Live·Saturday, August 15, 2026
UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry
Xfinity Mobile Arena·Philadelphia
73Strong
Card rating
Strong
- Ranked
- 6top-15
- Title fights
- 2belt on the line
- Top favorite
- -300Islam Makhachev
- Hot streak
- 16WIslam Makhachev
- Biggest model edge
- Pro
Full Card Research Hub
Card insights
Statistical mismatch
WelterweightMakhachev leads wrestling, submission, and finishing
Islam MakhachevvsIan Machado Garry
The widest measured gap is wrestling — side by side:
MakhachevGarryTakedowns landed3.10.9Takedown accuracy56.231.3Takedown defense91.380
Submission threat
WelterweightBrahimaj is the bigger submission threat
Neil MagnyvsRamiz Brahimaj
Brahimaj is the bigger submission threat on Magny
MagnyBrahimajSubmission attempts0.31.6Sub win rate16.192.3Submission defense15.60
Wrestling spotlight
MiddleweightGore controls the wrestling
Vicente LuquevsTresean Gore
Luque is the sharper striker, so the mat is Gore's clearest path — getting it down changes the fight.
LuqueGoreTakedowns landed0.91.9Takedown accuracy48.372.7Takedown defense59.783.9
Finish tendencies
WelterweightBoth rarely go the distance
Geoff NealvsChidi Njokuani
Only 29% of Neal’s 24 pro fights have reached the judges, and only 32% of Njokuani’s 38 pro fights have reached the judges. Full pro careers, wins and losses alike.
NealNjokuaniGoes the distance29%32%Finishes their wins75%64%Losses by stoppage63%75%
The model’s underdog
ProLocked
The market underdog the model most disagrees upward on — model probability, market price, and the gap between them.
Unlock with Pro →Line movement· no-vig win % · open → now · sortable
| Books · no-vig win % | Kalshi · win % | |||||||
| Upd | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson Women's Strawweight | -230 | 57% | 67% | +10.1 | — | — | — | 3m |
Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry Welterweight | -300 | 72% | 72% | +0.6 | — | — | — | 3m |
Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai Welterweight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius Women's Flyweight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Jalin Turner vs Kaue Fernandes Lightweight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Geoff Neal vs Chidi Njokuani Welterweight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj Welterweight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus Middleweight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore Middleweight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics Lightweight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Figures follow the first-listed fighter · Open = Monday’s line
Common opponents· how each fared vs shared UFC foes
Blanchfield vs JasudaviciusWomen's Flyweight
Tracy Cortez
BlanchfieldW SUBJasudaviciusL DEC
Manon Fiorot
BlanchfieldL DECJasudaviciusL KO
Jessica Andrade
BlanchfieldW SUBJasudaviciusW SUB
Miranda Maverick
BlanchfieldW DECJasudaviciusW DEC
Dern vs RobertsonWomen's Strawweight
Amanda Lemos
DernL DECRobertsonW DEC
Marina Rodriguez
DernL DECRobertsonW KO
Magny vs BrahimajWelterweight
Max Griffin
MagnyW DECBrahimajL KO
Camps on the card· gym rating · UFC record, this year & all-time
Kill Cliff FCElite
4-11
2026
290-221All-time
American Top TeamElite
14-11
2026
547-437All-time
Xtreme CoutureElite
6-13
2026
260-210All-time
MMA LabElite
9-3
2026
127-99All-time
Fortis MMAElite
2-6
2026
113-114All-time
Nova UniaoElite
4-3
2026
84-79All-time
Show all 18 campsShow fewer
Eagles MMAElite
2-0
2026
40-8All-time
Elevation Fight TeamContender
1-3
2026
128-103All-time
Renzo Gracie PhillyEstablished
2-1
2026
32-15All-time
Valle Flow StrikingEstablished
1-2
2026
34-28All-time
The Goat Shed AcademyEstablished
2-0
2026
23-11All-time
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuEstablished
First 2026 bout
31-28All-time
RVCAEstablished
First 2026 bout
12-11All-time
Niagara Top TeamDeveloping
1-0
2026
9-3All-time
One Kick's GymDeveloping
0-1
2026
16-20All-time
Uluu Kyrgyz TeamActive
1-0
2026
6-2All-time
Adrenaline Combat SportsActive
First 2026 bout
8-6All-time
Frankers Fight TeamActive
First 2026 bout
3-7All-time
Full card· 10 bouts · sortable
CIslam Makhachevvs#1Ian Machado Garry Welterweight· Title·Makhachev — wrestling & submission | -300/+250 | – | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CMackenzie Dernvs#5Gillian Robertson Women's Strawweight· Title·Robertson — wrestling & finishing | -230/+195 | ||||
Jeremiah WellsvsMyktybek Orolbai Welterweight·Orolbai — pace | — | – | – | – | |
#4Erin Blanchfieldvs#7Jasmine Jasudavicius Women's Flyweight·Even by the numbers | — | ||||
Jalin TurnervsKaue Fernandes Lightweight·Turner — submission & pace | — | ||||
Geoff NealvsChidi Njokuani Welterweight·Even by the numbers | — | – | |||
Neil MagnyvsRamiz Brahimaj Welterweight·Even by the numbers | — | – | |||
Mansur Abdul-MalikvsDustin Stoltzfus Middleweight·Abdul-Malik — wrestling & finishing | — | – | |||
Vicente LuquevsTresean Gore Middleweight·Even by the numbers | — | ||||
Edson BarbozavsEsteban Ribovics Lightweight·Even by the numbers | — | – | – |
Tap any column header to sort the card by it. Each bar points to the fighter who holds that edge (left = first-listed fighter); longer = stronger. “Finish lean” weighs a finishing threat against the opponent’s durability. Fights with too little data are left ungraded. Descriptive research — not predictions.