Chris Duncan Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	#10Renato Moicano Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	3:14	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan	Apr 4, 2026
W	Terrance McKinney Lightweight	Submission	Anaconda Choke On Ground	R1	2:30	UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2	Dec 6, 2025
W	Mateusz Rebecki Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park	Aug 2, 2025
W	Jordan Vucenic Lightweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard	R2	3:42	UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady	Mar 22, 2025
W	Bolaji Oki Lightweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke From Guard	R1	3:34	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis	Sep 28, 2024
L	Manuel Torres Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	1:46	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2	Feb 24, 2024
W	Yanal Ashmouz Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	Jul 22, 2023
W	Omar Morales Lightweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3	Mar 18, 2023

Outside the UFC

9-1across 10 bouts · 6 promotions · wins by 7 KO · 1 sub · 1 decBellator · Dana White's Contender Series · On Top · UFL 8 · UFL 3 +1

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Charlie Campbell9-3	KO/TKO	punches	R1	1:43	Dana White's Contender Series	Aug 2, 2022
W	Jonathan Carlos16-12	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFL 8	Feb 5, 2022
L	Viacheslav Borshchev8-8-1	KO/TKO	punch	R2	0:28	Dana White's Contender Series	Oct 12, 2021
W	Iamik Furtado7-7	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	3:58	Bellator	Oct 1, 2020
W	Mateusz Piskorz15-6	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	2:43	Bellator	Feb 22, 2020
W	Leandro Souza9-5	KO/TKO	Head Kick and Punches	R1	4:03	UFL 3	Aug 4, 2019
W	Sam Slater3-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:00	Bellator	Feb 23, 2019
W	Niall Smith5-9	KO/TKO	—	R1	0:00	On Top	Nov 17, 2018
W	Steven Moore0-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	0:00	On Top	Jun 2, 2018
W	Pietro Colonna2-1	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R2	4:47	Unity FC	Apr 7, 2018

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

10-2across 12 amateur bouts · 8 promotionsHFC · Forza FC · On Top · SFC 11 · SFC 10 +3

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Alexander O'Sullivan5-0	KO/TKO	Corner Stoppage	R2	3:00	HFC	Nov 18, 2017
W	Andy Nunn0-13	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:00	On Top	Sep 30, 2017
W	Lukasz Szarafiniak1-0	KO/TKO	—	R2	0:00	HFC	Mar 4, 2017
W	Makinde Adeyemi4-4	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	SFC 11	Aug 27, 2016
W	John-Ross Harkins2-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	1:29	Forza FC	May 1, 2016
W	Kieran Connor1-0	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R2	1:16	SFC 10	Mar 26, 2016
W	Kevin Hamilton1-1	KO/TKO	—	R1	1:22	Forza FC	Nov 1, 2015
W	Graham Russell1-1	Decision	Majority	R3	—	SFC 9	Mar 8, 2015
L	Jack Pearce1-0	Decision	Unanimous	R3	4:00	HFC	Dec 6, 2014
W	Stuart Adams0-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:22	Forza FC	Nov 1, 2014
W	Chris Morton1-3	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:56	SFC 8	Apr 20, 2014
L	David Dair2-0	KO/TKO	Shoulder Injury	R2	5:00	H	Nov 27, 2010

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

7 wins, 1 loss

W7

L1

Submission

4 wins, 2 losses

W4

L2

Decision

4 wins, 0 losses

W4

L0

Finishes

UFC KOs

0

Below avg · 11%Lightweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.25

Above avg · 0.21Lightweight

UFC submissions

3

Above avg · 6%Lightweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.38

Below avg · 0.44Lightweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Chris Duncan

PowerChin

Knockout rate

10%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

2

1.03 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.00 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Decision behavior

Judging

2 scorecards on file

Chris Duncan

Scorecard luck

Cards have leaned their way

Won 1 of 1 coin-flip decision — the kind of close calls that have tended to fall their way. Judges have given them 2 of 3 rounds they disagreed on (67%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

1–0

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

2–1

Won – Lost

67% went their way

Unanimous1 decision · 50%

1W

Split1 decision · 50%

1W

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC54th

45%321 / 695

Striking accuracy

50%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.26 differential

Landed4.83

Absorbed4.57

53%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-5%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head60%75th194
Body23%72nd73
Leg17%73rd54

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

82%Standing

Standing82%264
Clinch7%22
Ground11%35

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Chris Duncan

Landed per 15

Head

A

82nd

41.7

82nd

Body

A

82nd

15.7

82nd

Leg

A

79th

11.6

79th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

17th

46.7

17th

Body

B

69th

7.3

69th

Leg

D

34th

9.5

34th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	41.7	194	508	38%
Body	15.7	73	102	72%
Leg	11.6	54	85	64%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	46.7	217	520	42%
Body	7.3	34	49	69%
Leg	9.5	44	50	88%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Chris Duncan

41%

Takedown accuracy

56%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+1.8 min net

On top3.3

On bottom1.5

Offense

Takedowns

A

75th

2.8

75th

TD accuracy

B

60th

41%

60th

Sub attempts

B

65th

0.6

65th

Control

B

59th

3.3 min

59th

Defense

TD defense

C

43rd

56%

43rd

Controlled

1.5 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	13 / 32
Submission attempts	3
Control time	15:14

Defense

TDs defended	10 / 18
Control absorbed	6:46

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (70min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Chris Duncan

8 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 70 min

198%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Duncan builds (+27% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Duncan lifts to 198% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Duncan ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Duncanlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Duncanattempts / min

Control time

Duncan% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	6.0	4.2	4.4	0.37	18%	8
R2	6.0	3.7	3.7	0.50	20%	5
R3	9.9	6.9	4.7	0.60	32%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Chris Duncan

8 resolved UFC bouts · 1 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

39/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

C

46th

31%

46th

Win quality

A

76th

49%

76th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

2

1

4

1

Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-15	2	0-2	0%
Contender-level	1	1-0	100%
Building	4	4-0	100%
Unproven	1	1-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Renato Moicano#10	Top-15	69	Apr 4, 2026
W	Terrance McKinney	Contender-level	40	Dec 6, 2025
W	Mateusz Rebecki	Building	18	Aug 2, 2025
W	Jordan Vucenic	Unproven	8	Mar 22, 2025
W	Bolaji Oki	Building	15	Sep 28, 2024
L	Manuel Torres	Top-15	44	Feb 24, 2024
W	Yanal Ashmouz	Building	15	Jul 22, 2023
W	Omar Morales	Building	18	Mar 18, 2023

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

8 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

4-1

5 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

1-1

2 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-0

1 bout

After a win

next bout after a win

4-2

6 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

3 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Chris Duncan

Active

3 monthssince last bout

vs Renato Moicano · Apr 4, 2026

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 2-1As underdog 4-1

73.7

DK avg

89.7

Median

117.9

Ceiling

11.4

Floor

50%

Boom

25%

Bust

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