Compare Arman Tsarukyan vs Ilia Topuria — UFC matchup breakdown
Tale of the Tape
The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Arman has 6 months more layoff
Division percentiles below rank both fighters against the Lightweight roster (470 fighters).
Recent form
Last five pro bouts (non-UFC fights dashed + tagged), current trajectory, and the level of opposition going into this matchup.
Common opponents
The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Arman Tsarukyan | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Champion | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Top-5 | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Top-15 | 4-0 | 3-0 |
| Established | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Building | 2-0 | 1-0 |
- W vs Dan Hooker#778Nov 22, 2025 · Top-5
- W vs Charles Oliveira#198Apr 13, 2024 · Champion
- W vs Beneil Dariush#483Dec 2, 2023 · Top-5
- W vs Joaquim Silva30Jun 17, 2023 · Established
- W vs Damir Ismagulov#1266Dec 17, 2022 · Top-15
- L vs Mateusz Gamrot#1274Jun 25, 2022 · Top-5
- W vs Joel Alvarez#1560Feb 26, 2022 · Top-15
- W vs Christos Giagos22Sep 18, 2021 · Building
- W vs Matt Frevola46Jan 23, 2021 · Top-15
- W vs Davi Ramos18Jul 18, 2020 · Building
- W vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier#1560Jul 27, 2019 · Top-15
- L vs Islam Makhachev#1586Apr 20, 2019 · Champion
- L vs Justin Gaethje#197Jun 14, 2026 · Champion
- W vs Charles Oliveira#296Jun 28, 2025 · Champion
- W vs Max Holloway#296Oct 26, 2024 · Champion
- W vs Alexander VolkanovskiCHAMP100Feb 17, 2024 · Champion
- W vs Josh Emmett#580Jun 24, 2023 · Top-5
- W vs Bryce Mitchell#970Dec 10, 2022 · Top-15
- W vs Jai Herbert15Mar 19, 2022 · Building
- W vs Ryan Hall#1464Jul 10, 2021 · Top-15
- W vs Damon Jackson22Dec 5, 2020 · Established
- W vs Youssef Zalal54Oct 10, 2020 · Top-15
All figures are 0–100 ratings (shown as %), not percentages of anything literal. Schedule strength = the average quality of every UFC opponent faced (win or lose). Win quality = the average quality of the opponents actually beaten. The composite Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with win quality (35%). Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, falling back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. For fighters with limited UFC experience the headline is held toward a rookie baseline, so debut / low-sample fighters read lower than established names. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Career splits
Striking matchup
Each fighter's offense mapped against the other's defense — where one attacks meets where the other gets hit, across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.
Topuria has the striking edge (+8).
Where Tsarukyan attacks (green = high volume) vs where Topuria gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Tsarukyan’s green zones meeting Topuria’s red zones are the openings.
- Head66%73rd376
- Body22%67th124
- Leg12%52nd67
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes
- Head62%39th257
- Body21%35th85
- Leg17%33rd72
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent
- Standing62%349
- Clinch7%42
- Ground31%176
- Standing93%383
- Clinch6%24
- Ground2%7
Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.
Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Arman Tsarukyan | top 27% of division36.4 | 42% | top 23% of division20.6 | 376 |
| Head | Ilia Topuria | top 16% of division43.5 | 44% | below division average35.8 | 343 |
| Body | Arman Tsarukyan | above division average12.1 | 74% | above division average8.5 | 124 |
| Body | Ilia Topuria | top 28% of division13.7 | 70% | below division average11.7 | 106 |
| Leg | Arman Tsarukyan | around division average7.1 | 86% | top 20% of division3.7 | 67 |
| Leg | Ilia Topuria | above division average7.7 | 80% | below division average9.8 | 53 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Takedowns, submission threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.
Each metric graded on the division — the bar leans toward whoever wins that part of the grappling exchange (longer + greener = a bigger edge).
Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.
Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns | 3.332 | 1.712 |
| Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted | 38%32 / 85 | 57%12 / 21 |
| Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced | 75%30 / 40 | 95%20 / 21 |
| Submission attempts / 15career attempts | 0.11 | 0.96 |
| Control time / 15 (min)career total | 6.4 min62:19 | 3.1 min21:20 |
| Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total | 1.6 min16:03 | 0.9 min6:33 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time. Accuracy under 8 career attempts is shown raw and ungraded — too small a sample to rate against the division.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.
When their fights end
every pro finish on the fight clockFinish & durability rates
Full professional career
Full method breakdown
| Outcome | Arman Tsarukyan | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 9(39%) | 7(41%) |
| by submission | 6(26%) | 8(47%) |
| by decision | 8(35%) | 2(12%) |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 1(33%) | 0 |
| by submission | 0(0%) | 0 |
| by decision | 2(67%) | 0 |
Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.
KO history
UFC fights only — knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head, then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last time KO'dNever finished by strikes in the UFC
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
- Last time KO'dvs Justin Gaethje10 days agoUFC Freedom 250 · Jun 14, 2026 · R4 · 5:00* corner stoppage · not a clean KO
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Cardio edge to Topuria: Topuria builds (+11% per round through round 4) while Tsarukyan holds steady (-1% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Tsarukyan sustains 102% of round-1 output by round 3, Topuria 105%.
Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.
Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.71 | 52% | 12 |
| R1 | Ilia Topuria | 5.7 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 0.22 | 18% | 10 |
| R2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 7.6 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.57 | 42% | 10 |
| R2 | Ilia Topuria | 6.8 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.04 | 20% | 7 |
| R3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 7.4 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.52 | 38% | 8 |
| R3 | Ilia Topuria | 5.7 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 0.30 | 21% | 4 |
| R4 | Arman Tsarukyan | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.00 | 8% | 1 |
| R4 | Ilia Topuria | 8.5 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 0.20 | 14% | 2 |
| R5 | Arman Tsarukyan | 5.6 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 0.20 | 10% | 1 |
| R5 | Ilia Topuria | 5.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.60 | 51% | 1 |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.