Priscila Cachoeira vs Chelsea Chandler — Women's Bantamweight at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
- Weight class
- Women's Bantamweight
- Rounds
- 3 × 5 min
- Venue
- Meta Apex · Las Vegas, Nevada
Markets
- Cachoeira48%-103
- Chandler52%-120
Record when favored vs. an underdog, across the 9priced bouts in each fighter’s history.
Percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.
Career splits
13 bouts · vs Chandler
- KO/TKO4
- Submission0
- Decision1
- KO/TKO1
- Submission4
- Decision3
- Average9:03
- vs Orthodox3-6
- vs Southpaw2-2
- vs Switchno data
- vs Longer reach5-5
- vs Shorter reach0-2
5 bouts · vs Cachoeira
- KO/TKO1
- Submission0
- Decision1
- KO/TKO1
- Submission0
- Decision2
- Average10:21
- vs Orthodox1-3
- vs Southpaw1-0
- vs Switchno data
- vs Longer reachno data
- vs Shorter reachno data
Tale of the Tape
The biometric and experience deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.
When their fights end
every UFC finish on the fight clockFull method breakdown
| Outcome | Priscila Cachoeira | Chelsea Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 480% | 150% |
| by submission | 00% | 00% |
| by decision | 120% | 150% |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 113% | 133% |
| by submission | 450% | 00% |
| by decision | 338% | 267% |
| Pace | ||
| Avg finish time (own wins) | R1 3:35 | R1 4:15 |
| Finishes used in avg | 4 | 1 |
Counts come from the same denormalised win/loss-by-method columns the rest of the site uses. The percentile context on each row is computed against fighters currently assigned to this weight class with at least two resolved UFC bouts.
KO history
Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head — then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Josiane Nunes1y 2mo agoUFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025 · R1 · 2:46
- Last time KO'dvs Joselyne Edwards9 months agoUFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 9, 2025 · R1 · 2:24
- Last submission scoredNo submission wins in the UFC yet
- Last time submittedvs Jasmine Jasudavicius2y 4mo agoUFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024 · R3 · 4:21
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Julija Stoliarenko3y 7mo agoUFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 1, 2022 · R1 · 4:15
- Last time KO'dvs Joselyne Edwards1y 1mo agoUFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025 · R1 · 2:31
- Last submission scoredNo submission wins in the UFC yet
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
Common opponents
Every UFC opponent both fighters have faced — a direct comparison controlling for matchmaking.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Priscila Cachoeira | Chelsea Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Top-15 | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Cross-div ranked | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Building | 1-0 | — |
| Unproven | 0-3 | 1-0 |
- L vs Klaudia Sygula8Feb 7, 2026 · Unproven
- L vs Joselyne Edwards#1462Aug 9, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Josiane Nunes#1462Mar 15, 2025 · Top-15
- L vs Jasmine Jasudavicius45Jan 20, 2024 · Cross-div ranked
- L vs Miranda Maverick#1560Jul 29, 2023 · Top-15
- W vs Ariane da Silva18Aug 13, 2022 · Building
- W vs Ji Yeon Kim#1462Feb 26, 2022 · Top-15
- L vs Gillian Robertson#1265Dec 11, 2021 · Top-15
- W vs Gina Mazany45May 15, 2021 · Cross-div ranked
- W vs Shana Dobson#1560Feb 22, 2020 · Top-15
- L vs Luana Carolina8May 11, 2019 · Unproven
- L vs Molly McCann8Mar 16, 2019 · Unproven
- L vs Valentina Shevchenko45Feb 3, 2018 · Cross-div ranked
Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with quality wins (35%) and is Bayesian-shrunken toward the UFC median for small samples. Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, and falls back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Recent form
Last five UFC bouts, current trajectory, and the level of opposition faced going into this matchup.
Striking matchup
Where each fighter lands their strikes — and where each one gets hit — across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.
Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Priscila Cachoeira | 49.4top 18% of division | 39% | 90.4bottom of the division | 388 |
| Head | Chelsea Chandler | 37.1above division average | 39% | 33.6around division average | 128 |
| Body | Priscila Cachoeira | 11.0around division average | 71% | 15.9well below average | 86 |
| Body | Chelsea Chandler | 14.5above division average | 69% | 18.8bottom of the division | 50 |
| Leg | Priscila Cachoeira | 5.99below division average | 85% | 7.65around division average | 47 |
| Leg | Chelsea Chandler | 1.74bottom of the division | 86% | 14.2well below average | 6 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Wrestling output, ground threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.
Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Priscila Cachoeira | Chelsea Chandler | Career totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2 / 3 |
| Takedown accuracy | 40% | 60% | 2/5 · 3/5 |
| Takedown defense | 70% | 29% | stopped 32/46 · 2/7 |
| Submission attempts / 15 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 / 0 |
| Control time / 15 (min) | 0.3 min | 4.1 min | 2:33 · 14:18 |
| Time controlled BY opponent / 15 (min) | 5.4 min | 3.3 min | 42:20 · 11:32 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time.
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Cardio edge to Cachoeira: Cachoeira actually builds to 169% of round-1 work rate through round 3, while Chandler sustains 100% — a 69-point gap in late-round pace.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Priscila Cachoeira | 4.4 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 0.08 | 3% | 13 |
| R1 | Chelsea Chandler | 5.7 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 0.14 | 29% | 5 |
| R2 | Priscila Cachoeira | 3.7 | 3.7 | 7.4 | 0.00 | 0% | 8 |
| R2 | Chelsea Chandler | 4.3 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 0.07 | 34% | 3 |
| R3 | Priscila Cachoeira | 6.4 | 6.2 | 9.6 | 0.04 | 3% | 6 |
| R3 | Chelsea Chandler | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.07 | 20% | 3 |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace. See Methods for the full formula.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Chelsea has 9 months more layoff