.00	0%	2
R1	Djorden Santos	4.7	4.7	4.9	0.00	0%	3
R2	Yousri Belgaroui	9.1	8.2	2.0	0.10	15%	2
R2	Djorden Santos	9.8	9.1	10.1	0.20	3%	3
R3	Yousri Belgaroui	12.2	12.0	0.7	0.00	3%	2
R3	Djorden Santos	8.2	7.1	7.7	0.14	16%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.