Tom Nolan Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
W	#14Fares Ziam Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim	Jun 6, 2026
W	Charlie Campbell Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	4:08	UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes	Sep 27, 2025
W	Viacheslav Borshchev Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2	Feb 8, 2025
W	Alex Reyes Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya	Aug 17, 2024
W	Victor Martinez Lightweight	KO/TKO	Knee to Body In Clinch	R1	3:50	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	May 18, 2024
L	Nikolas Motta Lightweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head On Ground	R1	1:03	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2	Jan 13, 2024

Outside the UFC

6-0across 6 bouts · 6 promotions · wins by 4 KO · 2 decDana White's Contender Series · Eternal MMA 74 · Eternal MMA 72 · Eternal MMA 67 · Eternal MMA 63 +1

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Bogdan Grad15-4	KO/TKO	punches	R1	1:23	Dana White's Contender Series	Aug 8, 2023
W	Aidan Aguilera10-8	KO/TKO	Knee and Punches	R1	2:22	Eternal MMA 74	Mar 18, 2023
W	Adam Cook7-3	KO/TKO	Punches and Knee	R2	3:58	Eternal MMA 72	Dec 2, 2022
W	Niam Stephen3-6	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:54	Eternal MMA 67	Jul 16, 2022
W	Trevor Sinclair0-3	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Eternal MMA 63	Nov 20, 2021
W	Sam Flint1-3	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	XFC 46	Dec 12, 2020

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

5-1, 1 NCacross 7 amateur bouts · 7 promotionsEternal MMA 42 · XFC 36 · XFC 34 · Eternal MMA 26 · XFC 30 +2

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Mitch Bayliss5-2	KO/TKO	Body Kick	R3	0:20	Eternal MMA 42	Mar 23, 2019
L	Aaren McConnell1-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	0:45	XFC 36	Jul 28, 2018
W	Brandon Stowers3-4	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	1:34	XFC 34	Apr 6, 2018
NC	Pati Lemai0-3	No Contest	Accidental Eye Poke	R1	—	Eternal MMA 26	Jul 8, 2017
W	Ruuben Suits0-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	XFC 30	May 20, 2017
W	Ryan Bishop3-6	Decision	Split	R3	3:00	Eternal MMA 24	Mar 11, 2017
W	Scott MacGregor0-1	Decision	Split	R3	3:00	Eternal MMA 22	Dec 3, 2016

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

5 wins, 1 loss

W5

L1

Submission

1 win, 0 losses

W1

L0

Decision

4 wins, 0 losses

W4

L0

Finishes

UFC KOs

1

Above avg · 11%Lightweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.00

Below avg · 0.21Lightweight

UFC submissions

1

Above avg · 6%Lightweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.83

Above avg · 0.44Lightweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Tom Nolan

PowerChin

Knockout rate

29%

2 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.00 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

2

2.15 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

3 scorecards on file

Tom Nolan

Scorecard luck

Even on close calls

No split or majority decisions on file — this read comes from contested rounds alone. Judges have given them 1 of 2 rounds they disagreed on (50%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

None on file

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

1–1

Won – Lost

50% went their way

Unanimous3 decisions · 100%

3W

Split

None

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC52nd

45%255 / 562

Striking accuracy

48%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+1.14 differential

Landed5.87

Absorbed4.73

60%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-7%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head50%65th128
Body32%85th81
Leg18%75th46

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

77%Standing

Standing77%197
Clinch16%42
Ground6%16

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Tom Nolan

Landed per 15

Head

A

70th

35.5

70th

Body

A+

96th

22.5

96th

Leg

A

83rd

12.8

83rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

B

61st

25.8

61st

Body

F

15th

16.7

15th

Leg

F

12th

14.4

12th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	35.5	128	366	35%
Body	22.5	81	133	61%
Leg	12.8	46	63	73%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	25.8	93	257	36%
Body	16.7	60	87	69%
Leg	14.4	52	54	96%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Tom Nolan

27%

Takedown accuracy

58%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-1.1 min net

On top2.7

On bottom3.8

Offense

Takedowns

C

54th

1.1

54th

TD accuracy

D

36th

27%

36th

Sub attempts

A

80th

1.4

80th

Control

C

53rd

2.7 min

53rd

Defense

TD defense

C

45th

58%

45th

Controlled

3.8 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	4 / 15
Submission attempts	5
Control time	9:46

Defense

TDs defended	7 / 12
Control absorbed	13:49

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (54min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Tom Nolan

6 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 54 min

80%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Nolan fades (-17% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Nolan drops to 80% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Nolan ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Nolanlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Nolanattempts / min

Control time

Nolan% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	7.0	5.6	4.2	0.25	17%	6
R2	6.5	4.7	4.7	0.27	25%	3
R3	4.9	3.4	2.2	0.33	13%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Tom Nolan

6 resolved UFC bouts · 1 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

39/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

F

24th

23%

24th

Win quality

A+

93rd

63%

93rd

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

2

3

Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-15	1	1-0	100%
Building	2	1-1	50%
Unproven	3	3-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
W	Fares Ziam#14	Top-15	62	Jun 6, 2026
W	Charlie Campbell	Building	15	Sep 27, 2025
W	Viacheslav Borshchev	Unproven	12	Feb 8, 2025
W	Alex Reyes	Unproven	8	Aug 17, 2024
W	Victor Martinez	Unproven	8	May 18, 2024
L	Nikolas Motta	Building	15	Jan 13, 2024

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

6 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

1-0

1 bout

Typical camp

100–180 days

2-0

2 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

2-0

2 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-0

1 bout

After a win

next bout after a win

4-0

4 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

5 weeks

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Tom Nolan

Active

5 weekssince last bout

vs Fares Ziam · Jun 6, 2026

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 3-1As underdog 2-0

72.8

DK avg

76.4

Median

104.9

Ceiling

68.3

Floor

33%

Boom

17%

Bust

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