Ce Liu vs Junior Tafa Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Ce Liu

edge

Junior Tafa

Striking

Not enough data

Effective offense—1.9

Defense—51%

KO power—7 KO

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed—0.0

Takedown accuracy——

Takedown defense—73%

Control time—0.2 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Not enough data

Submission attempts—0.0

Sub win rate

C

56th

0%

0 subs

Even

C

53rd

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

C

45th

0%

+21

F

24th

25%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Tafa ▸

Tafa finishes a higher share of wins — 100% (7/7) vs 100% (3/3).

Finish rate (of wins)

100% (3/3)

Even

100% (7/7)

By KO/TKO

3

7

By submission

0

Even

0

Avg finish round

R1.5 avg finish

R1.4 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

Even

Similar career tempo — fights reach a decision 0% (Liu) vs 8% (Tafa) of the time.

Goes the distance

0%

8%

Avg finish round

R1.5 avg finish

R1.4 avg finish

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Liu

Liu has the hotter form — 3 of the last 5, 1-fight win streak.

Last 5

3-1

2-3

Current streak

1-fight win streak

1-fight skid

See full Form →

Schedule

Tafa ▸

Tafa has faced stiffer competition — opponents average 69% win rate vs 46%.

Opponents avg win rate

46%

69%

Opponents with a record on file

4 of 4

13 of 13

See full Schedule →

Activity

Tafa ▸

Tafa has fought more often lately than Liu

Last bout

2mo

1mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

0

4

Bouts, last 24 mo

0

6

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Liu

Liu 5 cm

Ce LiuvsJunior Tafa

29

Age

Even

29

6'5"

196cm

Height

2"

taller

6'3"

191cm

—

Reach

—

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

LiuCe Liu

TafaJunior Tafa

—

As pick'em

0-20%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

LiuCe Liu

Stat

TafaJunior Tafa

—

KO / TKO

3

2

—

Submission

0

3

—

Decision

0

1

—

Avg fight time

6:18

Ce Liu’s splits

vs Tafa

vs Orthodox

0-0no data

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Junior Tafa’s splits

vs Liu

vs Orthodox

3-538%

vs Southpaw

0-10%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

2-433%

vs Shorter reach

0-10%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Ce LiuvsJunior Tafa

29

Age

Even

29

6'5"

196cm

Height

2"

taller

6'3"

191cm

—

Reach

—

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

59th

Even

B

67th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Liu’s offensevsTafa’s defense

Head

32.2

B

58th

30.6

Body

10.0

A

72nd

7.0

Leg

8.3

D

38th

9.6

Tafa’s offensevsLiu’s defense

Head

B

67th

37.8

36.4

Body

C

55th

9.6

10.4

Leg

D

31st

4.4

8.8

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Ce Liu	32.2	—	36.4	0
Head	Junior Tafa	above division average37.8	48%	above division average30.6	160
Body	Ce Liu	10.0	—	10.4	0
Body	Junior Tafa	above division average9.6	80%	top 28% of division7.0	35
Leg	Ce Liu	8.3	—	8.8	0
Leg	Junior Tafa	below division average4.4	100%	below division average9.6	5

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Ce Liu

Junior Tafa

Overall Grappling

Grappling

—

C

49th

Takedowns

—

C

42nd

0.0

Takedown accuracy

—

Takedown defense

—

B

65th

73%

32/44

Submission threat

—

C

57th

0.0

Control time

—

D

32nd

0.2 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Ce Liu	Junior Tafa
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	—0 / 0	—0 / 0
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	—0 / 0	73%32 / 44
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	0.2 min0:49
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	8.0 min30:14

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Ce Liu

—

Schedule Score

Junior Tafa

29

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

UFC debut

Octagon time

—

57 min

9 bouts

Schedule strength

—%

20%

Win quality

—%

36%

Ranked opponents

0

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Ce Liu, from opponents’ full pro records

Ce Liu

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

13-9

.591 win rate

Winning-record opponents

1 of 4

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

4

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Ce Liu	Junior Tafa
Top-15	—	0-2
Building	—	1-3
Unproven	—	2-1

Ce Liu — bouts

No resolved UFC bouts.

Junior Tafa — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Ce Liu

Junior Tafa

Liu — pre-UFC · last 4

recent → old

WWLF

KO R1

Barabanov

May ’26

LHAPPY

KO R2

Gnizditskiy

Oct ’24

WWLF

KO R2

Batjargal

Jun ’23

WWLF

KO R1

Yu

May ’23

Tafa — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

3-1

2-3

Current streak

W1

L1

Ranked opps

0 of 4

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

48 d

Even

34 d

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Ce Liu

Junior Tafa

Post-result bounce

SituationLiu Tafa

After a loss

—

3-260%

After a win

—

0-30%

Camp length

SituationLiu Tafa

Short turnaround< 100 days

—

2-167%

Typical camp100–180 days

—

1-150%

Long layoff> 180 days

—

0-30%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Ce Liu

Junior Tafa

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Liu3W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Tafa7W–5L by finish · 71% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

B

65th

100%

+10

A

74th

100%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

0%

8%

KO durability

↑17%·Tafa

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑17%·Tafa

F

23rd

25%

+38

B

61st

8%

Submission defense

↑25%·Liu

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑25%·Liu

B

59th

0%

+52

F

8th

25%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Ce Liu	Junior Tafa
Wins
by KO / TKO	3(100%)	7(100%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	0(0%)	0(0%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(100%)	1(20%)
by submission	0(0%)	3(60%)
by decision	0(0%)	1(20%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Ce Liu

vs

Junior Tafa

0%

0 KO/TKO in 0 bouts

Knockout rate

33%

3 KO/TKO in 9 bouts

0

—

Knockdowns dealt

2

1.3 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

—

Knockdowns absorbed

2

2.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Ce LiuFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Junior TafaFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Iwo Baraniewski4 weeks ago
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · Jun 6, 2026 · R1 · 1:25
Last time submitted
vs Billy Elekana5 months ago
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Jan 31, 2026 · R2 · 3:18

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Ce Liu

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Junior Tafa

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Neither fighter has reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Ce Liu	—	—	—	—	—	—
R1	Junior Tafa	3.6	3.6	3.2	0.00	2%	9
R2	Ce Liu	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Junior Tafa	4.1	4.1	2.3	0.00	2%	5
R3	Ce Liu	—	—	—	—	—	—
R3	Junior Tafa	1.6	1.6	0.4	0.00	0%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.

Activity & layoff

Activity and recency vs division peers.

Time since last UFC bout

Ce7 weeks

Junior5 weeks

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Ce Liu

Active

7 weekssince last bout

vs Igor Barabanov · May 23, 2026

Junior Tafa

Active

5 weekssince last bout

vs Iwo Baraniewski · Jun 6, 2026

Ce Liu vs Junior Tafa — Light Heavyweight at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song