Mario Bautista Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
◆	Cory SandhagenUpcoming Bantamweight	—	—	—	—	UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2	Jul 11, 2026
W	#11Vinicius Oliveira Bantamweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	4:46	UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira	Feb 7, 2026
L	#2Umar Nurmagomedov Bantamweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane	Oct 25, 2025
W	Patchy Mix Bantamweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2	Jun 7, 2025
W	#10Jose Aldo Bantamweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.	Oct 5, 2024
W	#13Ricky Simon Bantamweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2	Jan 13, 2024
W	Da'Mon Blackshear Bantamweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley	Aug 19, 2023
W	Guido Cannetti Bantamweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	3:18	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	Mar 11, 2023
W	Benito Lopez Bantamweight	Submission	Triangle Armbar From Back Control	R1	4:54	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	Nov 5, 2022
W	#15Brian Kelleher Bantamweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	2:27	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	Jun 25, 2022
W	Jay Perrin Bantamweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	Feb 19, 2022
L	Trevin Jones Bantamweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R2	0:47	UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya	Mar 6, 2021
W	Miles Johns Bantamweight	KO/TKO	Flying Knee Head	R2	1:41	UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes	Feb 8, 2020
W	Jin Soo Son Bantamweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards	Jul 20, 2019
L	Cory Sandhagen Bantamweight	Submission	Armbar On Ground	R1	3:31	UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw	Jan 19, 2019

Outside the UFC

6-0across 6 bouts · 5 promotions · wins by 2 KO · 3 sub · 1 decLFA · Combate Americas · Smash Global 6 · TPF 32 · Iron Boy Promotions

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Juan Pablo Gonzalez14-5-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Combate Americas	Oct 13, 2018
W	A.J. Robb6-6	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R2	3:30	LFA	Jun 29, 2018
W	Raphael Montini de Lima6-6	KO/TKO	Doctor Stoppage	R2	5:00	LFA	Jan 19, 2018
W	DeMarcus Brown6-11	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	4:46	Smash Global 6	Sep 28, 2017
W	Devon Chavez0-2	Submission	Brabo Choke	R2	0:59	TPF 32	Aug 3, 2017
W	Jesse Orta0-7	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:28	Iron Boy Promotions	May 20, 2017

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

3-0across 3 amateur bouts · 2 promotionsGladiator Challenge · DFD

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Jon Arambula0-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	1:13	DFD	Aug 2, 2014
W	Oscar Word1-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	0:52	Gladiator Challenge	Dec 7, 2013
W	Roy Winder0-1	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	1:00	Gladiator Challenge	Mar 9, 2013

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

3 wins, 1 loss

W3

L1

Submission

7 wins, 1 loss

W7

L1

Decision

7 wins, 1 loss

W7

L1

Finishes

UFC KOs

1

Below avg · 10%Bantamweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.14

Below avg · 0.24Bantamweight

UFC submissions

4

Above avg · 8%Bantamweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.57

Above avg · 0.37Bantamweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Mario Bautista

PowerChin

Knockout rate

7%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

2

0.44 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

2

0.54 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Decision behavior

Judging

7 scorecards on file

Mario Bautista

Scorecard luck

Cards have leaned their way

Won 1 of 1 coin-flip decision — the kind of close calls that have tended to fall their way. Judges have given them 4 of 5 rounds they disagreed on (80%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

1–0

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

4–1

Won – Lost

80% went their way

Unanimous6 decisions · 86%

5W1L

Split1 decision · 14%

1W

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

1 round total

1

Won

0

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC54th

48%750 / 1,532

Striking accuracy

54%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+1.32 differential

Landed5.30

Absorbed3.98

55%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+2%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head61%85th455
Body27%89th205
Leg12%65th90

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

82%Standing

Standing82%613
Clinch13%94
Ground6%43

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Mario Bautista

Landed per 15

Head

A+

89th

48.3

89th

Body

A+

92nd

21.7

92nd

Leg

B

66th

9.5

66th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

D

34th

39.1

34th

Body

C

56th

9.9

56th

Leg

D

33rd

10.7

33rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	48.3	455	1,161	39%
Body	21.7	205	262	78%
Leg	9.5	90	109	83%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	39.1	369	1,001	37%
Body	9.9	93	133	70%
Leg	10.7	101	112	90%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Mario Bautista

38%

Takedown accuracy

56%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+0.9 min net

On top3.5

On bottom2.6

Offense

Takedowns

B

68th

1.9

68th

TD accuracy

C

54th

38%

54th

Sub attempts

A

74th

0.8

74th

Control

B

61st

3.5 min

61st

Defense

TD defense

D

40th

56%

40th

Controlled

2.6 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	18 / 47
Submission attempts	8
Control time	32:36

Defense

TDs defended	29 / 52
Control absorbed	24:08

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (141min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Mario Bautista

14 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 141 min

189%

R3 pace · 7 bouts

Bautista builds (+28% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Bautista lifts to 189% of round-1 output by round 3 (7 bouts).

Bautista ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Bautistalanded / min

Takedown attempts

Bautistaattempts / min

Control time

Bautista% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	5.2	3.6	3.2	0.20	23%	14
R2	8.4	6.2	5.1	0.47	21%	10
R3	9.5	7.3	4.0	0.40	25%	7

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Mario Bautista

14 resolved UFC bouts · 5 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

52/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

A

74th

46%

74th

Win quality

A+

93rd

63%

93rd

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

3

2

4

Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-5	3	1-2	33%
Top-15	3	3-0	100%
Established	2	2-0	100%
Building	2	2-0	100%
Unproven	4	3-1	75%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
W	Vinicius Oliveira#11	Top-15	67	Feb 7, 2026
L	Umar Nurmagomedov#2	Top-5	89	Oct 25, 2025
W	Patchy Mix	Unproven	8	Jun 7, 2025
W	Jose Aldo#10	Top-5	84	Oct 5, 2024
W	Ricky Simon#13	Top-15	67	Jan 13, 2024
W	Da'Mon Blackshear	Established	26	Aug 19, 2023
W	Guido Cannetti	Building	18	Mar 11, 2023
W	Benito Lopez	Building	18	Nov 5, 2022
W	Brian Kelleher#15	Top-15	60	Jun 25, 2022
W	Jay Perrin	Unproven	8	Feb 19, 2022
L	Trevin Jones	Unproven	8	Mar 6, 2021
W	Miles Johns	Established	22	Feb 8, 2020
W	Jin Soo Son	Unproven	8	Jul 20, 2019
L	Cory Sandhagen	Top-5	59	Jan 19, 2019

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

14 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

6-1

7 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

5-1

6 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

3-0

3 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

8-2

10 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

5 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Mario Bautista

Active

5 monthssince last bout

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 7-1As underdog 4-2

79.4

DK avg

93.3

Median

111.3

Ceiling

20.7

Floor

64%

Boom

14%

Bust

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