Rafael Alves Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

L

Nurullo Aliev

Lightweight · Decision · Majority · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Majority

UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen

Feb 25, 2023

L

#13Drew Dober

Lightweight · KO/TKO · Punch to Body At Distance · R3 · 1:30

UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022

KO/TKO

R3 · 1:30

Punch to Body At Distance

UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2

Jul 30, 2022

W

Marc Diakiese

Lightweight · Submission · Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard · R1 · 1:48

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021

Submission

R1 · 1:48

Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez

Nov 13, 2021

L

Damir Ismagulov

Lightweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt

May 22, 2021

Dana White's Contender Series

1-0across 1 bout · wins by 1 sub

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Alejandro Flores24-4	Submission	guillotine choke	R2	2:55	Dana White's Contender Series	Aug 25, 2020

Dana White’s Contender Series — a UFC-adjacent proving ground, shown as its own tier. Excluded from Schedule Score and UFC-scoped metrics.

Outside the UFC

20-9across 29 bouts · 26 promotions · wins by 7 KO · 8 sub · 5 decFight Time Promotions · Lenox FC · GFC 10 · PF 32 · Titan FC 54 +21

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Anthony Njokuani18-16	Submission	Inverted Hammerlock	R1	0:31	GFC 10	May 1, 2026
W	Marcos Vinicius15-7	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:25	PF 32	Oct 14, 2023
W	Felipe Douglas25-7	KO/TKO	Punch	R2	2:18	Titan FC 54	Apr 26, 2019
W	Beibit Nazarov15-4	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R3	4:30	Titan FC 50	Jun 29, 2018
W	Guilherme Miranda18-9	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Titan FC 49	Apr 6, 2018
W	Rudy Morales6-7	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Combate Americas	Jul 27, 2017
L	Jason Fischer14-4	KO/TKO	Injury	R2	0:50	WXC 65	Oct 21, 2016
L	Vagner Rocha14-4	KO/TKO	Leg Kicks	R3	2:36	Fight Time Promotions	Aug 12, 2016
W	Yoislandy Izquierdo13-5	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	2:49	Fight Time Promotions	Apr 22, 2016
L	Alexandre Pimentel16-2	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R2	2:54	Fight Time Promotions	Sep 18, 2015
W	Frank Carrillo10-7	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	Fight Time 25	May 29, 2015
W	Samuel Paiva6-3-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	0:32	Jungle Fight 75	Dec 18, 2014
W	Carlos Augusto22-9	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Coalizao Fight 4	Nov 13, 2014
L	Bruno Tavares14-9-1	Submission	Armbar	R3	—	Jungle Fight 68	Apr 5, 2014
W	Breno do Amaral Moura7-10-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	1:43	Jungle Fight 63	Dec 21, 2013
L	Tiago dos Santos e Silva22-9-1	KO/TKO	Retirement	R2	0:00	Jungle Fight 45	Nov 15, 2012
L	Jamil Silveira da Conceicao44-20-1	Submission	Kimura	R3	0:00	BKF 2	Nov 1, 2012
W	Renan Carlos dos Santos Silva9-11	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:50	Jungle Fight 40	Jun 15, 2012
L	Neilson Gomes22-7	Submission	Arm-Triangle Choke	R1	3:30	Jungle Fight 39	May 12, 2012
W	Claudio Araujo Neves4-10	KO/TKO	Front Kick	R1	4:19	IVT	Apr 14, 2012
L	Paulo Robinson16-7	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R1	2:00	AF	Mar 22, 2012
L	Reginaldo Ferreira Alves10-3	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:55	Lenox FC	Aug 6, 2011
W	Claudio Ferraz0-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:44	Zero 2 Fight	May 5, 2011
W	Joelson Guerra1-5	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	Lenox FC	Apr 8, 2011
W	Iranildo Conceicao0-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:12	JF	Jan 9, 2011
W	Arielson Silva0-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:06	IRY	Dec 18, 2010
W	Giliarde Cardoso0-1	KO/TKO	Head Kick	R1	2:11	GFC	Dec 5, 2010
W	Jose Vagno Soares18-12	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	2:26	PFN	Oct 9, 2010
W	Juliano Shanghai1-2	Submission	—	R2	1:23	BF	Sep 13, 2007

