Francis Marshall Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

W

Lucas Brennan

Lightweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Apr 25, 2026

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

Apr 25, 2026

W

Erik Silva

Featherweight · Submission · Rear Naked Choke · R1 · 2:29

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026

Submission

R1 · 2:29

Rear Naked Choke

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh

Feb 28, 2026

L

Mairon Santos

Featherweight · Decision · Split · R3 · 5:00

UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Split

UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Mar 8, 2025

W

Dennis Buzukja

Lightweight · Decision · Split · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Split

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho

Aug 24, 2024

L

Isaac Dulgarian

Featherweight · KO/TKO · Elbows to Head From Mount · R1 · 4:48

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023

KO/TKO

R1 · 4:48

Elbows to Head From Mount

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos

Aug 12, 2023

L

William Gomis

Featherweight · Decision · Split · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Split

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes

Apr 22, 2023

W

Marcelo Rojo

Featherweight · KO/TKO · Punch to Head At Distance · R2 · 1:14

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 3, 2022

KO/TKO

R2 · 1:14

Punch to Head At Distance

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland

Dec 3, 2022

Dana White's Contender Series

1-0across 1 bout · wins by 1 dec

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Connor Matthews7-4	Decision	30–27, 30–27, 30–26	R3	5:00	Dana White's Contender Series	Aug 2, 2022

Dana White’s Contender Series — a UFC-adjacent proving ground, shown as its own tier. Excluded from Schedule Score and UFC-scoped metrics.

Outside the UFC

5-0across 5 bouts · 3 promotions · wins by 4 sub · 1 decGCMMA · ROC 75 · Maverick MMA 15

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Mike Lawrence7-7	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R3	3:26	ROC 75	Feb 18, 2022
W	Rey Trujillo28-43	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	GCMMA	Aug 14, 2021
W	Mike Taylor2-4	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:10	GCMMA	May 15, 2021
W	Jude McNicol0-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:38	GCMMA	Mar 20, 2021
W	Keith Forant4-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R3	4:57	Maverick MMA 15	Nov 9, 2019

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

4-0across 4 amateur bouts · 3 promotionsDSMMA · Bayou FC 40 · Bayou FC 38

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Damon Vincent4-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:24	Bayou FC 40	Aug 24, 2019
W	Nakia Brown5-4	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	2:33	Bayou FC 38	Jun 15, 2019
W	Bryant Pabon0-4	Decision	Majority	R3	3:00	DSMMA	Jun 30, 2018
W	Chris Gholi2-1	KO/TKO	Punch	R3	0:34	DSMMA	May 5, 2018

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

1 win, 1 loss

W1

L1

Submission

5 wins, 0 losses

W5

L0

Decision

4 wins, 2 losses

W4

L2

Finishes

UFC KOs

1

Above avg · 10%Lightweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.29

Above avg · 0.21Lightweight

UFC submissions

1

Above avg · 6%Lightweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.43

Below avg · 0.44Lightweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Francis Marshall

PowerChin

Knockout rate

13%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

2

1.42 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.00 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

4 scorecards on file

Francis Marshall

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

Won just 1 of 3 coin-flip decisions — repeatedly on the wrong end of close calls. Judges have given them 1 of 5 rounds they disagreed on (20%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

1–2

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

1–4

Won – Lost

20% went their way

Unanimous1 decision · 25%

1W

Split3 decisions · 75%

1W2L

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC44th

34%172 / 587

Striking accuracy

55%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-0.26 differential

Landed3.19

Absorbed3.45

72%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-11%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head82%52nd141
Body7%24th12
Leg11%39th19

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

89%Standing

Standing89%153
Clinch5%9
Ground6%10

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Francis Marshall

Landed per 15

Head

C

52nd

28.8

52nd

Body

F

8th

2.4

8th

Leg

D

29th

3.9

29th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

C

56th

28.4

56th

Body

C

57th

8.8

57th

Leg

D

31st

10.0

31st

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	28.8	141	547	26%
Body	2.4	12	21	57%
Leg	3.9	19	19	100%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	28.4	139	351	40%
Body	8.8	43	90	48%
Leg	10.0	49	57	86%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Francis Marshall

42%

Takedown accuracy

89%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+3.7 min net

On top4.8

On bottom1.1

Offense

Takedowns

B

67th

2.0

67th

TD accuracy

B

62nd

42%

62nd

Sub attempts

B

63rd

0.6

63rd

Control

A

74th

4.8 min

74th

Defense

TD defense

A

80th

89%

80th

Controlled

1.1 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	10 / 24
Submission attempts	3
Control time	23:26

Defense

TDs defended	8 / 9
Control absorbed	5:32

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (74min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Francis Marshall

7 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 74 min

116%

R3 pace · 4 bouts

Marshall builds (+10% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Marshall lifts to 116% of round-1 output by round 3 (4 bouts).

Marshall ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Marshalllanded / min

Takedown attempts

Marshallattempts / min

Control time

Marshall% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.3	1.6	2.8	0.34	42%	7
R2	4.3	2.7	3.5	0.19	27%	5
R3	5.3	3.1	3.4	0.45	20%	4

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Francis Marshall

7 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

28/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

F

3rd

11%

3rd

Win quality

A

71st

47%

71st

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

2

4

Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Established	1	0-1	0%
Building	2	0-2	0%
Unproven	4	4-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
W	Lucas Brennan	Unproven	8	Apr 25, 2026
W	Erik Silva	Unproven	8	Feb 28, 2026
L	Mairon Santos	Building	15	Mar 8, 2025
W	Dennis Buzukja	Unproven	8	Aug 24, 2024
L	Isaac Dulgarian	Building	15	Aug 12, 2023
L	William Gomis	Established	22	Apr 22, 2023
W	Marcelo Rojo	Unproven	8	Dec 3, 2022

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

7 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

1-0

1 bout

Typical camp

100–180 days

0-2

2 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

2-1

3 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

2-1

3 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

1-2

3 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

4 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Francis Marshall

Active

4 monthssince last bout

vs Lucas Brennan · Apr 25, 2026

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs favorite 4-2As underdog 0-1

60.70

DK avg

70.50

Median

100.40

Ceiling

27.80

Floor

43%

Boom

14%

Bust

Pro

Every Francis Marshall fight: closing line, result, DK score

All 7 UFC bouts, sortable and filterable — what the market priced them at, how the fight ended, and the fantasy points it produced.

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