Matt Lucas Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

L

Aaron Rosa

Light Heavyweight · Decision · Majority · R3 · 5:00

UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos · Nov 12, 2011

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Majority

UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos

Nov 12, 2011

Outside the UFC

15-2across 17 bouts · 14 promotions · wins by 8 KO · 2 sub · 5 decRITC · ShoFight 20 · RITC 142 · RITC 121 · ShoXC +9

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Lucas Overcast3-6	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	ShoFight 20	Jun 16, 2012
W	Shawn Frye5-7	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	0:42	RITC	May 21, 2011
W	Jojo Thompson8-7-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	RITC	Apr 16, 2011
W	Shawn Frye5-7	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:10	RITC	Oct 15, 2010
W	Roe Harris2-6	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:31	RITC	Sep 11, 2010
W	Jose Santa Maria1-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:40	RITC 142	Jun 26, 2010
L	Rich Hale23-7-1	Submission	Kimura	R2	2:03	RITC 121	Feb 6, 2009
L	Giva Santana18-3	Submission	Armbar	R1	4:47	ShoXC	Apr 5, 2008
W	Rich Beecroft3-6	Submission	Choke	R1	0:55	RITC 104	Feb 1, 2008
W	Jon Kirk19-14	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	EliteXC	Nov 10, 2007
W	Rich Hale23-7-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	RITC 100	Sep 15, 2007
W	Scott Hewit0-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	0:28	RITC 97	Jun 30, 2007
W	Jason Geris4-3	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:19	GC 62	Apr 14, 2007
W	Homer Moore26-9-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	1:26	RITC 89	Dec 2, 2006
W	Mike Ashford3-5	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	RITC 88	Nov 11, 2006
W	Mike Contreras0-1	KO/TKO	—	R1	0:00	RAW 2	Oct 22, 2006
W	Dan Jones0-7	KO/TKO	Submission to Punches	R1	1:19	RITC 87	Sep 29, 2006

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

8 wins, 0 losses

W8

L0

Submission

2 wins, 2 losses

W2

L2

Decision

5 wins, 1 loss

W5

L1

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Matt Lucas

PowerChin

Knockout rate

—

No UFC win on record

Knockdowns dealt

—

No UFC win on record

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.00 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikes · Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

1 scorecard on file

Matt Lucas

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

Won just 0 of 1 coin-flip decision — repeatedly on the wrong end of close calls. Judges have given them 0 of 2 rounds they disagreed on (0%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

0–1

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

0–2

Won – Lost

0% went their way

Unanimous

None

Split

None

Majority1 decision · 100%

1L

10-8 rounds

2 rounds total

0

Won

2

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallD33rd

48%19 / 39

Striking accuracy

40%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-2.66 differential

Landed1.27

Absorbed3.93

20%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-12%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Matt Lucas

Landed per 15

Head

F

23rd

19.0

23rd

Body

F

2nd

0.0

2nd

Leg

F

3rd

0.0

3rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

A

71st

25.0

71st

Body

F

0th

29.0

0th

Leg

A

73rd

5.0

73rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	19.0	19	39	49%
Body	0.0	0	0	—
Leg	0.0	0	0	—

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	25.0	25	63	40%
Body	29.0	29	31	94%
Leg	5.0	5	5	100%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Matt Lucas

10%

Takedown accuracy

—

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+5.9 min net

On top6.8

On bottom0.9

Offense

Takedowns

B

62nd

1.0

62nd

TD accuracy

F

19th

10%

19th

Sub attempts

B

64th

0.0

64th

Control

A

71st

6.8 min

71st

Defense

TD defense

—

Controlled

0.9 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	1 / 10
Submission attempts	0
Control time	6:50

Defense

TDs defended	0 / 0
Control absorbed	0:53

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (15min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Matt Lucas

1 UFC bout (per‑round) · 15 min

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Lucas hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

LucasOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Lucaslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Lucasattempts / min

Control time

Lucas% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	7.1	1.8	4.2	1.00	56%	1
R2	4.5	0.8	2.0	0.60	49%	1
R3	3.7	1.2	5.6	0.40	32%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Matt Lucas

1 resolved UFC bout

Schedule Score

28/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

F

0th

8%

0th

Win quality

C

58th

42%

58th

Limited UFC sample (1 bout). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Unproven	1	0-1	0%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

L
Aaron Rosa
Nov 12, 2011 · Light Heavyweight
8
quality

Pre-UFC opposition

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

143-98-5

.593 win rate

Winning-record opponents

7 of 17

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

17

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Aaron Rosa	Unproven	8	Nov 12, 2011

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

1 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

—

Long layoff

> 180 days

—

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

—

After a win

next bout after a win

—

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

14y 2mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Matt Lucas

Extended layoff

14y 2mosince last bout

vs Lucas Overcast · Jun 16, 2012

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs underdog 0-1

30.70

DK avg

30.70

Median

30.70

Ceiling

30.70

Floor

0%

Boom

0%

Bust

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