Matheus Nicolau Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	#14Asu Almabayev Flyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira	Oct 19, 2024
L	#8Alex Perez Flyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R2	2:16	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez	Apr 27, 2024
L	#4Brandon Royval Flyweight	KO/TKO	Knee to Head At Distance	R1	2:09	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	Apr 15, 2023
W	#7Matt Schnell Flyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R2	1:44	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	Dec 3, 2022
W	#10David Dvorak Flyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	Mar 26, 2022
W	#9Tim Elliott Flyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez	Oct 9, 2021
W	Manel Kape Flyweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad	Mar 13, 2021
L	#9Dustin Ortiz Flyweight	KO/TKO	Kick to Head At Distance	R1	3:49	UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2	Jul 28, 2018
W	#13Louis Smolka Flyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm	Dec 30, 2017
W	#6John Moraga Flyweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale	Jul 8, 2016
W	Bruno Korea Bantamweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke From Half Guard	R3	3:27	UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Henderson 3	Nov 7, 2015

Outside the UFC

12-1-1across 14 bouts · 11 promotions · wins by 4 KO · 4 sub · 4 decShooto · BC · Brave CF 25 · Future FC 5 · Brasil Fight 8 +6

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Felipe Efrain17-6	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Brave CF 25	Aug 30, 2019
W	Alan Gabriel13-11	Submission	Japanese Necktie	R1	1:18	Future FC 5	May 24, 2019
W	Derinaldo Guerra da Silva22-7	KO/TKO	Punch to the Body	R2	4:35	Shooto	Aug 24, 2014
W	Pedro Arruda6-6	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	2:49	Brasil Fight 8	Jun 6, 2014
W	Vanderlei Carvalho Leite7-5	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Shooto	Dec 20, 2013
L	Pedro Nobre22-9-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:11	BC	Dec 9, 2012
W	Denison Silva10-13	Decision	Unanimous	R2	5:00	BC	Dec 9, 2012
W	Larry Passos Vargas5-7-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	4:09	Brasil Fight 6	Sep 21, 2012
W	Gilberto Dias29-8-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Shooto	Jun 29, 2012
W	Michael Daboville6-7	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	0:00	Lions FC 2	Mar 10, 2012
W	Damien Pighiera6-6	Submission	Arm-Triangle Choke	R2	4:26	Lions FC	Oct 15, 2011
D	Larry Passos Vargas5-7-1	Draw	—	R3	5:00	Brasil Fight 5	Sep 3, 2011
W	Fernando Silva0-1	KO/TKO	Cut	R2	0:00	Brasil Fight 4	Apr 9, 2011
W	Pedro Alves Chalita5-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	1:35	PLEF	Aug 7, 2010

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

5 wins, 4 losses

W5

L4

Submission

5 wins, 0 losses

W5

L0

Decision

9 wins, 1 loss

W9

L1

Finishes

UFC KOs

1

Below avg · 9%Flyweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.73

Above avg · 0.22Flyweight

UFC submissions

1

Above avg · 8%Flyweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.64

Above avg · 0.48Flyweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Matheus Nicolau

PowerChin

Knockout rate

9%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

8

3.74 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

5

2.39 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

5 scorecards on file

Matheus Nicolau

Scorecard luck

Cards have leaned their way

Won 1 of 1 coin-flip decision — the kind of close calls that have tended to fall their way. Judges have given them 1 of 1 round they disagreed on (100%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

1–0

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

1–0

Won – Lost

100% went their way

Unanimous4 decisions · 80%

3W1L

Split1 decision · 20%

1W

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

4 rounds total

4

Won

0

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallB62nd

51%408 / 786

Striking accuracy

65%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.33 differential

Landed3.31

Absorbed2.98

78%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+16%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head52%46th214
Body34%83rd137
Leg14%54th57

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

87%Standing

Standing87%354
Clinch1%4
Ground12%50

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Matheus Nicolau

Landed per 15

Head

C

42nd

26.0

42nd

Body

A+

86th

16.7

86th

Leg

C

51st

6.9

51st

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

B

67th

25.4

67th

Body

B

62nd

9.5

62nd

Leg

D

30th

9.8

30th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	26.0	214	523	41%
Body	16.7	137	190	72%
Leg	6.9	57	73	78%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	25.4	209	836	25%
Body	9.5	78	139	56%
Leg	9.8	81	100	81%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Matheus Nicolau

43%

Takedown accuracy

90%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+1.0 min net

On top2.2

On bottom1.2

Offense

Takedowns

C

51st

1.2

51st

TD accuracy

B

65th

43%

65th

Sub attempts

B

65th

0.9

65th

Control

C

53rd

2.2 min

53rd

Defense

TD defense

A+

90th

90%

90th

Controlled

1.2 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	10 / 23
Submission attempts	7
Control time	17:53

Defense

TDs defended	19 / 21
Control absorbed	10:02

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (123min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Matheus Nicolau

11 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 123 min

117%

R3 pace · 7 bouts

Nicolau builds (+13% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Nicolau lifts to 117% of round-1 output by round 3 (7 bouts).

Nicolau ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Nicolaulanded / min

Takedown attempts

Nicolauattempts / min

Control time

Nicolau% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	3.6	2.7	2.4	0.12	13%	11
R2	5.2	4.4	4.1	0.15	10%	9
R3	4.8	3.0	2.6	0.33	22%	7

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Matheus Nicolau

11 resolved UFC bouts · 9 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

69/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

A+

93rd

72%

93rd

Win quality

A+

86th

55%

86th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

5

1

Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-5	5	3-2	60%
Top-15	5	3-2	60%
Unproven	1	1-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Asu Almabayev#14	Top-15	69	Oct 19, 2024
L	Alex Perez#8	Top-5	78	Apr 27, 2024
L	Brandon Royval#4	Top-5	87	Apr 15, 2023
W	Matt Schnell#7	Top-15	73	Dec 3, 2022
W	David Dvorak#10	Top-15	69	Mar 26, 2022
W	Tim Elliott#9	Top-5	75	Oct 9, 2021
W	Manel Kape	Top-5	59	Mar 13, 2021
L	Dustin Ortiz#9	Top-15	73	Jul 28, 2018
W	Louis Smolka#13	Top-15	68	Dec 30, 2017
W	John Moraga#6	Top-5	79	Jul 8, 2016
W	Bruno Korea	Unproven	8	Nov 7, 2015

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

11 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

1-2

3 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

5-2

7 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-2

3 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

5-2

7 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

1y 8mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Matheus Nicolau

Extended layoff

1y 8mosince last bout

vs Asu Almabayev · Oct 19, 2024

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 4-3As underdog 3-1

57.2

DK avg

57.8

Median

117.3

Ceiling

8.8

Floor

27%

Boom

36%

Bust

Pro

See Matheus Nicolau's DK score in every fight

The full fantasy-points log with closing lines — sortable, filterable, with a live summary — for all 11 UFC bouts.

Unlock with Pro →