Lucas Brennan Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Francis Marshall Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal	Apr 25, 2026

Outside the UFC

11-2across 13 bouts · 5 promotions · wins by 2 KO · 8 sub · 1 decBellator · XKO · XKO 70 · Fury FC 99 · PFL

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Joshua Weems17-8	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	4:40	XKO	Oct 10, 2025
W	Austin Coleman6-8	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	1:48	XKO 70	May 23, 2025
L	Mauricio Gomez6-2	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	Fury FC 99	Dec 15, 2024
L	Dimitre Ivy13-9	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	PFL	Apr 4, 2024
W	Weber Almeida7-2	KO/TKO	Knee	R3	3:32	Bellator	Aug 11, 2023
W	Josh San Diego9-5	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:14	Bellator	Mar 31, 2023
W	Johnny Soto4-3	Submission	Neck Crank	R1	3:34	Bellator	Jun 24, 2022
W	Ben Lugo5-7	Submission	Arm-Triangle Choke	R1	2:27	Bellator	Jan 29, 2022
W	Matt Skibicki4-5	Submission	Anaconda Choke	R1	1:54	Bellator	Jun 11, 2021
W	Andrew Salas6-6	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Bellator	Nov 12, 2020
W	Will Smith4-6	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	4:14	Bellator	Aug 21, 2020
W	Jacob Landin0-3	Submission	Forearm Choke	R1	3:36	Bellator	Nov 8, 2019
W	Thomas Lopez1-5	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:02	Bellator	Jul 12, 2019

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

3-0across 3 amateur bouts · 3 promotionsTuff-N-Uff · LFA · XKO

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Isaac Villegas2-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	2:00	Tuff-N-Uff	Jun 7, 2019
W	Diara Culpepper3-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	LFA	May 25, 2018
W	Christopher Williams1-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R3	1:17	XKO	Aug 12, 2017

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

2 wins, 0 losses

W2

L0

Submission

8 wins, 0 losses

W8

L0

Decision

1 win, 3 losses

W1

L3

Finishes

UFC KOs

0

Below avg · 11%Lightweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.00

Below avg · 0.21Lightweight

UFC submissions

0

Below avg · 6%Lightweight

Submission attempts / fight

1.00

Above avg · 0.44Lightweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Lucas Brennan

PowerChin

Knockout rate

—

No UFC win on record

Knockdowns dealt

—

No UFC win on record

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.00 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikes · Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

1 scorecard on file

Lucas Brennan

Unanimous1 decision · 100%

1L

Split

None

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallD39th

25%9 / 36

Striking accuracy

52%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-1.60 differential

Landed0.60

Absorbed2.20

43%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-23%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Lucas Brennan

Landed per 15

Head

F

2nd

4.0

2nd

Body

F

7th

2.0

7th

Leg

F

19th

3.0

19th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

B

61st

26.0

61st

Body

A+

92nd

3.0

92nd

Leg

A

77th

4.0

77th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	4.0	4	23	17%
Body	2.0	2	10	20%
Leg	3.0	3	3	100%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	26.0	26	59	44%
Body	3.0	3	6	50%
Leg	4.0	4	4	100%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Lucas Brennan

0%

Takedown accuracy

33%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-5.8 min net

On top0.8

On bottom6.6

Offense

Takedowns

C

52nd

0.0

52nd

TD accuracy

0%

Sub attempts

B

70th

1.0

70th

Control

C

46th

0.8 min

46th

Defense

TD defense

33%

Controlled

6.6 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	0 / 6
Submission attempts	1
Control time	0:47

Defense

TDs defended	1 / 3
Control absorbed	6:36

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (15min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Lucas Brennan

1 UFC bout (per‑round) · 15 min

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Brennan hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

BrennanOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Brennanlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Brennanattempts / min

Control time

Brennan% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	1.8	0.4	1.8	0.40	4%	1
R2	1.3	0.2	1.6	0.20	11%	1
R3	3.0	1.2	3.2	0.60	0%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Lucas Brennan

1 resolved UFC bout

Schedule Score

28/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

F

15th

18%

15th

Win quality

D

27th

32%

27th

Limited UFC sample (1 bout). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Building	1	0-1	0%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

L
Francis Marshall
Apr 25, 2026 · Lightweight
18
quality

Pre-UFC opposition

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

82-69

.543 win rate

Winning-record opponents

6 of 13

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

13

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Francis Marshall	Building	18	Apr 25, 2026

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

1 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

—

Long layoff

> 180 days

—

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

—

After a win

next bout after a win

—

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

2 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Lucas Brennan

Active

2 monthssince last bout

vs Francis Marshall · Apr 25, 2026

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs underdog 0-1

7.2

DK avg

7.2

Median

7.2

Ceiling

7.2

Floor

0%

Boom

100%

Bust

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