Rafael Natal

Compare with another fighter

Rafael Natal

Nickname“Sapo”

Record

21-9-1

Streak

L3

Age

43

Date of birth

Dec 25, 1982

Fighting out of: Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Born: Brazil
Camp: Renzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
Weight class: Middleweight
Height: 6'0" · 183 cm
Reach: 77" · 196 cm
Stance: Orthodox
Last fight: Jul 22, 2017
Cut risk: 64%

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

Eryk Anders

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punch to Head In Clinch · R1 · 2:54

UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · Jul 22, 2017

Punch to Head In Clinch

UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum

Tim Boetsch

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punches to Head At Distance · R1 · 3:22

UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor · Nov 12, 2016

Punches to Head At Distance

UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor

Robert Whittaker

#7Robert Whittaker

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC 197: Jones vs. Saint Preux · Apr 23, 2016

UFC 197: Jones vs. Saint Preux

Kevin Casey

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punches to Head From Mount · R3 · 3:37

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · Jan 30, 2016

Punches to Head From Mount

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader

Uriah Hall

Middleweight · Decision · Split · R3 · 5:00

UFC 187: Johnson vs. Cormier · May 23, 2015

UFC 187: Johnson vs. Cormier

Tom Watson

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz · Jan 31, 2015

UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz

Chris Camozzi

Middleweight · Decision · Split · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Mousasi · Sep 5, 2014

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Mousasi

Ed Herman

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva · May 10, 2014

UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva

Tim Kennedy

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punch to Head At Distance · R1 · 4:40

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · Nov 6, 2013

Punch to Head At Distance

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3

Tor Troeng

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs. Bader · Sep 4, 2013

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs. Bader

Joao Zeferino

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · May 18, 2013

UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold

Sean Spencer

Middleweight · Submission · Arm Triangle From Mount · R3 · 2:13

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Dodson · Jan 26, 2013

Arm Triangle From Mount

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Dodson

Andrew Craig

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Kick to Head At Distance · R2 · 4:52

UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs. Weidman · Jul 11, 2012

Kick to Head At Distance

UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs. Weidman

Michael Kuiper

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit · Feb 4, 2012

UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit

Paul Bradley

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC 133: Evans vs. Ortiz 2 · Aug 6, 2011

UFC 133: Evans vs. Ortiz 2

Jesse Bongfeldt

Jesse Bongfeldt

Middleweight · Draw · R3 · 5:00

UFC 124: St-Pierre vs. Koscheck 2 · Dec 11, 2010

UFC 124: St-Pierre vs. Koscheck 2

Rich Attonito

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs. Palhares · Sep 15, 2010

UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs. Palhares

Outside the UFC

12-2across 14 bouts · 12 promotions · wins by 3 KO · 7 sub · 2 decXFC · CN 12 · Moosin · ROC 26 · ROC 25 +7

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Travis Lutter10-6	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	4:12	Moosin	May 21, 2010
W	Allan Weickert6-9	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:53	ROC 26	Sep 11, 2009
L	Victor O'Donnell11-4	KO/TKO	Doctor Stoppage	R1	5:00	ROC 25	Jun 12, 2009
W	Plinio Cruz8-9	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	3:13	ROC 24	Apr 17, 2009
W	Alexandre Moreno12-3	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	3:59	ROC 23	Feb 20, 2009
W	Jon Kirk19-14	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:19	SWC 2	Nov 28, 2008
L	Eduardo Telles5-2	KO/TKO	Head Kick	R2	2:18	Fury FC 6	Jul 12, 2008
W	Silmar Rodrigo15-6	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	MTL	Aug 11, 2007
W	Gerson da Silva Conceicao8-8	Decision	—	R1	10:00	XFC	Apr 29, 2007
W	Nailson Bahia0-1	Submission	Armbar	R1	1:24	XFC	Apr 29, 2007
W	Danillo Villefort15-6	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	—	GFC 1	May 20, 2006
W	Carlos Eduardo Santos3-8	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R2	2:46	WF	Oct 1, 2005
W	Valter Luiz da Silva9-7-1	Submission	Keylock	R2	0:55	CN 12	May 6, 2005
W	Emerson Avila2-8	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	1:58	CN 12	May 6, 2005

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Career striking

OverallC57th

47%656 / 1,370

Striking accuracy

57%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.62 differential

Landed3.10

Absorbed2.48

67%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+4%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head58%51st379
Body14%40th93
Leg28%83rd184

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

66%Standing

Standing66%432
Clinch12%79
Ground22%145

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Rafael Natal

Rafael Natal

Landed per 15

Head

C

50th

26.9

50th

Body

D

35th

6.6

35th

Leg

A+

87th

13.0

87th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

A

74th

22.3

74th

Body

A

79th

5.2

79th

Leg

D

28th

9.6

28th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	26.9	379	976	39%
Body	6.6	93	171	54%
Leg	13.0	184	223	83%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	22.3	315	950	33%
Body	5.2	73	117	62%
Leg	9.6	136	169	80%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Rafael Natal

Rafael Natal

17 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 212 min

101%

R3 pace · 13 bouts

Natal holds steady (+1% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Natal sustains 101% of round-1 output by round 3 (13 bouts).

Rafael Natal

Natal — HOLDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Rafael Natal

Natallanded / min

Takedown attempts

Rafael Natal

Natalattempts / min

Control time

Rafael Natal

Natal% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	5.0	2.8	2.3	0.44	19%	17
R2	6.8	3.6	1.9	0.60	34%	14
R3	5.1	2.9	3.4	0.44	23%	13

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Rafael Natal

Rafael Natal

17 resolved UFC bouts · 2 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

35/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

C

49th

32%

49th

Win quality

C

46th

39%

46th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

2

2

3

8

ChampionHeld the title in this weight class at the time
Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Ranked 6–15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Champion	1	0-1	0%
Top-5	1	0-1	0%
Ranked 6–15	2	1-1	50%
Established	2	0-2	0%
Building	3	1-2	33%
Unproven	8	7-0-1	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Eryk Anders	Established	22	Jul 22, 2017
L	Tim Boetsch#15	Ranked 6–15	67	Nov 12, 2016
L	Robert Whittaker#7	Champion	91	Apr 23, 2016
W	Kevin Casey	Unproven	8	Jan 30, 2016
W	Uriah Hall	Ranked 6–15	53	May 23, 2015
W	Tom Watson	Unproven	12	Jan 31, 2015
W	Chris Camozzi	Building	22	Sep 5, 2014
L	Ed Herman	Established	35	May 10, 2014
L	Tim Kennedy	Top-5	54	Nov 6, 2013
W	Tor Troeng	Unproven	8	Sep 4, 2013
W	Joao Zeferino	Unproven	8	May 18, 2013
W	Sean Spencer	Unproven	8	Jan 26, 2013
L	Andrew Craig	Building	15	Jul 11, 2012
W	Michael Kuiper	Unproven	8	Feb 4, 2012
W	Paul Bradley	Unproven	8	Aug 6, 2011
D	Jesse Bongfeldt	Unproven	8	Dec 11, 2010
L	Rich Attonito	Building	15	Sep 15, 2010

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.