Julian Erosa Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Lerryan Douglas Featherweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head At Distance	R1	3:33	UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer	Mar 28, 2026
L	Melquizael Costa Featherweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales	May 17, 2025
W	#14Darren Elkins Featherweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head On Ground	R1	4:15	UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes	Apr 12, 2025
W	Christian Rodriguez Featherweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke From Guard	R1	4:49	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	Jul 13, 2024
W	Ricardo Ramos Featherweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke From Guard	R1	2:15	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	Mar 23, 2024
L	Fernando Padilla Featherweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head At Distance	R1	1:41	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon	Apr 29, 2023
L	#15Alex Caceres Featherweight	KO/TKO	Kick to Head At Distance	R1	3:04	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	Dec 17, 2022
W	#15Hakeem Dawodu Featherweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson	Sep 10, 2022
W	Steven Peterson Featherweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	Feb 5, 2022
W	Charles Jourdain Catch Weight	Submission	D'Arce Choke On Ground	R3	2:56	UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till	Sep 4, 2021
L	SeungWoo Choi Featherweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R1	1:37	UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige	Jun 19, 2021
W	Nate Landwehr Featherweight	KO/TKO	Flying Knee Head	R1	0:56	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis	Feb 20, 2021
W	Sean Woodson Catch Weight	Submission	D'Arce Choke On Ground	R3	2:44	UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker	Jun 27, 2020
L	Julio Arce Featherweight	KO/TKO	Kick to Head At Distance	R3	1:49	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee	May 18, 2019
L	Grant Dawson Featherweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos	Mar 9, 2019
L	Devonte Smith Lightweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head At Distance	R1	0:46	UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez	Nov 10, 2018
L	Teruto Ishihara Featherweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R2	0:34	UFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz	Mar 5, 2016
W	Marcin Wrzosek Lightweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale	Dec 11, 2015

Outside the UFC

22-4across 26 bouts · 11 promotions · wins by 10 KO · 10 sub · 2 decCS · KOTC · CageSport MMA · Dana White's Contender Series · CageSport 48 +6

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	A.J. Bryant12-7	Submission	Bulldog Choke	R1	4:43	CageSport MMA	Feb 22, 2020
W	Jamall Emmers22-8	KO/TKO	head kick and punches	R2	1:10	Dana White's Contender Series	Jun 26, 2018
W	Bryan Nuro10-8	Decision	Unanimous	R5	5:00	CageSport 48	Dec 16, 2017
W	Erick Sanchez13-9	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	4:32	GKO 11	Nov 4, 2017
L	Bobby McIntyre9-7	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:58	CS	Jul 15, 2017
W	Justin Harrington10-5	KO/TKO	Knees and Punches	R1	4:09	CS	Apr 22, 2017
W	Justin Harrington10-5	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	2:23	CS	Feb 25, 2017
L	Paddy Pimblett23-4	Decision	Unanimous	R5	5:00	Cage Warriors	Nov 12, 2016
W	Austin Springer12-4	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	3:15	Prime Fighting 8	Oct 8, 2016
W	Daniel Swain20-11-1	KO/TKO	Doctor Stoppage	R2	5:00	KOTC	May 19, 2016
W	Drew Brokenshire18-10	Submission	Brabo Choke	R3	4:35	SFL 37 / CageSport 34	Feb 21, 2015
W	Harrison Bevens8-4	KO/TKO	Knee	R2	2:10	SFL 36 / CageSport 33	Dec 13, 2014
W	Ryan Mulvihill14-7	Submission	Triangle Choke	R2	4:19	KOTC	May 22, 2014
W	Mike Joy11-8	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	2:28	CS	Feb 8, 2014
L	Lee Morrison19-9	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	CS	Jul 6, 2013
W	Jason Gybels3-4	Submission	Triangle Choke	R2	3:49	CS	Apr 27, 2013
L	Drew Brokenshire18-10	Decision	Unanimous	R5	5:00	CS	Dec 1, 2012
W	Jason Gybels3-4	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	4:36	CS	Sep 29, 2012
W	Ryan Mulvihill14-7	Submission	Armbar	R4	1:48	CS	Apr 28, 2012
W	Jerome Jones11-14	Submission	Armbar	R2	4:30	CS	Feb 25, 2012
W	Matt Coble10-9	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R3	3:31	CS	Dec 3, 2011
W	Ernesto Toscano1-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	CS	Oct 1, 2011
W	John Martinez3-13	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	3:24	LOTC	Jun 10, 2011
W	Ryan Mulvihill14-7	Submission	Brabo Choke	R2	1:23	CS	Apr 23, 2011
W	Omar Avelar9-12	Submission	Armbar	R2	2:32	CS	Feb 19, 2011
W	Angel Diaz4-5	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:16	CS	Oct 2, 2010

