Sage Northcutt Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
W	Zak Ottow Welterweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head On Ground	R2	3:13	UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov	Jul 14, 2018
W	Thibault Gouti Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros	Feb 18, 2018
W	Michel Quinones Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis	Nov 11, 2017
L	Mickey Gall Welterweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	1:40	UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson	Dec 17, 2016
W	Enrique Marin Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 200: Tate vs. Nunes	Jul 9, 2016
L	Bryan Barberena Welterweight	Submission	Arm Triangle From Half Guard	R2	3:06	UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader	Jan 30, 2016
W	Cody Pfister Lightweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke On Ground	R2	0:41	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant	Dec 10, 2015
W	Francisco Trevino Lightweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head At Distance	R1	0:57	UFC 192: Cormier vs. Gustafsson	Oct 3, 2015

Outside the UFC

6-1across 7 bouts · 6 promotions · wins by 3 KO · 3 subONE · LFC 44 · LFC 42 · Fury FC 6 · LFC +1

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Ahmed Mujtaba9-5	Submission	Heel Hook	R1	0:39	ONE	May 5, 2023
L	Cosmo Alexandre8-1	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	0:29	ONE	May 17, 2019
W	Rocky Long21-40-1	Submission	Neck Crank	R2	3:30	LFC 44	Aug 28, 2015
W	Gage Duhon5-3	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	4:26	LFC 42	Jun 26, 2015
W	James Christopherson2-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	4:35	Fury FC 6	May 22, 2015
W	Jacob Capelli7-11	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:55	LFC	Apr 25, 2015
W	Tim Lashley0-8	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:27	LFC 37	Nov 14, 2014

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

5-1across 6 amateur bouts · 1 promotionUSACA

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Trent Parker5-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:54	USACA	Jul 12, 2014
W	Luis Lara0-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:02	USACA	Mar 29, 2014
W	Nico Echeverry15-9	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	USACA	Dec 14, 2013
W	Clarence Brown3-25	Submission	Armbar	R1	2:47	USACA	Aug 31, 2013
W	Dayron Vasquez2-3	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	2:31	USACA	Jun 8, 2013
L	Charles Sheppard2-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:45	USACA	Apr 6, 2013

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

5 wins, 1 loss

W5

L1

Submission

4 wins, 2 losses

W4

L2

Decision

3 wins, 0 losses

W3

L0

Finishes

UFC KOs

2

Above avg · 13%Welterweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.25

Above avg · 0.24Welterweight

UFC submissions

1

Above avg · 7%Welterweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.38

Below avg · 0.39Welterweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Sage Northcutt

PowerChin

Knockout rate

25%

2 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

2

1.16 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

2

2.30 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikesin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

3 scorecards on file

Sage Northcutt

Unanimous3 decisions · 100%

3W

Split

None

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallB68th

52%267 / 510

Striking accuracy

58%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+1.62 differential

Landed3.58

Absorbed1.96

50%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+10%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head65%64th173
Body19%61st52
Leg16%60th42

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

61%Standing

Standing61%162
Clinch19%51
Ground20%54

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Sage Northcutt

Landed per 15

Head

B

70th

34.8

70th

Body

B

64th

10.5

64th

Leg

B

60th

8.4

60th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

A

85th

17.5

85th

Body

A+

93rd

3.0

93rd

Leg

D

34th

8.8

34th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	34.8	173	390	44%
Body	10.5	52	70	74%
Leg	8.4	42	50	84%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	17.5	87	262	33%
Body	3.0	15	31	48%
Leg	8.8	44	63	70%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Sage Northcutt

35%

Takedown accuracy

42%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-3.2 min net

On top2.6

On bottom5.8

Offense

Takedowns

B

66th

1.8

66th

TD accuracy

C

47th

35%

47th

Sub attempts

B

66th

0.6

66th

Control

C

53rd

2.6 min

53rd

Defense

TD defense

D

28th

42%

28th

Controlled

5.8 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	9 / 26
Submission attempts	3
Control time	12:57

Defense

TDs defended	10 / 24
Control absorbed	28:59

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (75min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Sage Northcutt

8 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 75 min

118%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Northcutt builds (+15% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Northcutt lifts to 118% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Northcutt ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Northcuttlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Northcuttattempts / min

Control time

Northcutt% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	5.3	3.3	1.6	0.33	23%	8
R2	4.4	2.8	2.9	0.34	13%	7
R3	6.9	5.3	1.3	0.40	10%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Sage Northcutt

8 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

30/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

F

3rd

11%

3rd

Win quality

A

85th

53%

85th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

3

5

Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Building	3	1-2	33%
Unproven	5	5-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
W	Zak Ottow	Building	18	Jul 14, 2018
W	Thibault Gouti	Unproven	8	Feb 18, 2018
W	Michel Quinones	Unproven	8	Nov 11, 2017
L	Mickey Gall	Building	15	Dec 17, 2016
W	Enrique Marin	Unproven	8	Jul 9, 2016
L	Bryan Barberena	Building	15	Jan 30, 2016
W	Cody Pfister	Unproven	8	Dec 10, 2015
W	Francisco Trevino	Unproven	8	Oct 3, 2015

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

8 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

2-1

3 bouts

Typical camp

100–180 days

2-1

3 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

1-0

1 bout

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

2-0

2 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

3-2

5 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

3y 2mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Sage Northcutt

Extended layoff

3y 2mosince last bout

vs Ahmed Mujtaba · May 5, 2023

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 6-1As underdog 0-1

72.4

DK avg

78.5

Median

100.0

Ceiling

18.9

Floor

38%

Boom

25%

Bust

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