Justin McCully Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

L

Mike Russow

Heavyweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC 102: Couture vs. Nogueira · Aug 29, 2009

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC 102: Couture vs. Nogueira

Aug 29, 2009

W

Eddie Sanchez

Heavyweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · Dec 10, 2008

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops

Dec 10, 2008

L

Gabriel Gonzaga

Heavyweight · Submission · Kimura From Mount · R1 · 1:57

UFC 86: Jackson vs. Griffin · Jul 5, 2008

Submission

R1 · 1:57

Kimura From Mount

UFC 86: Jackson vs. Griffin

Jul 5, 2008

W

Antoni Hardonk

Heavyweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs. Guillard · Apr 5, 2007

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs. Guillard

Apr 5, 2007

Outside the UFC

9-3-2across 14 bouts · 11 promotions · wins by 1 KO · 6 sub · 2 decPancrase · RFA 1 · Valor Fighting Championships · Extreme Wars 5 · Venom +6

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Justin Grizzard9-19	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:45	RFA 1	Dec 16, 2011
W	Ruben Villareal22-28-3	Submission	Front Choke	R1	3:48	Valor Fighting Championships	Oct 26, 2006
W	Derek Thornton4-11	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R1	2:20	Extreme Wars 5	Oct 6, 2006
W	Ed de Kruijf7-5-1	Submission	Armbar	R1	0:48	Venom	Sep 18, 2004
W	Dario Amorim4-3	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Jungle Fight 1	Sep 13, 2003
L	Ed de Kruijf7-5-1	Submission	Crucifix	R1	2:36	It's Showtime	Oct 22, 2000
W	Errol Maduro0-3	Submission	—	R0	0:00	UFO Europe	Nov 28, 1999
L	Mikhail Ilyukhin30-11-1	Submission	Achilles Lock	R1	4:48	Rings	Oct 28, 1999
W	Mario Neto13-5	Submission	Kneebar	R1	1:53	WVC 9	Sep 27, 1999
L	Evan Tanner32-8	Submission	Kimura	R1	5:07	Pancrase	Jul 26, 1998
W	Daisuke Ishii16-17-3	Decision	Unanimous	R2	3:00	Pancrase	Jul 7, 1998
W	Martin Emmen0-1	Submission	Armbar	R1	1:34	Pancrase	Jul 7, 1998
D	Daisuke Ishii16-17-3	Draw	Unanimous	R2	3:00	Pancrase	Mar 18, 1998
D	Kenji Akiyama0-4-2	Draw	—	R5	3:00	Daidojuku	Mar 11, 1997

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

1 win, 0 losses

W1

L0

Submission

6 wins, 4 losses

W6

L4

Decision

4 wins, 1 loss

W4

L1

Finishes

UFC KOs

0

Below avg · 19%Heavyweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.25

Above avg · 0.24Heavyweight

UFC submissions

0

Below avg · 8%Heavyweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.00

Below avg · 0.25Heavyweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Justin McCully

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

1.75 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

1

1.79 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikesin the UFC

Career striking

OverallC45th

37%74 / 195

Striking accuracy

46%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-0.44 differential

Landed1.58

Absorbed2.02

45%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-17%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head77%38th57
Body5%31st4
Leg18%50th13

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

45%Standing

Standing45%33
Clinch31%23
Ground24%18

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Justin McCully

Landed per 15

Head

F

22nd

18.2

22nd

Body

F

5th

1.3

5th

Leg

C

43rd

4.2

43rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

A

84th

17.9

84th

Body

D

41st

9.9

41st

Leg

A

85th

2.6

85th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	18.2	57	163	35%
Body	1.3	4	7	57%
Leg	4.2	13	25	52%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	17.9	56	137	41%
Body	9.9	31	34	91%
Leg	2.6	8	8	100%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Justin McCully

44%

Takedown accuracy

44%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+1.8 min net

On top6.6

On bottom4.8

Offense

Takedowns

B

63rd

1.3

63rd

TD accuracy

B

60th

44%

60th

Sub attempts

B

59th

0.0

59th

Control

A

78th

6.6 min

78th

Defense

TD defense

D

31st

44%

31st

Controlled

4.8 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	4 / 9
Submission attempts	0
Control time	20:33

Defense

TDs defended	7 / 16
Control absorbed	14:55

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (47min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Justin McCully

4 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 47 min

89%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

McCully holds steady (-1% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, McCully keeps 89% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

McCully — HOLDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

McCullylanded / min

Takedown attempts

McCullyattempts / min

Control time

McCully% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.1	1.5	2.7	0.24	47%	4
R2	3.7	1.6	1.7	0.13	42%	3
R3	3.9	1.7	1.7	0.20	42%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Justin McCully

4 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

32/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

D

27th

24%

27th

Win quality

C

54th

41%

54th

Limited UFC sample (4 bouts). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

3

Ranked 6–15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Ranked 6–15	1	0-1	0%
Building	3	2-1	67%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

Pre-UFC opposition

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

160-137-14

.539 win rate

Winning-record opponents

6 of 14

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

14

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Mike Russow	Building	15	Aug 29, 2009
W	Eddie Sanchez	Building	18	Dec 10, 2008
L	Gabriel Gonzaga	Ranked 6–15	50	Jul 5, 2008
W	Antoni Hardonk	Building	15	Apr 5, 2007

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

4 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

1-0

1 bout

Long layoff

> 180 days

0-2

2 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-0

1 bout

After a win

next bout after a win

0-2

2 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

14y 8mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Justin McCully

Extended layoff

14y 8mosince last bout

vs Justin Grizzard · Dec 16, 2011

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs underdog 1-2

48.20

DK avg

87.60

Median

89.50

Ceiling

0.80

Floor

50%

Boom

50%

Bust

Pro

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