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

12 wins, 8 losses

W12

L8

Submission

14 wins, 0 losses

W14

L0

Decision

5 wins, 5 losses

W5

L5

Finishes

UFC KOs

2

Below avg · 11%Featherweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.06

Below avg · 0.23Featherweight

UFC submissions

4

Above avg · 7%Featherweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.39

Below avg · 0.40Featherweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Julian Erosa

PowerChin

Knockout rate

16%

3 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.18 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

7

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

10

1.56 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

4 scorecards on file

Julian Erosa

Scorecard luck

Cards have leaned their way

Won 1 of 1 coin-flip decision — the kind of close calls that have tended to fall their way. Judges have given them 2 of 4 rounds they disagreed on (50%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

1–0

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

2–2

Won – Lost

50% went their way

Unanimous3 decisions · 75%

1W2L

Split1 decision · 25%

1W

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

2 rounds total

0

Won

2

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC52nd

48%855 / 1,783

Striking accuracy

48%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-0.13 differential

Landed6.18

Absorbed6.31

55%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-4%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head66%91st566
Body24%90th208
Leg9%56th81

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

78%Standing

Standing78%664
Clinch16%139
Ground6%52

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Julian Erosa

Landed per 15

Head

A+

93rd

60.2

93rd

Body

A+

94th

22.1

94th

Leg

C

56th

8.6

56th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

3rd

68.4

3rd

Body

D

39th

12.2

39th

Leg

F

21st

12.8

21st

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	60.2	566	1,394	41%
Body	22.1	208	292	71%
Leg	8.6	81	97	84%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	68.4	643	1,431	45%
Body	12.2	115	153	75%
Leg	12.8	120	146	82%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Julian Erosa

45%

Takedown accuracy

62%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+0.2 min net

On top2.3

On bottom2.1

Offense

Takedowns

B

61st

1.8

61st

TD accuracy

B

61st

45%

61st

Sub attempts

B

69th

0.7

69th

Control

C

49th

2.3 min

49th

Defense

TD defense

C

55th

62%

55th

Controlled

2.1 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	17 / 38
Submission attempts	7
Control time	21:41

Defense

TDs defended	24 / 39
Control absorbed	19:27

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (141min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Julian Erosa

18 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 141 min

142%

R3 pace · 8 bouts

Erosa builds (+14% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Erosa lifts to 142% of round-1 output by round 3 (8 bouts).

Erosa ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Erosalanded / min

Takedown attempts

Erosaattempts / min

Control time

Erosa% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	6.5	5.5	5.4	0.18	10%	18
R2	8.3	7.0	7.2	0.22	16%	9
R3	8.6	6.0	6.7	0.52	25%	8

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Julian Erosa

18 resolved UFC bouts · 3 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

40/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

C

49th

32%

49th

Win quality

A

83rd

52%

83rd

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

4

3

5

Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Cross-div rankedRanked #1–#15 in another division at the time
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-15	4	2-2	50%
Cross-div ranked	1	0-1	0%
Contender-level	1	1-0	100%
Established	4	3-1	75%
Building	3	1-2	33%
Unproven	5	2-3	40%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Lerryan Douglas	Unproven	8	Mar 28, 2026
L	Melquizael Costa	Top-15	49	May 17, 2025
W	Darren Elkins#14	Top-15	67	Apr 12, 2025
W	Christian Rodriguez	Established	26	Jul 13, 2024
W	Ricardo Ramos	Established	30	Mar 23, 2024
L	Fernando Padilla	Building	15	Apr 29, 2023
L	Alex Caceres#15	Top-15	61	Dec 17, 2022
W	Hakeem Dawodu#15	Top-15	60	Sep 10, 2022
W	Steven Peterson	Unproven	12	Feb 5, 2022
W	Charles Jourdain	Contender-level	36	Sep 4, 2021
L	SeungWoo Choi	Unproven	12	Jun 19, 2021
W	Nate Landwehr	Building	15	Feb 20, 2021
W	Sean Woodson	Established	22	Jun 27, 2020
L	Julio Arce	Established	26	May 18, 2019
L	Grant Dawson	Cross-div ranked	32	Mar 9, 2019
L	Devonte Smith	Building	15	Nov 10, 2018
L	Teruto Ishihara	Unproven	8	Mar 5, 2016
W	Marcin Wrzosek	Unproven	8	Dec 11, 2015

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

18 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

1-4

5 bouts

Typical camp

100–180 days

2-3

5 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

5-2

7 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

3-5

8 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

5-4

9 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

3 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Julian Erosa

Active

3 monthssince last bout

vs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 28, 2026

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 2-3As underdog 7-6

60.0

DK avg

82.0

Median

111.0

Ceiling

6.0

Floor

50%

Boom

39%

Bust

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