Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Tai Tuivasa

edge

Robelis Despaigne

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange

Effective offense

B

68th

1.6

+12

C

56th

1.2

Defense

D

27th

42%

+27

C

54th

46%

KO power

A

13 KO

0.4 KD

Even

B

6 KO

0.3 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Wrestling stays neutral

Takedowns landed

F

15th

0.0

Even

F

15th

0.0

Takedown accuracy0%—

Takedown defense

C

43rd

59%

Even

D

37th

50%

Control time

C

45th

1.9 min

+34

F

10th

0.2 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Little submission threat either way

Submission attempts

F

24th

0.0

Even

F

24th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

64th

0%

0 subs

Even

B

64th

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

D

29th

13%

Even

D

37th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finishing threats

Finish rate

C

54th

88%

Even

C

47th

100%

KO durability

C

55th

17%

Even

B

61st

0%

Submission defense

F

22nd

17%

+12

D

34th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Tuivasa

Tuivasa pushes the higher work rate over the fight — Despaigne's pace builds while Tuivasa's fades

Work rate / min — full fight

3.8

2.2

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

3.8

2.2

Pace trend

-5%/rd

+21%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Despaigne ▸

Despaigne is in better recent form than Tuivasa

Win rate (career)

44%

33%

After a win

75%

0%

Last 5

0%

60%

Win streakL5W1

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Tuivasa

Tuivasa has faced the tougher schedule vs Despaigne

Schedule strength

58%

25%

Win quality

31%

Even

30%

Ranked opponents

12

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Tuivasa

Tuivasa has fought more often lately than Despaigne

Last bout

4mo

3mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

0

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

1

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Despaigne ▸

Despaigne 9" reach · Despaigne 13 cm · Tuivasa 5y younger · Open-stance matchup

Tai TuivasavsRobelis Despaigne

33

Age

5y

younger

38

6'2"

188cm

Height

5"

taller

6'7"

201cm

75"

191cm

Reach

9"

reach

84"

213cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

On the bubbleTai Tuivasa 84% cut risk · 7-fight skidRobelis Despaigne 52% cut risk · 2-fight skid

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Tai TuivasaRobelis Despaigne

Percentile

Striking/min3.372.11

Accuracy%48%59%

Defense%42%46%

Takedowns/150.00.0

TD defense%58%50%

Submissions/150.00.0

Career rate as a percentile within the heavyweight (305 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Robelis Despaigne, from opponents’ full pro records

Robelis Despaigne

Strong

Opponents' combined record

30-17

.638 win rate

Winning-record opponents

3 of 5

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

5

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Tai Tuivasa

Robelis Despaigne

18%

+425

MMA Index model

Unlock

82%

-575

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

TuivasaTai Tuivasa

DespaigneRobelis Despaigne

0-10%

As pick'em

—

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

TuivasaTai Tuivasa

Stat

DespaigneRobelis Despaigne

7

3

KO / TKO

1

0

3

Submission

0

1

4

Decision

0

2

8:06

Avg fight time

10:06

Tai Tuivasa’s splits

vs Despaigne

vs Southpaw

0-20%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

1-150%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Robelis Despaigne’s splits

vs Tuivasa

vs Orthodox

1-233%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Tai TuivasavsRobelis Despaigne

33

Age

5y

younger

38

6'2"

188cm

Height

5"

taller

6'7"

201cm

75"

191cm

Reach

9"

reach

84"

213cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

55th

Even

B

59th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Attacking

Tuivasa’s offensevsDespaigne’s defense

Where Tuivasa attacks (green = high volume) vs where Despaigne gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Tuivasa’s green zones meeting Despaigne’s red zones are the openings.

Tai TuivasaOffense

Head59%49th290
Body18%56th86
Leg23%77th115

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Robelis DespaigneDefense

Head68%47th52
Body9%58th7
Leg23%40th18

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Tuivasa — by position

71%Standing

Standing71%347
Clinch24%120
Ground5%24

Despaigne — absorbed by position

56%Ground

Standing44%34
Clinch0%0
Ground56%43

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Tuivasa’s offensevsDespaigne’s defense

Head

C

49th

30.5

Even

C

47th

31.7

Body

C

56th

8.9

Even

B

58th

7.1

Leg

A

77th

10.6

+37

D

40th

8.3

Despaigne’s offensevsTuivasa’s defense

Head

C

42nd

27.6

+20

F

22nd

45.4

Body

D

39th

6.2

+9

D

30th

11.7

Leg

B

61st

7.8

+21

D

40th

8.2

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Tai Tuivasa	around division average30.5	39%	well below average45.4	290
Head	Robelis Despaigne	below division average27.6	49%	around division average31.7	41
Body	Tai Tuivasa	above division average8.9	75%	below division average11.7	86
Body	Robelis Despaigne	below division average6.2	80%	above division average7.1	4
Leg	Tai Tuivasa	top 23% of division10.6	73%	below division average8.2	115
Leg	Robelis Despaigne	above division average7.8	100%	below division average8.3	19

