Kevin Casey Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

L

Sam Alvey

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punches to Head On Ground · R2 · 4:56

UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · Aug 27, 2016

KO/TKO

R2 · 4:56

Punches to Head On Ground

UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit

Aug 27, 2016

D

Elvis Mutapcic

Middleweight · Draw · R3 · 5:00

UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · Jun 4, 2016

Draw

R3 · 5:00

—

UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2

Jun 4, 2016

L

#15Rafael Natal

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punches to Head From Mount · R3 · 3:37

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · Jan 30, 2016

KO/TKO

R3 · 3:37

Punches to Head From Mount

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader

Jan 30, 2016

NC

Antonio Carlos Junior

Middleweight · No Contest · R1 · 0:11

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Dec 10, 2015

No Contest

R1 · 0:11

—

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant

Dec 10, 2015

W

Ildemar Alcantara

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Mir vs. Duffee · Jul 15, 2015

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Mir vs. Duffee

Jul 15, 2015

NC

Bubba Bush

Middleweight · No Contest · R1 · 1:01

UFC 175: Weidman vs. Machida · Jul 5, 2014

No Contest

R1 · 1:01

—

UFC 175: Weidman vs. Machida

Jul 5, 2014

L

Josh Samman

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Knee to Head In Clinch · R2 · 2:17

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Apr 13, 2013

KO/TKO

R2 · 2:17

Knee to Head In Clinch

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale

Apr 13, 2013

Outside the UFC

8-3-1across 12 bouts · 9 promotions · wins by 3 KO · 3 sub · 2 decBellator · Samurai Pro Sports · Strikeforce · RFA 15 · RFA 12 +4

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	Chris Honeycutt16-10	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	2:06	Bellator	Aug 25, 2017
D	Keith Berry17-15-1	Draw	Majority	R3	5:00	Bellator	Jan 21, 2017
W	Andrew Sanchez14-9	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:30	RFA 15	Jun 6, 2014
W	Eddie Mendez8-3-1	KO/TKO	Elbows	R1	3:38	RFA 12	Jan 24, 2014
W	Casey Ryan9-4	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	RFA 9	Aug 16, 2013
W	Reggie Orr9-9-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:56	Samurai Pro Sports	Apr 15, 2012
W	Daniel Mancha3-15	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:16	Samurai Pro Sports	Oct 21, 2011
L	Matt Lindland22-9	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	3:41	Strikeforce	May 21, 2010
W	Chad Vance8-6	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	1:41	Strikeforce	Nov 20, 2009
W	Jimmy Mills8-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	4:27	EFA	Oct 25, 2008
W	Andrew Flores8-7	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Fist Series	Jul 27, 2008
L	Ikuhisa Minowa63-45-8	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	0:42	K-1 HERO's	Sep 17, 2007

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

3 wins, 6 losses

W3

L6

Submission

3 wins, 0 losses

W3

L0

Decision

3 wins, 0 losses

W3

L0

Finishes

UFC KOs

0

Below avg · 15%Middleweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.00

Below avg · 0.24Middleweight

UFC submissions

0

Below avg · 8%Middleweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.40

Above avg · 0.39Middleweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Kevin Casey

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.00 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

4

3.03 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never submittedin the UFC

Career striking

OverallD41st

53%155 / 291

Striking accuracy

46%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-1.49 differential

Landed2.27

Absorbed3.76

37%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-1%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head57%45th89
Body24%59th37
Leg19%59th29

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

56%Standing

Standing56%87
Clinch13%20
Ground31%48

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Kevin Casey

Landed per 15

Head

D

35th

21.9

35th

Body

C

57th

9.1

57th

Leg

B

58th

7.2

58th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

C

44th

32.5

44th

Body

F

8th

18.5

8th

Leg

C

53rd

6.4

53rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	21.9	89	207	43%
Body	9.1	37	52	71%
Leg	7.2	29	32	91%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	32.5	132	332	40%
Body	18.5	75	91	82%
Leg	6.4	26	27	96%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Kevin Casey

21%

Takedown accuracy

43%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+2.0 min net

On top4.3

On bottom2.4

Offense

Takedowns

C

46th

0.7

46th

TD accuracy

D

28th

21%

28th

Sub attempts

B

59th

0.5

59th

Control

B

65th

4.3 min

65th

Defense

TD defense

43%

Controlled

2.4 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	3 / 14
Submission attempts	2
Control time	17:37

Defense

TDs defended	3 / 7
Control absorbed	9:39

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (61min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Kevin Casey

5 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 61 min

62%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Casey fades (-24% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Casey drops to 62% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Casey ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Caseylanded / min

Takedown attempts

Caseyattempts / min

Control time

Casey% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	5.7	3.0	2.0	0.20	53%	5
R2	3.5	2.2	5.4	0.18	19%	5
R3	3.6	2.4	4.6	0.37	2%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Kevin Casey

7 resolved UFC bouts · 1 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

36/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

C

51st

32%

51st

Win quality

D

34th

34%

34th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

3

2

Ranked 6–15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Ranked 6–15	3	0-2, 1 NC	0%
Building	2	1-1	50%
Unproven	2	0-0-1, 1 NC	—

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Sam Alvey	Ranked 6–15	48	Aug 27, 2016
D	Elvis Mutapcic	Unproven	8	Jun 4, 2016
L	Rafael Natal#15	Ranked 6–15	63	Jan 30, 2016
NC	Antonio Carlos Junior	Ranked 6–15	50	Dec 10, 2015
W	Ildemar Alcantara	Building	18	Jul 15, 2015
NC	Bubba Bush	Unproven	8	Jul 5, 2014
L	Josh Samman	Building	15	Apr 13, 2013

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

4 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

0-1

1 bout

Typical camp

100–180 days

—

Long layoff

> 180 days

1-1

2 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-0

1 bout

After a win

next bout after a win

0-1

1 bout

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-2

2 bouts

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

8y 11mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Kevin Casey

Extended layoff

8y 11mosince last bout

vs Chris Honeycutt · Aug 25, 2017

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs underdog 1-3

33.30

DK avg

21.40

Median

47.80

Ceiling

15.90

Floor

0%

Boom

40%

Bust

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