MMA Index
Proprietary metrics · Upset Index

Upset Index

The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.

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Leaderboard

21 fighters · / 100
  1. 1
    Alejandro Perez
    Alejandro Perez
    4-1 as underdog · 80%
    59.0
  2. 2
    Bryan Caraway
    Bryan Caraway
    4-3 as underdog · 57%
    48.3
  3. 3
    Pedro Munhoz
    Pedro Munhoz
    5-5 as underdog · 50%
    45.1
  4. 4
    Russell Doane
    Russell Doane
    3-3 as underdog · 50%
    43.1
  5. 5
    Frankie Saenz
    Frankie Saenz
    3-3 as underdog · 50%
    43.1
  6. 6
    Guido Cannetti
    Guido Cannetti
    4-5 as underdog · 44%
    40.9
  7. 7
    Brian Kelleher
    Brian Kelleher
    3-4 as underdog · 43%
    39.2
  8. 8
    Raphael Assuncao
    Raphael Assuncao
    4-6 as underdog · 40%
    37.9
  9. 9
    John Dodson
    John Dodson
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  10. 10
    Alex Caceres
    Alex Caceres
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  11. 11
    Jose Quinonez
    Jose Quinonez
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  12. 12
    Yves Jabouin
    Yves Jabouin
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  13. 13
    Vaughan Lee
    Vaughan Lee
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  14. 14
    Andre Soukhamthath
    Andre Soukhamthath
    1-4 as underdog · 20%
    25.7
  15. 15
    Joe Soto
    Joe Soto
    1-4 as underdog · 20%
    25.7
  16. 16
    Johnny Eduardo
    Johnny Eduardo
    1-4 as underdog · 20%
    25.7
  17. 17
    Eddie Wineland
    Eddie Wineland
    2-8 as underdog · 20%
    23.7
  18. 18
    Takeya Mizugaki
    Takeya Mizugaki
    1-5 as underdog · 17%
    23.1
  19. 19
    Urijah Faber
    Urijah Faber
    1-6 as underdog · 14%
    21.0
  20. 20
    Brad Pickett
    Brad Pickett
    1-6 as underdog · 14%
    21.0
  21. 21
    Francisco Rivera
    Francisco Rivera
    0-5 as underdog · 0%
    14.6