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Tai Tuivasa

Robelis Despaigne

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

45th

Even

C

48th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

D

33rd

0.0

+16

C

50th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

0%

0/3

—

Takedown defense

C

43rd

59%

27/46

Even

D

37th

50%

6/12

Submission threat

C

53rd

0.0

Even

B

61st

0.0

Control time

C

49th

1.9 min

Even

C

45th

0.2 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Tai Tuivasa	Robelis Despaigne
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	0%0 / 3	—0 / 0
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	59%27 / 46	50%6 / 12
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.9 min18:07	0.2 min0:21
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.7 min35:43	9.3 min18:47

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Tai Tuivasa

48

Schedule Score

Robelis Despaigne

30

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

146 min

18 bouts

Octagon time

116 min

more

30 min

3 bouts

Schedule strength

58%

25%

Win quality

31%

Even

30%

Ranked opponents

12

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Tai Tuivasa	Robelis Despaigne
Top-5	2-5	0-1
Ranked 6–15	2-4	—
Building	2-0	—
Unproven	2-1	1-1

Tai Tuivasa — bouts

Robelis Despaigne — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Tai Tuivasa

Robelis Despaigne

Tuivasa — last 5

recent → old

Despaigne — last 5

recent → old

WMOST

KO R1

dos Santos

May ’26

WFURY

KO R1

Banks

Dec ’23

Last 5 record

0-5

3-2

Current streak

L5

W1

Ranked opps

4 of 5

0 of 5

Layoff

4 mo

Even

3 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Tai Tuivasa

Robelis Despaigne

Post-result bounce

SituationTuivasa Despaigne

After a loss

1-811%

0-10%

After a win

6-275%

0-10%

Camp length

SituationTuivasa Despaigne

Short turnaround< 100 days

2-250%

0-10%

Typical camp100–180 days

4-357%

0-10%

Long layoff> 180 days

1-517%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Tai Tuivasa

Robelis Despaigne

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Tuivasa13W–6L by finish · 85% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Despaigne6W–0L by finish · every finish in R1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑7%·Despaigne

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑7%·Despaigne

C

52nd

93%

Even

C

54th

100%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

21%

25%

KO durability

↑13%·Despaigne

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑13%·Despaigne

B

67th

13%

+13

A

80th

0%

Submission defense

↑13%·Despaigne

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑13%·Despaigne

D

39th

13%

+20

B

60th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Tai Tuivasa	Robelis Despaigne
Wins
by KO / TKO	13(93%)	6(100%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	1(7%)	0(0%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	3(30%)	0(0%)
by submission	3(30%)	0(0%)
by decision	4(40%)	2(100%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Tai Tuivasa

vs

Robelis Despaigne

39%

7 KO/TKO in 18 bouts

Knockout rate

33%

1 KO/TKO in 3 bouts

8

2.8 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

2.4 / 100 head

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

6

1.3 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Tai TuivasaFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Sergei Pavlovich3y 8mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 3, 2022 · R1 · 0:54
Last time submitted
vs Marcin Tybura2y 5mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024 · R1 · 4:08

Robelis DespaigneFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Tai Tuivasa

169%

R3 vs R1 · 6 bouts reaching R3

Robelis Despaigne

367%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Despaigne: Despaigne builds (+21% per round through round 3) while Tuivasa fades (-5% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Tuivasa lifts to 169% of round-1 output by round 3, Despaigne 367%.

Tuivasa ▼ FADES

Despaigne ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Tuivasa

Despaignelanded / min

Takedown attempts

Tuivasa

Despaigneattempts / min

Control time

Tuivasa

Despaigne% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Tai Tuivasa	4.3	3.5	3.9	0.04	17%	18
R1	Robelis Despaigne	1.3	1.3	1.4	0.00	0%	3
R2	Tai Tuivasa	3.2	3.1	5.6	0.00	3%	11
R2	Robelis Despaigne	3.0	2.9	3.7	0.00	3%	2
R3	Tai Tuivasa	3.9	3.4	4.9	0.00	14%	6
R3	Robelis Despaigne	2.2	2.2	2.6	0.00	0%	2

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.

Activity & layoff

Activity and recency vs division peers.

Time since last bout

Tai3 months

Robelis3 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Tai Tuivasa

Active

3 monthssince last bout

vs Louie Sutherland · May 2, 2026

Robelis Despaigne

Active

3 monthssince last bout

vs Junior dos Santos · May 16, 2026

Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne — Heavyweight at UFC 331: Van vs Pantoja