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

7 wins, 4 losses

W7

L4

Submission

10 wins, 6 losses

W10

L6

Decision

5 wins, 2 losses

W5

L2

Finishes

UFC KOs

0

Below avg · 10%Lightweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.25

Above avg · 0.21Lightweight

UFC submissions

1

Above avg · 6%Lightweight

Submission attempts / fight

1.00

Above avg · 0.44Lightweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Rafael Alves

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

2.04 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

1

1.15 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

2 scorecards on file

Rafael Alves

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

Won just 0 of 1 coin-flip decision — repeatedly on the wrong end of close calls. Judges have given them 1 of 1 round they disagreed on (100%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

0–1

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

1–0

Won – Lost

100% went their way

Unanimous1 decision · 50%

1L

Split

None

Majority1 decision · 50%

1L

10-8 rounds

1 round total

1

Won

0

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC47th

48%79 / 159

Striking accuracy

58%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-1.45 differential

Landed1.85

Absorbed3.30

51%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+6%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head62%37th49
Body22%44th17
Leg16%46th13

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

90%Standing

Standing90%71
Clinch4%3
Ground6%5

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Rafael Alves

Landed per 15

Head

F

21st

17.0

21st

Body

D

27th

5.9

27th

Leg

D

33rd

4.5

33rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

C

53rd

30.1

53rd

Body

D

28th

12.8

28th

Leg

B

68th

5.5

68th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	17.0	49	124	40%
Body	5.9	17	19	89%
Leg	4.5	13	16	81%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	30.1	87	261	33%
Body	12.8	37	52	71%
Leg	5.5	16	22	73%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Rafael Alves

25%

Takedown accuracy

38%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-5.1 min net

On top1.4

On bottom6.5

Offense

Takedowns

C

43rd

0.3

43rd

TD accuracy

25%

Sub attempts

A

79th

1.4

79th

Control

D

41st

1.4 min

41st

Defense

TD defense

D

28th

38%

28th

Controlled

6.5 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	1 / 4
Submission attempts	4
Control time	3:55

Defense

TDs defended	3 / 8
Control absorbed	18:41

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (43min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Rafael Alves

4 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 43 min

146%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Alves builds (+15% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Alves lifts to 146% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Alves ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Alveslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Alvesattempts / min

Control time

Alves% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	2.1	1.4	1.8	0.06	14%	4
R2	2.5	2.1	4.5	0.13	0%	3
R3	2.9	2.1	3.7	0.09	13%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Rafael Alves

4 resolved UFC bouts · 1 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

34/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

B

63rd

38%

63rd

Win quality

F

13th

26%

13th

Limited UFC sample (4 bouts). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

2

1

Ranked 6–15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Ranked 6–15	2	0-2	0%
Established	1	1-0	100%
Building	1	0-1	0%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

Pre-UFC opposition

Strong

Opponents' combined record

360-194-5

.650 win rate

Winning-record opponents

19 of 29

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

29

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Nurullo Aliev	Building	15	Feb 25, 2023
L	Drew Dober#13	Ranked 6–15	63	Jul 30, 2022
W	Marc Diakiese	Established	30	Nov 13, 2021
L	Damir Ismagulov	Ranked 6–15	50	May 22, 2021

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

4 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

1-0

1 bout

Long layoff

> 180 days

0-2

2 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-1

2 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

0-1

1 bout

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

3 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Rafael Alves

Active

3 monthssince last bout

vs Anthony Njokuani · May 1, 2026

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs underdog 1-3

38.90

DK avg

25.80

Median

92.40

Ceiling

13.50

Floor

25%

Boom

25%

Bust

Pro

Every Rafael Alves fight: closing line, result, DK score

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