Caio Machado Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

L

Brendson Ribeiro

Light Heavyweight · Decision · Split · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 2, 2024

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Split

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi

Nov 2, 2024

L

Don'Tale Mayes

Heavyweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez

Apr 27, 2024

L

Mick Parkin

Heavyweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig

Nov 18, 2023

Dana White's Contender Series

1-0across 1 bout · wins by 1 dec

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Kevin Szaflarski11-2	Decision	30–27, 30–27, 30–27	R3	5:00	Dana White's Contender Series	Aug 8, 2023

Dana White’s Contender Series — a UFC-adjacent proving ground, shown as its own tier. Excluded from Schedule Score and UFC-scoped metrics.

Outside the UFC

12-2-1across 15 bouts · 15 promotions · wins by 9 KO · 2 sub · 1 decUAE Warriors 69 · UAE Warriors 67 · Demolidor Fight MMA 24 · Kings Championship 1 · UAE Warriors 61 +10

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	Magomed Tuchalov5-0	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	1:59	UAE Warriors 69	Mar 28, 2026
W	Tom Breese20-8	KO/TKO	Punches and Elbows	R1	2:58	UAE Warriors 67	Jan 31, 2026
W	Tom Santos4-11	KO/TKO	Body Kick	R1	0:13	Demolidor Fight MMA 24	Dec 13, 2025
W	Caio Cesar6-5	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:13	Kings Championship 1	Aug 30, 2025
W	Kevin Oumar10-5	KO/TKO	Body Kick and Flying Knee	R1	1:48	UAE Warriors 61	Jul 23, 2025
W	Everton Vasconcelos9-6-2	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	2:02	Thunder Fight 49	May 25, 2025
W	Edison Lopes12-9	Submission	Armbar	R1	4:59	BFL 75	Dec 1, 2022
W	Lee Mein13-17	Submission	Armbar	R1	3:55	BFL 69	Oct 1, 2021
W	Christian Larsen8-3	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:48	BFL 67	Jun 4, 2021
W	Lee Mein13-17	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:27	BFL 66	Mar 19, 2021
W	Justin Doege3-2	Decision	Majority	R5	5:00	BFL 64	Nov 16, 2019
W	Dalton Duperreault0-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:28	BFL 60	Mar 16, 2019
L	Dustin Joynson7-2	Decision	Unanimous	R5	5:00	BFL 58	Nov 17, 2018
W	Jamie Smyth1-1-1	KO/TKO	Retirement	R1	5:00	BFL 54	Mar 17, 2018
D	Jamie Smyth1-1-1	Draw	Unanimous	R3	5:00	BFL 47	Feb 18, 2017

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

9 wins, 1 loss

W9

L1

Submission

2 wins, 0 losses

W2

L0

Decision

2 wins, 4 losses

W2

L4

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Caio Machado

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.00 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

1

1.00 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikes · Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

3 scorecards on file

Caio Machado

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

Won just 0 of 1 coin-flip decision — repeatedly on the wrong end of close calls. Judges have given them 0 of 1 round they disagreed on (0%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

0–1

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

0–1

Won – Lost

0% went their way

Unanimous2 decisions · 67%

2L

Split1 decision · 33%

1L

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallA75th

53%228 / 475

Striking accuracy

63%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+2.95 differential

Landed5.82

Absorbed2.87

73%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+16%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head43%58th98
Body36%91st82
Leg21%74th48

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

96%Standing

Standing96%219
Clinch3%7
Ground1%2

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Caio Machado

Landed per 15

Head

B

59th

32.7

59th

Body

A+

96th

27.3

96th

Leg

A+

88th

16.0

88th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

C

46th

33.3

46th

Body

D

35th

12.0

35th

Leg

B

62nd

6.3

62nd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	32.7	98	312	31%
Body	27.3	82	106	77%
Leg	16.0	48	57	84%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	33.3	100	324	31%
Body	12.0	36	57	63%
Leg	6.3	19	31	61%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Caio Machado

0%

Takedown accuracy

70%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-2.2 min net

On top0.1

On bottom2.3

Offense

Takedowns

C

46th

0.0

46th

TD accuracy

0%

Sub attempts

C

58th

0.0

58th

Control

D

36th

0.1 min

36th

Defense

TD defense

C

57th

70%

57th

Controlled

2.3 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	0 / 1
Submission attempts	0
Control time	0:22

Defense

TDs defended	7 / 10
Control absorbed	6:59

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (45min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Caio Machado

3 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 45 min

146%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Machado builds (+20% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Machado lifts to 146% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Machado ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Machadolanded / min

Takedown attempts

Machadoattempts / min

Control time

Machado% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.5	4.3	2.9	0.07	0%	3
R2	4.4	4.3	3.1	0.00	2%	3
R3	6.6	6.6	4.3	0.00	0%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Caio Machado

3 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

29/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

F

19th

20%

19th

Win quality

F

18th

29%

18th

Limited UFC sample (3 bouts). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

2

Ranked 6–15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Ranked 6–15	1	0-1	0%
Unproven	2	0-2	0%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

Pre-UFC opposition

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

112-88-4

.560 win rate

Winning-record opponents

9 of 15

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

15

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Brendson Ribeiro	Unproven	8	Nov 2, 2024
L	Don'Tale Mayes	Unproven	12	Apr 27, 2024
L	Mick Parkin	Ranked 6–15	45	Nov 18, 2023

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

3 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

0-1

1 bout

Long layoff

> 180 days

0-1

1 bout

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

0-2

2 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

—

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

4 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Caio Machado

Active

4 monthssince last bout

vs Magomed Tuchalov · Mar 28, 2026

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs favorite 0-2As underdog 0-1

32.70

DK avg

31.10

Median

36.40

Ceiling

30.60

Floor

0%

Boom

0%

Bust

Pro

Every Caio Machado fight: closing line, result, DK score

All 3 UFC bouts, sortable and filterable — what the market priced them at, how the fight ended, and the fantasy points it produced.

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