TJ O'Brien Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

L

Cole Miller

Lightweight · Submission · Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard · R2 · 2:38

UFC Live: Hardy vs. Lytle · Aug 14, 2011

Submission

R2 · 2:38

Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard

UFC Live: Hardy vs. Lytle

Aug 14, 2011

L

Paul Kelly

Lightweight · KO/TKO · Elbows to Head From Crucifix · R2 · 3:16

UFC 123: Rampage vs. Machida · Nov 20, 2010

KO/TKO

R2 · 3:16

Elbows to Head From Crucifix

UFC 123: Rampage vs. Machida

Nov 20, 2010

Outside the UFC

20-6across 26 bouts · 25 promotions · wins by 19 sub · 1 decMCC 13 · MCC 59 · PC MMA · MCC 50 · VFC +20

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	Eric Howser9-2	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	0:12	MCC 59	Jun 19, 2015
W	Jacob Volkmann19-7	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R1	2:14	PC MMA	May 9, 2014
W	Doug Jenkins12-10	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:29	MCC 50	Nov 27, 2013
L	Drew Dober29-15	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	3:57	VFC	Jul 27, 2013
L	Gesias Cavalcante22-12-1	Submission	Heel Hook	R1	1:03	WSOF 1	Nov 3, 2012
W	Joe Morris5-6	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	2:22	MCC 40	Apr 13, 2012
W	Allen Hernandez9-7	Decision	Split	R5	5:00	MCC 38	Jan 27, 2012
W	Josh Henry11-8	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:48	MCC 29	Oct 22, 2010
W	Dakota Cochrane34-13	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:00	Extreme Challenge	Jul 16, 2010
W	Jake Brown11-6	Submission	Keylock	R1	1:16	MCC 24	Jan 16, 2010
W	Rod Montoya17-16	Submission	Triangle Choke	R3	1:33	RCC 10	Oct 30, 2009
W	Tim Bazer14-21	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	1:31	EC 135	Sep 12, 2009
W	Jeremy Castro19-25	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	1:28	MCC 21	Jun 26, 2009
L	Chris Mickle31-21-2	Submission	Armbar	R1	4:39	MCC 18	Jan 16, 2009
W	Will Shutt23-30-1	Submission	Triangle Choke	R2	1:43	MCC 17	Nov 26, 2008
W	Josh Atwell4-2	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	1:29	MCC 16	Sep 12, 2008
W	Chris Perez van Dam2-7	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	1:13	MCC 15	Jul 25, 2008
W	Will Shutt23-30-1	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	0:50	MCC 13	Apr 25, 2008
W	Nick Walker5-14	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	2:03	MCC 13	Apr 25, 2008
W	Jeff Carstens8-25	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	0:57	TFC	Jan 28, 2008
W	Scott Burns1-3	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	1:22	ECC	Nov 17, 2007
L	Allen Hernandez9-7	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:14	Mainstream MMA 7	Oct 20, 2007
W	Adam Cunningham0-2	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	1:19	MCC 9	Jul 27, 2007
L	Erik Koch16-6	Submission	Armbar	R1	0:42	Mainstream MMA 6	Jul 14, 2007
W	Steve Young0-3	Submission	Triangle Choke	R2	1:20	MCC 8	May 19, 2007
W	Nathan Woods0-2	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R1	0:52	GFC 1	Apr 20, 2007

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

0 wins, 2 losses

W0

L2

Submission

19 wins, 6 losses

W19

L6

Decision

1 win, 0 losses

W1

L0

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

TJ O'Brien

PowerChin

Knockout rate

—

No UFC win on record

Knockdowns dealt

—

No UFC win on record

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

2

3.70 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Career striking

OverallC50th

46%60 / 130

Striking accuracy

57%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-1.01 differential

Landed3.77

Absorbed4.78

29%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+3%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

TJ O'Brien

Landed per 15

Head

C

46th

26.4

46th

Body

C

46th

8.5

46th

Leg

A+

97th

21.7

97th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

14th

50.9

14th

Body

A+

92nd

2.8

92nd

Leg

F

5th

17.9

5th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	26.4	28	89	31%
Body	8.5	9	13	69%
Leg	21.7	23	28	82%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	50.9	54	152	36%
Body	2.8	3	5	60%
Leg	17.9	19	23	83%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

TJ O'Brien

100%

Takedown accuracy

0%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-3.0 min net

On top0.5

On bottom3.5

Offense

Takedowns

B

58th

0.9

58th

TD accuracy

100%

Sub attempts

B

58th

0.0

58th

Control

C

44th

0.5 min

44th

Defense

TD defense

0%

Controlled

3.5 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	1 / 1
Submission attempts	0
Control time	0:34

Defense

TDs defended	0 / 1
Control absorbed	3:43

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (16min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

TJ O'Brien

2 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 16 min

—

< 2 bouts to R3

O'Brien hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a reliable pace pattern — most of their fights end early. The round-by-round pace below is shown for what rounds there are.

O'BrienOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

O'Brienlanded / min

Takedown attempts

O'Brienattempts / min

Control time

O'Brien% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.2	4.2	3.3	0.00	0%	2
R2	3.9	3.1	7.3	0.17	10%	2

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

TJ O'Brien

2 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

29/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

D

39th

28%

39th

Win quality

F

9th

22%

9th

Limited UFC sample (2 bouts). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

2

Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Established	2	0-2	0%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

Pre-UFC opposition

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

333-300-5

.526 win rate

Winning-record opponents

14 of 26

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

26

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Cole Miller	Established	30	Aug 14, 2011
L	Paul Kelly	Established	26	Nov 20, 2010

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

2 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

—

Long layoff

> 180 days

0-1

1 bout

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

0-1

1 bout

After a win

next bout after a win

—

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

11y 2mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

TJ O'Brien

Extended layoff

11y 2mosince last bout

vs Eric Howser · Jun 19, 2015

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFS

15.60

DK avg

19.80

Median

19.80

Ceiling

11.40

Floor

0%

Boom

100%

Bust

Pro

Every TJ O'Brien fight: closing line, result, DK score

All 2 UFC bouts, sortable and filterable — what the market priced them at, how the fight ended, and the fantasy points it produced.

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