Luke Barnatt Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	#13Mark Munoz Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Faber	May 16, 2015
L	Roger Narvaez Middleweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Swanson	Nov 22, 2014
L	Sean Strickland Middleweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs. Mousasi	May 31, 2014
W	Mats Nilsson Middleweight	KO/TKO	Kick to Head At Distance	R1	4:24	UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Manuwa	Mar 8, 2014
W	Andrew Craig Middleweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	2:12	UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Munoz	Oct 26, 2013
W	Collin Hart Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale	Apr 13, 2013

Outside the UFC

12-7across 19 bouts · 19 promotions · wins by 8 KO · 3 sub · 1 decACA 115 · ACA 109 · ACA 102 · ACA 96 · ACA 92 +14

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	Evgeniy Egemberdiev13-5	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	3:46	ACA 115	Dec 13, 2020
L	Karol Celinski18-10-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	ACA 109	Aug 20, 2020
L	Cory Hendricks9-6	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	4:38	ACA 102	Nov 29, 2019
W	Karol Celinski18-10-1	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	1:29	ACA 96	Jun 8, 2019
L	Jorge Gonzalez18-6	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	3:05	ACA 92	Feb 16, 2019
L	Karol Celinski18-10-1	Decision	Majority	R3	5:00	ACB 88	Jun 16, 2018
W	Maxim Futin7-6	KO/TKO	Punches and Knees	R2	3:27	ACB 81	Feb 23, 2018
L	Scott Askham20-7	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	ACB 70	Sep 23, 2017
W	Max Nunes17-5	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	4:07	ACB 63	Jul 1, 2017
L	Mamed Khalidov38-9-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:21	ACB 54	Mar 11, 2017
W	Cristian Mitrea6-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:00	RXF 25	Dec 19, 2016
W	Stefan Croitoru8-2-1	KO/TKO	Knees and Punches	R2	2:32	Venator FC 3	May 21, 2016
W	Charles Andrade34-42	KO/TKO	Punch	R3	0:11	BCMMA	Feb 20, 2016
W	Mattia Schiavolin15-3-3	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R4	1:46	Venator FC 2	Dec 12, 2015
W	Matteo Piran7-9	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	4:17	UWC 20	Sep 1, 2012
W	Chris Harman2-7	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:43	UCMMA 28	May 26, 2012
W	Lee Johnson5-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:36	BAMMA 9	Mar 24, 2012
W	Ben Callum5-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UCMMA 26	Feb 4, 2012
W	Chris Greig7-8	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	2:11	CFC	Sep 24, 2011

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

3-1across 4 amateur bouts · 4 promotionsUWC 16 · UWC 15 · Ultimate Warrior Challenge 12 · UWC 11

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Kay Erikssen2-1	Decision	Unanimous	R2	5:00	UWC 16	Jul 2, 2011
W	Giacomo Pala1-6	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	UWC 15	Apr 2, 2011
L	Andrew Tate1-0	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Ultimate Warrior Challenge 12	Mar 20, 2010
W	Alan Packman1-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	3:24	UWC 11	Nov 28, 2009

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

9 wins, 3 losses

W9

L3

Submission

4 wins, 1 loss

W4

L1

Decision

2 wins, 6 losses

W2

L6

Finishes

UFC KOs

1

Above avg · 15%Middleweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.33

Above avg · 0.24Middleweight

UFC submissions

1

Above avg · 8%Middleweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.33

Below avg · 0.39Middleweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Luke Barnatt

PowerChin

Knockout rate

17%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

2

0.91 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

1

0.51 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikes · Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

3 scorecards on file

Luke Barnatt

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

Won just 0 of 2 coin-flip decisions — repeatedly on the wrong end of close calls. Judges have given them 3 of 5 rounds they disagreed on (60%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

0–2

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

3–2

Won – Lost

60% went their way

Unanimous1 decision · 33%

1L

Split2 decisions · 67%

2L

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallB61st

36%317 / 870

Striking accuracy

59%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.56 differential

Landed4.43

Absorbed3.87

61%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-5%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head69%80th220
Body21%72nd66
Leg10%56th31

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

81%Standing

Standing81%256
Clinch15%48
Ground4%13

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Luke Barnatt

Landed per 15

Head

A+

88th

46.1

88th

Body

A

81st

13.8

81st

Leg

C

54th

6.5

54th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

23rd

40.9

23rd

Body

B

67th

6.7

67th

Leg

F

22nd

10.5

22nd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	46.1	220	698	32%
Body	13.8	66	118	56%
Leg	6.5	31	54	57%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	40.9	195	545	36%
Body	6.7	32	53	60%
Leg	10.5	50	79	63%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Luke Barnatt

43%

Takedown accuracy

64%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-2.9 min net

On top0.4

On bottom3.3

Offense

Takedowns

C

43rd

0.6

43rd

TD accuracy

43%

Sub attempts

C

56th

0.4

56th

Control

D

27th

0.4 min

27th

Defense

TD defense

C

50th

64%

50th

Controlled

3.3 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	3 / 7
Submission attempts	2
Control time	2:08

Defense

TDs defended	21 / 33
Control absorbed	15:52

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (72min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Luke Barnatt

6 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 72 min

86%

R3 pace · 4 bouts

Barnatt fades (-19% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Barnatt keeps 86% of round-1 output by round 3 (4 bouts).

Barnatt ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Barnattlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Barnattattempts / min

Control time

Barnatt% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	5.3	4.9	4.5	0.10	2%	6
R2	5.4	4.9	3.1	0.09	4%	5
R3	3.5	3.1	3.8	0.10	2%	4

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Luke Barnatt

6 resolved UFC bouts · 1 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

36/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

C

53rd

33%

53rd

Win quality

F

24th

31%

24th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

3

ChampionHeld the title in this weight class at the time
Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Champion	1	0-1	0%
Top-5	1	0-1	0%
Building	1	1-0	100%
Unproven	3	2-1	67%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Mark Munoz#13	Top-5	73	May 16, 2015
L	Roger Narvaez	Unproven	8	Nov 22, 2014
L	Sean Strickland	Champion	68	May 31, 2014
W	Mats Nilsson	Unproven	8	Mar 8, 2014
W	Andrew Craig	Building	18	Oct 26, 2013
W	Collin Hart	Unproven	8	Apr 13, 2013

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

6 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

0-1

1 bout

Typical camp

100–180 days

1-2

3 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

1-0

1 bout

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

0-2

2 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

2-1

3 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

5y 6mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Luke Barnatt

Extended layoff

5y 6mosince last bout

vs Evgeniy Egemberdiev · Dec 13, 2020

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 2-3As underdog 1-0

61.7

DK avg

82.6

Median

108.0

Ceiling

18.4

Floor

50%

Boom

33%

Bust

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