Karl Roberson Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Kennedy Nzechukwu Light Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Elbows to Head From Back Control	R3	2:19	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	Jul 9, 2022
L	Khalil Rountree Jr. Light Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R2	0:25	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	Mar 12, 2022
L	Brendan Allen Middleweight	Submission	Ankle Lock On Ground	R1	4:55	UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2	Apr 24, 2021
L	Marvin Vettori Middleweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	4:17	UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo	Jun 13, 2020
W	Roman Kopylov Middleweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R3	4:01	UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar	Nov 9, 2019
W	Wellington Turman Middleweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd	Jul 13, 2019
L	#12Glover Teixeira Light Heavyweight	Submission	Arm Triangle From Side Control	R1	3:21	UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw	Jan 19, 2019
W	Jack Marshman Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis	Nov 3, 2018
L	Cezar Ferreira Middleweight	Submission	Arm Triangle From Side Control Technical Submission	R1	4:45	UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington	May 12, 2018
W	Darren Stewart Middleweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	3:41	UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis	Nov 11, 2017

Outside the UFC

5-1across 6 bouts · 6 promotions · wins by 2 KO · 2 sub · 1 decGFC 7 · Dana White's Contender Series · CFFC 65 · SF · CFFC 50 +1

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	Handesson Ferreira22-7-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	GFC 7	Mar 2, 2024
W	Ryan Spann24-11	KO/TKO	elbows	R1	0:15	Dana White's Contender Series	Jul 25, 2017
W	Derrick Brown6-5	Submission	Armbar	R1	1:01	CFFC 65	May 20, 2017
W	Elijah Gbollie6-8	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:50	SF	Apr 8, 2017
W	Michael Wilcox6-4	Submission	Armbar	R1	3:11	CFFC 50	Jul 18, 2015
W	Chike Obi0-4	Decision	Unanimous	R3	4:00	ROC 51	Jun 5, 2015

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

2-0across 2 amateur bouts · 2 promotionsXtreme Caged Combat · GMMMA

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Lex Ludlow2-4	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:00	Xtreme Caged Combat	Jul 26, 2013
W	Adam Timberlake0-3	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	GMMMA	Apr 20, 2013

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

2 wins, 2 losses

W2

L2

Submission

4 wins, 4 losses

W4

L4

Decision

3 wins, 1 loss

W3

L1

Finishes

UFC KOs

0

Below avg · 15%Middleweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.10

Below avg · 0.24Middleweight

UFC submissions

2

Above avg · 8%Middleweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.30

Below avg · 0.39Middleweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Karl Roberson

PowerChin

Knockout rate

9%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.79 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

2

1.36 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Decision behavior

Judging

2 scorecards on file

Karl Roberson

Scorecard luck

Cards have leaned their way

Won 1 of 1 coin-flip decision — the kind of close calls that have tended to fall their way. Judges have given them 1 of 1 round they disagreed on (100%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

1–0

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

1–0

Won – Lost

100% went their way

Unanimous1 decision · 50%

1W

Split1 decision · 50%

1W

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

2 rounds total

2

Won

0

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC56th

51%208 / 404

Striking accuracy

57%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.15 differential

Landed2.57

Absorbed2.42

49%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+8%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head61%45th127
Body18%46th37
Leg21%64th44

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

59%Standing

Standing59%122
Clinch16%33
Ground25%53

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Karl Roberson

Landed per 15

Head

D

40th

23.0

40th

Body

D

36th

6.7

36th

Leg

B

65th

8.0

65th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

B

61st

26.7

61st

Body

A

73rd

5.8

73rd

Leg

A

75th

3.8

75th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	23.0	127	299	42%
Body	6.7	37	54	69%
Leg	8.0	44	51	86%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	26.7	147	384	38%
Body	5.8	32	53	60%
Leg	3.8	21	36	58%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Karl Roberson

40%

Takedown accuracy

41%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-2.8 min net

On top2.6

On bottom5.4

Offense

Takedowns

C

44th

0.7

44th

TD accuracy

C

55th

40%

55th

Sub attempts

B

60th

0.5

60th

Control

C

49th

2.6 min

49th

Defense

TD defense

F

24th

41%

24th

Controlled

5.4 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	4 / 10
Submission attempts	3
Control time	14:26

Defense

TDs defended	11 / 27
Control absorbed	30:00

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (83min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Karl Roberson

10 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 83 min

108%

R3 pace · 4 bouts

Roberson builds (+9% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Roberson lifts to 108% of round-1 output by round 3 (4 bouts).

Roberson ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Robersonlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Robersonattempts / min

Control time

Roberson% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	3.5	2.6	2.7	0.11	14%	10
R2	3.4	2.4	1.8	0.05	20%	5
R3	4.1	2.4	2.3	0.24	25%	4

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Karl Roberson

10 resolved UFC bouts · 1 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

39/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

A

75th

46%

75th

Win quality

F

8th

21%

8th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

3

2

1

2

ChampionHeld the title in this weight class at the time
Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Cross-div rankedRanked #1–#15 in another division at the time
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Champion	1	0-1	0%
Top-5	3	0-3	0%
Top-15	2	1-1	50%
Cross-div ranked	1	0-1	0%
Building	1	1-0	100%
Unproven	2	2-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Cross-div ranked	36	Jul 9, 2022
L	Khalil Rountree Jr.	Top-5	63	Mar 12, 2022
L	Brendan Allen	Top-5	59	Apr 24, 2021
L	Marvin Vettori	Top-5	63	Jun 13, 2020
W	Roman Kopylov	Top-15	43	Nov 9, 2019
W	Wellington Turman	Unproven	8	Jul 13, 2019
L	Glover Teixeira#12	Champion	88	Jan 19, 2019
W	Jack Marshman	Unproven	12	Nov 3, 2018
L	Cezar Ferreira	Top-15	55	May 12, 2018
W	Darren Stewart	Building	15	Nov 11, 2017

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

10 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

0-1

1 bout

Typical camp

100–180 days

3-1

4 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

0-4

4 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

2-3

5 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

1-3

4 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

2y 4mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Karl Roberson

Extended layoff

2y 4mosince last bout

vs Handesson Ferreira · Mar 2, 2024

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 3-1As underdog 1-5

37.4

DK avg

21.8

Median

81.2

Ceiling

4.2

Floor

20%

Boom

50%

Bust

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