AJ Dobson Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	#15Edmen Shahbazyan Middleweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head On Ground	R1	4:33	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	Mar 23, 2024
W	Tafon Nchukwi Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	Aug 12, 2023
L	Armen Petrosyan Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev	Oct 22, 2022
L	Jacob Malkoun Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2	Feb 12, 2022

Outside the UFC

6-0, 1 NCacross 7 bouts · 7 promotions · wins by 3 KO · 2 sub · 1 decDana White's Contender Series · SHP 57 · Honor FC 6 · Alpha One Sports · KOTC +2

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Hashem Arkhagha6-1	Submission	rear-naked choke	R1	4:21	Dana White's Contender Series	Sep 21, 2021
W	Kailan Hill4-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:35	SHP 57	Nov 7, 2020
W	Wesley Golden11-29	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	0:24	Honor FC 6	Aug 18, 2018
W	Montrell James9-14	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Alpha One Sports	Dec 9, 2017
W	Willie Whitehead2-3	KO/TKO	Submission to Punches	R1	1:43	KOTC	Apr 15, 2017
NC	Seth Bass3-3	No Contest	Accidental Eye Poke	R1	0:43	DCS 33	Apr 1, 2017
W	Jarrel Miller4-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:00	RFO	Jun 25, 2016

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

6-1across 7 amateur bouts · 4 promotionsNAAFS · RFO · NFC 7 · Purgatory FS 7

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	John Gunther5-1	Submission	Armbar	R2	2:58	NAAFS	Dec 6, 2014
W	John Gunther5-1	KO/TKO	Retirement	R1	3:00	RFO	Aug 31, 2013
W	Joshua John Lasich5-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	NAAFS	Jun 1, 2013
W	Dustin Wolf4-1	Submission	Triangle Choke and Punches	R1	2:08	NAAFS	Mar 30, 2013
W	Nathan Davies1-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:12	NAAFS	Nov 10, 2012
W	Jonathan Burkley0-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:25	NFC 7	Jun 23, 2012
W	Mike Rehard0-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	Purgatory FS 7	May 12, 2012

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

3 wins, 1 loss

W3

L1

Submission

2 wins, 0 losses

W2

L0

Decision

2 wins, 2 losses

W2

L2

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

AJ Dobson

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.00 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

1

0.76 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

3 scorecards on file

AJ Dobson

Scorecard luck

Even on close calls

No split or majority decisions on file — this read comes from contested rounds alone. Judges have given them 1 of 2 rounds they disagreed on (50%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

None on file

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

1–1

Won – Lost

50% went their way

Unanimous3 decisions · 100%

1W2L

Split

None

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC50th

46%192 / 431

Striking accuracy

46%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-1.02 differential

Landed4.29

Absorbed5.31

56%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-8%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head55%61st105
Body15%59th29
Leg30%84th58

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

87%Standing

Standing87%167
Clinch9%18
Ground4%7

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

AJ Dobson

Landed per 15

Head

B

63rd

31.8

63rd

Body

C

54th

8.8

54th

Leg

A+

94th

17.6

94th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

25th

39.7

25th

Body

F

10th

17.6

10th

Leg

F

0th

26.9

0th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	31.8	105	326	32%
Body	8.8	29	40	73%
Leg	17.6	58	65	89%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	39.7	131	350	37%
Body	17.6	58	66	88%
Leg	26.9	89	100	89%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

AJ Dobson

83%

Takedown accuracy

65%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-0.9 min net

On top2.1

On bottom3.1

Offense

Takedowns

B

58th

1.5

58th

TD accuracy

83%

Sub attempts

C

47th

0.0

47th

Control

C

45th

2.1 min

45th

Defense

TD defense

C

51st

65%

51st

Controlled

3.1 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	5 / 6
Submission attempts	0
Control time	7:04

Defense

TDs defended	13 / 20
Control absorbed	10:06

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (50min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

AJ Dobson

4 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 50 min

53%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Dobson fades (-29% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Dobson drops to 53% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Dobson ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Dobsonlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Dobsonattempts / min

Control time

Dobson% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	6.3	5.4	5.6	0.15	11%	4
R2	4.1	3.5	6.1	0.13	5%	3
R3	3.6	2.3	5.1	0.07	27%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

AJ Dobson

4 resolved UFC bouts · 1 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

32/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

C

48th

31%

48th

Win quality

F

15th

27%

15th

Limited UFC sample (4 bouts). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-15	1	0-1	0%
Established	1	0-1	0%
Building	1	0-1	0%
Unproven	1	1-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

Pre-UFC opposition

Developmental

Opponents' combined record

33-53

.384 win rate

Winning-record opponents

2 of 6

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

6

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Edmen Shahbazyan#15	Top-15	67	Mar 23, 2024
W	Tafon Nchukwi	Unproven	12	Aug 12, 2023
L	Armen Petrosyan	Building	15	Oct 22, 2022
L	Jacob Malkoun	Established	22	Feb 12, 2022

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

4 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

—

Long layoff

> 180 days

1-2

3 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-1

2 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

0-1

1 bout

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

2y 3mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

AJ Dobson

Extended layoff

2y 3mosince last bout

vs Edmen Shahbazyan · Mar 23, 2024

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 0-1As underdog 1-2

40.3

DK avg

40.9

Median

81.2

Ceiling

14.3

Floor

25%

Boom

25%

Bust

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